05 February 2013, 050213, Coalition, Liberal Party, surplus, tony abbott
Q. Do you think that if Tony Abbott and Coalition win the next election, they will deliver a budget surplus in their first year of Government?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Probably will deliver a surplus |
19% |
10% |
31% |
14% |
| Probably won’t deliver a surplus |
60% |
74% |
52% |
66% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
16% |
18% |
20% |
60% think that if Tony Abbott and Coalition win the next election, they probably won’t deliver a budget surplus in their first year of Government and 19% think they probably will.
A majority of all demographic and voter groups (including Liberal/National voters) think the Coalition will probably not deliver a surplus in their first year if elected.
05 February 2013, 050213, clothing, cost of living, Education, electricity, food, Housing, insurance, petrol, Water
Q. Compared to two or three years ago is your household paying more or less for the following –
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Paying a lot more |
|||
|
Paying a lot more |
Paying a little more |
Paying about the same |
Paying a little less |
Paying a lot less |
Don’t know |
Own home outright |
Own home with mortgage |
Renting |
|
| Petrol |
50% |
33% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
44% |
49% |
55% |
| Fresh food – fruit, vegetables, meat |
36% |
43% |
16% |
4% |
* |
2% |
33% |
35% |
41% |
| Packaged food |
28% |
39% |
24% |
4% |
* |
4% |
26% |
27% |
33% |
| Electricity and gas |
70% |
22% |
4% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
69% |
73% |
71% |
| Housing – mortgage or rent |
24% |
22% |
29% |
10% |
3% |
12% |
10% |
21% |
40% |
| Insurance |
43% |
36% |
14% |
1% |
1% |
5% |
48% |
47% |
35% |
| Water |
47% |
32% |
14% |
1% |
1% |
6% |
48% |
54% |
38% |
| Clothing |
21% |
30% |
37% |
9% |
1% |
2% |
17% |
21% |
25% |
| Education |
24% |
20% |
27% |
3% |
3% |
23% |
15% |
28% |
26% |
| Medical, dental |
33% |
33% |
27% |
2% |
* |
3% |
33% |
35% |
34% |
Items which respondents said they were “paying a lot more” for were electricity and gas (70%), petrol (50%), water (47%) and insurance (43%).
Homeowners had similar responses to the total sample, but the main things renters were paying a lot more for were electricity and gas (71%), petrol (55%), fresh food (41%) and housing (40%).
05 February 2013, 050213, bike helmets, Government regulation, recreational drugs, seatbelts in cars, smoking in public
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Governments making laws to regulate the following?
|
Total approve |
Total dis |
Strongly approve |
Approve |
Dis |
Strongly dis |
Don’t know |
Total approve 30 Apr 12 |
|
| Wearing seatbelts in cars |
97% |
2% |
77% |
20% |
2% |
* |
1% |
97% |
| Wearing bike helmets |
92% |
6% |
68% |
24% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
94% |
| Personal use of recreational drugs |
64% |
27% |
34% |
30% |
12% |
15% |
10% |
59% |
| Smoking in public places |
72% |
25% |
46% |
26% |
13% |
12% |
3% |
67% |
| Buying and consuming alcohol |
73% |
21% |
31% |
42% |
15% |
6% |
5% |
69% |
| Shopping hours |
56% |
35% |
17% |
39% |
25% |
10% |
9% |
56% |
| Cigarette packaging |
67% |
27% |
40% |
27% |
14% |
13% |
6% |
64% |
| Junk food advertising |
71% |
24% |
31% |
40% |
16% |
8% |
4% |
66% |
| Gambling, poker machines |
73% |
23% |
40% |
33% |
13% |
10% |
4% |
na |
| Films (i.e. censorship) |
61% |
31% |
20% |
41% |
21% |
10% |
8% |
62% |
| The internet |
53% |
38% |
18% |
35% |
22% |
16% |
8% |
49% |
| Making public statements which other people might find offensive |
41% |
44% |
13% |
28% |
26% |
18% |
15% |
na |
For each of the areas listed above more than half of respondents approved of Governments making laws to regulate the area – with the exception of “making public statements which other people might find offensive” (41% approve/44% disapprove).
The highest levels of approval were for wearing seatbelts in cars (97%) and wearing bike helmets (92%). The highest levels of disapproval were for making public statements which other people might find offensive (44%), the internet (38%) and shopping hours (35%).
