11 February 2013, 110213, current election system, fixed term elections
Q. Would you favour fixed term Federal Elections where elections are held on a set date or the current system where the Government chooses the date of each election?
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Fixed term elections |
63% |
66% |
66% |
57% |
Current system |
23% |
23% |
21% |
27% |
Don’t know |
14% |
11% |
13% |
16% |
63% favour fixed term Federal Elections where elections are held on a set date and 23% favour the current system where the Government chooses the date of each election. There was majority support for fixed term elections across all demographic and voter groups. Strongest support came from older respondents with 73% of those aged 55+ preferring fixed term elections.
11 February 2013, 110213, asylum seekers, climate change, Education, environment, Housing affordability, management of the economy, war on terrorism
Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?
Total 11 Feb 13 |
19 Nov 12 |
30 Jul 12 |
5 Dec 11 |
6 June 11 |
25 Jan 10 |
|
Management of the economy |
62% |
66% |
64% |
62% |
61% |
63% |
Ensuring a quality education for all children |
29% |
35% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
23% |
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
52% |
57% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
Protecting the environment |
14% |
14% |
11% |
13% |
15% |
16% |
A fair industrial relations system |
12% |
8% |
12% |
11% |
8% |
na |
Political leadership |
14% |
15% |
25% |
18% |
17% |
23% |
Addressing climate change |
9% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
15% |
16% |
Controlling interest rates |
9% |
11% |
9% |
11% |
13% |
15% |
Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
40% |
32% |
41% |
36% |
32% |
33% |
Ensuring a quality water supply |
4% |
5% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
12% |
Housing affordability |
11% |
14% |
13% |
13% |
16% |
14% |
Ensuring a fair taxation system |
21% |
17% |
18% |
16% |
17% |
14% |
Security and the war on terrorism |
6% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
8% |
9% |
Treatment of asylum seekers |
6% |
6% |
10% |
8% |
5% |
na |
Managing population growth |
9% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
12% |
na |
*Not asked
62% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 52% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 40% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 29% ensuring a quality education for all children.
Since November, there has been an increase in the importance of Australian jobs and protection of local industries (+8%) and a decline in the importance of ensuring a quality education for all children (-6%) and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (-5%).
11 February 2013, 110213, asylum seekers, controlling interest rates, Education, eleciton issues, management of the economy, party trust, war on terrorism
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
Labor |
Liberal |
Greens |
Don’t know |
Diff |
Diff |
Diff |
|
Management of the economy |
31% |
46% |
3% |
21% |
-15 |
-14 |
-18 |
Ensuring a quality education for all children |
37% |
35% |
6% |
22% |
+2 |
+5 |
-2 |
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
33% |
36% |
6% |
25% |
-3 |
-3 |
-6 |
Protecting the environment |
20% |
21% |
39% |
20% |
+18 |
+16 |
+17 |
A fair industrial relations system |
39% |
33% |
4% |
23% |
+6 |
+9 |
+6 |
Political leadership |
29% |
37% |
6% |
29% |
-8 |
-12 |
-16 |
Addressing climate change |
21% |
24% |
29% |
26% |
+5 |
+9 |
+7 |
Controlling interest rates |
27% |
41% |
3% |
30% |
-14 |
-11 |
-18 |
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
33% |
36% |
4% |
27% |
-3 |
-2 |
-6 |
Ensuring a quality water supply |
21% |
27% |
23% |
29% |
-6 |
-7 |
-12 |
Housing affordability |
27% |
33% |
5% |
35% |
-6 |
-5 |
-11 |
Ensuring a fair taxation system |
31% |
37% |
4% |
28% |
-6 |
-9 |
-10 |
Security and the war on terrorism |
25% |
38% |
4% |
33% |
-13 |
-15 |
-22 |
Treatment of asylum seekers |
20% |
37% |
14% |
30% |
-17 |
-18 |
-20 |
Managing population growth |
21% |
33% |
7% |
39% |
-12 |
-15 |
-19 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
Labor has a significant lead over the Liberal Party only on ensuring a fair industrial relations system. The Liberal Party has maintained strong leads on management of the economy, controlling interest rates, political leadership, security and the war on terrorism, treatment of asylum seekers and managing population growth.
