Federal Budget expectations

May 11, 2021

Q. The Federal Budget will be announced on Tuesday 11th In general, do you expect the Federal Budget will be good or bad for the following?

  May’21 Oct’20
  TOTAL: Very Good / Good Neither good, nor bad TOTAL: Very bad / Bad Don’t know TOTAL: Very Good / Good Neither good, nor bad TOTAL: Very bad / Bad Don’t know
People who are well off 53% 28% 8% 12% 51% 30% 10% 8%
Big business 51% 30% 9% 11% 53% 26% 12% 9%
Small business 44% 28% 17% 11% 44% 26% 23% 7%
The economy overall 41% 33% 16% 10% 34% 27% 32% 7%
Australian families 38% 33% 19% 10% 33% 31% 29% 7%
Women 34% 36% 18% 12%
Average working people 32% 32% 25% 10% 30% 29% 34% 6%
Younger Australians 31% 35% 23% 12% 29% 31% 33% 8%
People on lower incomes 30% 27% 33% 11% 30% 23% 40% 6%
Older Australians 29% 28% 32% 11% 31% 28% 34% 7%
You personally 23% 40% 27% 10% 25% 36% 31% 8%
  • Over half of people think the upcoming budget will be good / very good for those who are well off (53%) and about half (51%) think it will benefit big business. This is consistent with levels for these measures last budget (51% and 53% respectively).
  • Notably, more people now think the upcoming budget will be good / very good for the economy overall (41% from 34% in October) and Australian families (38% from 33%) than the last announcement in October.
  • People on lower incomes (33%) and older Australians (32%) are most expected to be worse off following the announcement.
TOTAL:

Very good / Good

Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
People who are well off 53% 60% 47% 70% 62%
Big business 51% 57% 49% 62% 57%
Small business 44% 40% 60% 32% 40%
The economy overall 41% 33% 61% 26% 34%
Australian families 38% 32% 54% 29% 38%
Women 34% 31% 46% 30% 33%
Average working people 32% 25% 47% 26% 34%
Younger Australians 31% 25% 44% 23% 27%
People on lower incomes 30% 20% 45% 23% 34%
Older Australians 29% 25% 38% 35% 26%
You personally 23% 16% 32% 22% 26%
  • 23% expect to be better off following the budget announcement.
  • 32% of Coalition voters think they personally will have a good budget. This is higher than Labor (16%), Greens (22%) and those voting for a minor/independent party (26%).

Most important areas for increased funding

May 11, 2021

Q. How important to you is it that each of the following areas receives increased funding in the upcoming Federal Budget?

  TOTAL: Very important / Important Quite important TOTAL:  Not very important / Not at all important
Improving the quality of aged care 74% 20% 6%
Services and facilities to improve women’s safety 60% 30% 10%
Promoting the local manufacture of Covid-19 vaccines 59% 27% 14%
Incentives and support for small businesses 57% 34% 9%
Early childhood education and care 55% 28% 18%
Energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables 51% 31% 19%
Reducing the national deficit 48% 34% 18%
  • Improving the quality of aged care is seen by the majority of Australians to be an important / very important area to receive increased funding in the upcoming Federal Budget (74%). Services and facilities to improve women’s safety (60%) comes next, closely followed by promoting the local manufacture of Covid-19 vaccines (59%).
  • Reducing the national deficit (48%) and funding for the energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables (51%) are seen as the least important areas for funding.
TOTAL: Very important / Important Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other TOTAL:

Labor, Greens, Other

Improving the quality of aged care 74% 77% 74% 78% 76% 77%
Services and facilities to improve women’s safety 60% 63% 58% 72% 62% 64%
Promoting the local manufacture of Covid-19 vaccines 59% 61% 65% 56% 54% 59%
Incentives and support for small businesses 57% 52% 64% 58% 53% 53%
Early childhood education and care 55% 60% 51% 58% 54% 59%
Energy transition from fossil fuels to renewables 51% 53% 46% 74% 49% 56%
Reducing the national deficit 48% 43% 58% 35% 48% 43%
Base (n) 1,092 371 400 109 111 591
  • Compared to all other voters, Coalition voters are more likely to think incentives and support for small businesses is an important / very important area for increased funding (53% to 64% respectively), however they are less likely to think the same for early childhood education and care (59% to 51% respectively).
  • Coalition voters are more likely to see reducing the national deficit as an important area for increased funding compared to all other voters (58% to 43% respectively).

Priority for the upcoming budget

May 11, 2021

Q. Which one of the following options is closest to your thinking about what the priority should be of the upcoming budget?

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
The government should prioritise the reduction of national debt by cutting public funding for services 20% 24% 16% 27% 21% 13% 15% 22% 25% 33%
The government should prioritise providing support for people and industries struggling because of the pandemic 80% 76% 84% 73% 79% 87% 85% 78% 75% 67%
Base (n) 1,092 536 556 340 372 380 371 400 109 111
  • The majority of Australians think the government should prioritise providing support for people and industries struggling because of the pandemic in the upcoming budget (80%), over the reduction of national debt by cutting public funding for services (20%).
  • Preference for providing support for people and industries struggling because of the pandemic is highest among women (84%), those over 55 (87%) and Labor voters (85%).