Since this question was asked in April last year approval of regulation has increased for personal use of recreational drugs (+5%), smoking in public places (+5%) and junk food advertising (+5%).
cost to taxpayers, Health and safety, important regulation, rights and freedom
Q. What should be the most important factor Governments consider in relation to regulating each of these issues – protecting rights and freedom, protecting people’s health and safety or managing the cost to taxpayers (e.g. health costs of drug/alcohol/tobacco use)?
|
Protecting rights and freedom |
Protecting people’s health and safety |
Managing the cost to taxpayers |
Don’t know |
|
| Wearing seatbelts in cars |
5% |
89% |
3% |
3% |
| Wearing bike helmets |
6% |
88% |
3% |
3% |
| Personal use of recreational drugs |
14% |
64% |
13% |
10% |
| Smoking in public places |
16% |
70% |
8% |
6% |
| Buying and consuming alcohol |
18% |
64% |
11% |
7% |
| Shopping hours |
48% |
13% |
16% |
23% |
| Cigarette packaging |
15% |
65% |
10% |
10% |
| Junk food advertising |
13% |
70% |
8% |
9% |
| Gambling, poker machines |
22% |
46% |
20% |
12% |
| Films (i.e. censorship) |
51% |
21% |
8% |
19% |
| The internet |
56% |
21% |
7% |
16% |
| Making public statements which other people might find offensive |
54% |
18% |
5% |
23% |
For most of the areas listed above, the majority of respondents thought the most important factor for Governments to consider was ‘protecting people’s health and safety’.
The areas where respondents thought that is was more important to consider ‘protecting rights and freedoms’ were the internet (56%), making statements which other people might find offensive (54%), films (51%) and shopping hours (48%). ‘Managing the cost to tax payers’ was not considered to be an important factor by most respondents.
29 January 2013, 290113, 2PP, ALP, Greens, Labor, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,895 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago 14/1/13 |
Last week 21/01/13 |
This week 29/01/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
4% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
29 January 2013, 290113, date of 2013 election, date of election, Federal Election, Labor Government
Q. Do you think the Labor Government should run its full term until later in 2013 when the next Federal election is due or should a new election be held now?
|
5 |
5 |
30 |
5 |
30 |
Total 29 |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Should run to later in 2013 |
40% |
47% |
48% |
46% |
48% |
51% |
84% |
25% |
76% |
| Should hold election now |
48% |
41% |
41% |
44% |
42% |
35% |
4% |
66% |
12% |
| Don’t know |
12% |
12% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
14% |
12% |
8% |
12% |
51% think the Labor Government should run its full term until later in 2013 and 35% think an election should be held now. 14% don’t know.
Opinions have shifted away having an early election since this question was polled in April 2012.
29 January 2013, 290113, Australian economy, GFC, State of the Economy, world economy
Q. Thinking about the state of the world economy, how do you think the Australian economy has performed over the last few years compared to other countries?
|
15 Aug 11 |
7 May 12 |
Total 29 Jan 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total better |
70% |
66% |
70% |
84% |
64% |
71% |
| Total worse |
10% |
15% |
12% |
5% |
16% |
10% |
| A lot better |
31% |
29% |
29% |
45% |
18% |
35% |
| A little better |
39% |
37% |
41% |
39% |
46% |
36% |
| About the same |
16% |
16% |
16% |
10% |
19% |
17% |
| A little worse |
7% |
9% |
7% |
3% |
9% |
6% |
| A lot worse |
3% |
6% |
5% |
2% |
7% |
4% |
| Don’t know |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
70% think that Australia’s economy has performed better than other countries over the last few years, 16% say about the same and 12% think it has been worse. This represents a shift from net +51 to net +58 since this question was previously asked in May last year.
There were no substantial differences across demographic groups although those on lower incomes were a little more likely to believe it has performed worse – for those on income under $600pw, 56% think Australia’s economy has performed better and 20% worse.
29 January 2013, 290113, GFC, global financial crisis, Labor, Liberal, trust in party
Q. If there was another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?
|
15 Aug 11 |
7 May 12 |
Total 29 Jan 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| The Labor Party |
31% |
25% |
26% |
68% |
2% |
23% |
| The Liberal Party |
40% |
42% |
40% |
4% |
84% |
6% |
| No difference |
20% |
23% |
22% |
18% |
10% |
52% |
| Don’t know |
9% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
4% |
19% |
If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 26% would trust the Labor Party more. This represents a slight shift to the Labor Party from net -17% to net -14% since May last year.
The Liberal Party was rated higher than Labor with all demographic groups except for low income earners – 35% of those earning under $600pw would trust the Labor Party more and 29% the Liberal Party. Those most likely to trust the Liberal Party more were aged 55+ (52%), full-time workers (45%) and income over $1,600 pw (44%).