Essential Report

Federal budget expectations

May 25, 2021

Q. The federal budget will be / was announced on Tuesday 11^th In general, do you expect the federal budget will be good or bad for the following?

	After Budget Announced 24 May’21				Before Budget Announced 10 May’21
	TOTAL: Good / Very Good	Neither good, nor bad	TOTAL: Bad / Very Bad	Don’t know	TOTAL: Very Good / Good	Neither good, nor bad	TOTAL: Bad / Very Bad	Don’t know
People who are well-off	51%	29%	8%	12%	53%	28%	8%	12%
Big businesses	49%	32%	7%	13%	51%	30%	9%	11%
Women	40%	33%	15%	11%	34%	36%	18%	12%
Australian families	39%	33%	17%	11%	38%	33%	19%	10%
Small businesses	38%	35%	15%	12%	44%	28%	17%	11%
The economy overall	38%	35%	16%	10%	41%	33%	16%	10%
Younger Australians	33%	34%	21%	12%	31%	35%	23%	12%
Average working people	33%	33%	23%	11%	32%	32%	25%	10%
People on lower incomes	30%	27%	33%	10%	30%	27%	33%	11%
Older Australians	29%	33%	26%	12%	29%	28%	32%	11%
You personally	22%	43%	25%	10%	23%	40%	27%	10%

More people now expect the federal budget will be good for women than before the budget was announced; those expecting it will be good / very good for women is now at 40% (from 34%).
However, less people now expect it will be good for small businesses compared to before the budget was announced (38% from 44%).
Less people now expect the budget will be bad / very bad for older Australians (26% from 32%).

TOTAL: Good / Very Good	Total	Gender			Age Group				Federal Voting Intention
TOTAL: Good / Very Good	Total	Male	Female	18-34		35-54	55+	Labor		TOTAL: Coalition	Greens	TOTAL: Other
People who are well-off	51%	57%	46%	47%		50%	55%	57%		49%	54%	56%
Big businesses	49%	55%	43%	47%		45%	54%	53%		49%	54%	50%
Women	40%	47%	34%	36%		40%	45%	35%		58%	24%	27%
Australian families	39%	42%	36%	36%		38%	43%	31%		57%	31%	28%
Small businesses	38%	45%	32%	39%		35%	40%	32%		55%	26%	29%
The economy overall	38%	43%	34%	35%		37%	43%	28%		59%	26%	29%
Younger Australians	33%	37%	30%	34%		30%	36%	26%		50%	22%	23%
Average working people	33%	37%	29%	33%		31%	34%	23%		52%	18%	22%
People on lower incomes	30%	34%	26%	33%		27%	29%	18%		48%	20%	24%
Older Australians	29%	34%	24%	35%		30%	22%	21%		43%	22%	23%
You personally	22%	26%	18%	32%		23%	12%	16%		33%	16%	16%
Base (n)	1,100	539	561	341		379	380	369		410	105	112

Men are more likely than women to expect the budget will be good / very good for women (47% to 34%). Men are also more likely than women to expect the budget will be good for them personally (26% to 18%).
Those over 55 are less likely than younger cohorts to expect the budget will be good for older Australians (22% to 35% of those 18-34 and 30% those 35-54). This reflects how they are also less likely to expect the budget will be good for them personally compared to younger groups (12% to 32% those 18-34 and 23% those 35-54).
33% of Coalition voters expect the budget will be good for them personally. This is higher than Labor, Greens and those voting for minor/independent parties (16% respectively).

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