Awareness of the proportion of the Federal Budget spent on foreign aid

Dec 1, 2020

Q. As far as you know, about how much of the Federal Budget is spent on foreign aid?

  Nov’20 Jun’17 Jun’15 Jul’11
 
Less than 1% 6% 10% 13% 7%
About 1% 8% 9% 11% 8%
About 2% 13% 15% 14% 17%
About 5% 16% 10% 10% 11%
More than 5% 17% 12% 9% 16%
Don’t know 39% 44% 43% 41%

 

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Less than 1% 6% 9% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 5% 11% 7%
About 1% 8% 11% 4% 11% 7% 6% 7% 8% 17% 6%
About 2% 13% 17% 10% 17% 11% 13% 15% 16% 13% 11%
About 5% 16% 19% 13% 23% 15% 12% 15% 18% 14% 21%
More than 5% 17% 15% 19% 13% 23% 15% 15% 18% 9% 29%
Don’t know 39% 29% 49% 31% 38% 47% 41% 35% 36% 25%
Base (n) 1,034 528 506 329 320 385 322 430 88 107
  • Only 6% of Australians correctly know that less than 1% of the Federal Budget is spent on foreign aid. Fewer people know the correct proportion than in previous years (10% in 2017 and 13% in 2015)
  • 17% think over 5% is spent. This is higher than previous years when this question was asked (12% in 2017 and 9% in 2015).

Federal Budget expectations

Oct 20, 2020

Q. The Federal Budget was announced on Tuesday 6th October.

In general, do you think the Federal Budget will be good or bad for the following?

  Before budget announced

05/10/2020

  After budget announced

19/10/2020

  NET: Very Good / Good NET: Very bad / Bad   NET: Very Good / Good NET: Very bad / Bad
People who are well off 51% 10%   56% 7%
The economy overall 34% 32%   41% 19%
Average working people 30% 34%   40% 21%
Australian families 33% 29%   41% 18%
People on lower incomes 30% 40%   35% 31%
Older Australians 31% 34%   29% 31%
Younger Australians 29% 33%   42% 20%
You personally 25% 31%   27% 24%
Small business 44% 23%   45% 17%
Big business 53% 12%   55% 6%
  • Following the budget, more people than before thought the announcements would be good for the economy overall (41%, up from 34% before the budget), average working Australians (40% from 30% expectation), and young people (42% from 29%).

Federal Budget: Balance of interests between different groups

Oct 20, 2020

Q. To the best of your knowledge, did the Federal Budget put the interests of each of the groups ahead of the other, or was there a balance?

Men and women Total
This budget puts the interests of men ahead of the interests of women 31%
This budget puts the interests of women ahead of the interests of men 14%
This budget was balanced between women and men 54%
Base (n) 1,082

 

Young people and older people Total
This budget puts the interests of young people ahead of the interests of older people 45%
This budget puts the interests of older people ahead of the interests of young people 21%
This budget was balanced between the young and the old 34%
Base (n) 1,082

 

Employees and businesses Total
This budget puts the interests of employees ahead of the interests of businesses 14%
This budget puts the interests of businesses ahead of the interests of employees 42%
This budget was balanced between businesses and employees 45%
Base (n) 1,082
  • While the majority thought the budget was balanced between the interests of men and women (54%), over twice as many people thought the interests of men were put ahead of women, than women above men (31% to 14%).
  • Most felt the interests of younger Australians were put ahead of older Australians (45%). 34% thought it was balanced and 21% thought the interests of older Australians were prioritised.
  • Most felt the budget was balanced between the interests of businesses and employees (45%), with 42% thinking that business interests were prioritised, and 14% thinking employee interests were prioritised.

Federal Budget and post Covid-19 economic recovery

Oct 20, 2020

Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about the recent Federal Budget and the direction for the country to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic?

  TOTAL:

Agree

TOTAL:

Disagree

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree, nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Unsure
The decisions the government makes now will affect the future health of the economy 75% 5% 43% 33% 13% 3% 2% 7%
The government should take the recognition if their budget measures work, just as they should take responsibility if they do not 70% 5% 36% 34% 17% 4% 2% 8%
There were better approaches to the budget like investing in jobs and services 51% 10% 20% 31% 29% 8% 2% 11%
The global pandemic means that the health of the economy is out of the government’s control 49% 21% 18% 32% 22% 15% 6% 7%
  • There is strong agreement that the Government is responsible for the future of the economy. 75% agree that ‘The decisions the government makes now will affect the future health of the economy’ and 70% of people agree that ‘The government should take the recognition if their budget measures work, just as they should take responsibility if they do not’
  • However, half of people (49%) agree with the statement that ‘The global pandemic means that the health of the economy is out of the government’s control’. Coalition voters are more likely to agree with this statement than Labor voters (58% to 48%).
  • Half of people agree that ‘There were better approaches to the budget like investing in jobs and services’ (51%). Those more likely to agree with this statement include Labor voters (60%), those in paid employment (56%) and men (56%).

Federal budget engagement

Oct 6, 2020

Q. How much attention will you pay to the Federal Budget announcements?     

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
No attention at all 6% 5% 7% 8% 6% 4%
Not much attention 18% 18% 18% 32% 15% 10%
A little attention 42% 38% 45% 43% 45% 38%
A lot of attention 34% 39% 29% 17% 34% 48%
Base (n) 1,066 531 535 340 341 385
  • Most people will be following the budget announcement on Tuesday with 34% saying they will pay a lot of attention, and 42% paying a little attention.
  • Men (39% paying a lot of attention) and older people (48%) will be most likely to closely follow the announcements.
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