There is little difference between Labor and the Liberals on ensuring a quality education for all children, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries. Since November, there has been very little shift on any issue.
11 February 2013, 110213, all working people, better policy, carers, low income earners, party policies, pensioners, people with disabilities, unemployed people
Q. Which party do you think has the better policies for the following groups of people?
Labor Party |
Liberal Party |
No difference |
Don’t know |
Net 11 Feb 13 |
Net 6 Aug 12 |
|
Pensioners |
32% |
23% |
31% |
15% |
+9 |
+11 |
Unemployed people |
34% |
21% |
30% |
15% |
+13 |
+18 |
People with disabilities |
35% |
20% |
29% |
17% |
+15 |
+16 |
Carers |
30% |
22% |
30% |
19% |
+8 |
+12 |
People on low incomes |
37% |
21% |
26% |
16% |
+16 |
+22 |
All working people |
32% |
31% |
23% |
14% |
+1 |
-1 |
The Labor Party was thought to have better policies than the Liberal Party on all issues except “all working people” where both parties had similar ratings. In particular the Labor Party was thought to have better policies for people on low incomes (37% Labor/21% Liberal), unemployed people (34%/21%) and people with disabilities (35%/20%).
Of those aged 55+, 31% thought Labor had better policies for pensioners and 30% thought the Liberals had better policies.
32% think Labor has better policies for all working people and 31% think the Liberals have better policies. Employed people are more likely to think the Liberals have the better policies (35% Liberal/31% Labor).
05 February 2013, 050213, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,928 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago 21/1/13 |
Last week 29/01/13 |
This week 5/02/13 |
Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
45% |
National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
7% |
8% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
54% |
Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
05 February 2013, 050213, election date 2013, election date announcement
Q.The Prime Minister Julia Gillard has announced the Federal Election will be held on September 14 this year. Do you approve or disapprove of the election date being announced nearly 8 months in advance?
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Total approve |
48% |
73% |
35% |
45% |
Total disapprove |
34% |
13% |
50% |
35% |
Strongly approve |
15% |
24% |
10% |
16% |
Approve |
33% |
49% |
25% |
29% |
Disapprove |
19% |
10% |
25% |
26% |
Strongly disapprove |
15% |
3% |
25% |
9% |
Don’t know |
19% |
14% |
16% |
20% |
48% approve of the announcement of the next Federal election date and 34% disapprove. 73% of Labor voters approve compared to 45% of Greens voters and 35% of Liberal/National voters. 50% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.
There were no major differences by demographics – although men were a little more likely to approve (53%) and women a little more likely to disapprove (38%).
05 February 2013, 050213, Federal Budget, importance of budget surplus
Q. Thinking about the Federal Government budget, how important do you believe it is for the budget to be in surplus…?
Total impor |
Total |
Very impor |
Quite Impor |
Not very impor |
Not |
Don’t know |
Total impor |
|
…for the country as a whole |
69% |
26% |
28% |
41% |
22% |
4% |
5% |
68% |
…for you personally |
54% |
39% |
20% |
34% |
29% |
10% |
7% |
46% |
A clear majority of respondents (69%) regard having a Federal Government budget surplus to be important for the country as a whole, whereas a somewhat smaller majority regard it to be important for them personally (54%).
39% of respondents believe having a Federal Government budget surplus was not important for them personally.
Since this question was last asked in October, those who think a budget surplus is important for them personally has increased from 46% to 54%.
Those most likely to think a budget surplus is important to them personally were Liberal/National voters (67%) and full-time workers (60%).
05 February 2013, 050213, Budget Surplus
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s decision not to return the budget to surplus this financial year?
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
Total approve |
42% |
64% |
29% |
55% |
Total disapprove |
37% |
12% |
57% |
25% |
Strongly approve |
9% |
18% |
5% |
8% |
Approve |
33% |
46% |
24% |
47% |
Disapprove |
27% |
11% |
39% |
22% |
Strongly disapprove |
10% |
1% |
18% |
3% |
Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
14% |
20% |
42% approve of the Government’s decision not to return the budget to surplus this financial year and 37% disapprove.
Those most likely to approve were Labor voters (64%), Greens voters (55%), men (51%), aged 55+ (50%) and people on incomes under $600pw (50%).
57% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.