Essential Report

Federal budget expectations

May 25, 2021

Q. The federal budget will be / was announced on Tuesday 11th In general, do you expect the federal budget will be good or bad for the following?

  After Budget Announced

24 May’21

Before Budget Announced

10 May’21

  TOTAL: Good / Very Good Neither good, nor bad TOTAL: Bad / Very Bad Don’t know TOTAL: Very Good / Good Neither good, nor bad TOTAL:  Bad / Very Bad Don’t know
People who are well-off 51% 29% 8% 12% 53% 28% 8% 12%
Big businesses 49% 32% 7% 13% 51% 30% 9% 11%
Women 40% 33% 15% 11% 34% 36% 18% 12%
Australian families 39% 33% 17% 11% 38% 33% 19% 10%
Small businesses 38% 35% 15% 12% 44% 28% 17% 11%
The economy overall 38% 35% 16% 10% 41% 33% 16% 10%
Younger Australians 33% 34% 21% 12% 31% 35% 23% 12%
Average working people 33% 33% 23% 11% 32% 32% 25% 10%
People on lower incomes 30% 27% 33% 10% 30% 27% 33% 11%
Older Australians 29% 33% 26% 12% 29% 28% 32% 11%
You personally 22% 43% 25% 10% 23% 40% 27% 10%
  • More people now expect the federal budget will be good for women than before the budget was announced; those expecting it will be good / very good for women is now at 40% (from 34%).
  • However, less people now expect it will be good for small businesses compared to before the budget was announced (38% from 44%).
  • Less people now expect the budget will be bad / very bad for older Australians (26% from 32%).
TOTAL:

Good / Very Good

Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
People who are well-off 51% 57% 46% 47% 50% 55% 57% 49% 54% 56%
Big businesses 49% 55% 43% 47% 45% 54% 53% 49% 54% 50%
Women 40% 47% 34% 36% 40% 45% 35% 58% 24% 27%
Australian families 39% 42% 36% 36% 38% 43% 31% 57% 31% 28%
Small businesses 38% 45% 32% 39% 35% 40% 32% 55% 26% 29%
The economy overall 38% 43% 34% 35% 37% 43% 28% 59% 26% 29%
Younger Australians 33% 37% 30% 34% 30% 36% 26% 50% 22% 23%
Average working people 33% 37% 29% 33% 31% 34% 23% 52% 18% 22%
People on lower incomes 30% 34% 26% 33% 27% 29% 18% 48% 20% 24%
Older Australians 29% 34% 24% 35% 30% 22% 21% 43% 22% 23%
You personally 22% 26% 18% 32% 23% 12% 16% 33% 16% 16%
Base (n) 1,100 539 561 341 379 380 369 410 105 112
  • Men are more likely than women to expect the budget will be good / very good for women (47% to 34%). Men are also more likely than women to expect the budget will be good for them personally (26% to 18%).
  • Those over 55 are less likely than younger cohorts to expect the budget will be good for older Australians (22% to 35% of those 18-34 and 30% those 35-54). This reflects how they are also less likely to expect the budget will be good for them personally compared to younger groups (12% to 32% those 18-34 and 23% those 35-54).
  • 33% of Coalition voters expect the budget will be good for them personally. This is higher than Labor, Greens and those voting for minor/independent parties (16% respectively).

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