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  • May, 2014

    ,

    Federal budget: comparison to pre-budget expectations

    Q. In general, do you think the next Federal Budget, to be announced on Tuesday 13th May 2014 will be good or bad for?

    Pre-Budget

    Post-Budget

     

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    You personally

    8%

    55%

    13%

    52%

    Average working people

    9%

    63%

    14%

    59%

    Australian business

    25%

    33%

    36%

    23%

    The economy over all

    28%

    36%

    40%

    32%

    People who are well off

    40%

    23%

    45%

    16%

    People on lower incomes

    12%

    60%

    11%

    66%

    Australian families

    11%

    59%

    11%

    62%

    Older Australians

    8%

    67%

    10%

    66%

    Younger Australians

    11%

    49%

    16%

    55%

    Perceptions of the how the budget will impact on each of these groups have not shifted dramatically from when the question was last asked prior to the budget.

    The key areas of difference are listed below:

    • Compared to prior to the budget, less people now think this that the budget will be bad for Australian business (33% before, 23% after).
    • More people now believe that the budget will be bad for people on lower incomes (60% before, 66% after) and ‘younger Australians’ (49% before, 55% after).
  • May, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Decisions made in the Budget

    Decisions made in the Budget (1)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Strongly support

    Support

    Neither support nor oppose

    Oppose

    Strongly oppose

    Don’t know

    Deregulation of university fees (meaning universities can set their own tuition fees)

    17%

    58%

    5%

    12%

    21%

    24%

    34%

    4%

    Commonwealth funding extended to students at TAFEs, private colleges and sub-bachelor degrees at a cost of $820 million over three years

    43%

    20%

    9%

    34%

    30%

    10%

    10%

    7%

    $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP, with this money to be used to fund a Medical Research Future Fund.

    29%

    50%

    7%

    22%

    18%

    18%

    32%

    2%

    General patients to pay $5 more and concessional patients 80¢ more for prescription drugs.

    23%

    58%

    5%

    18%

    18%

    26%

    32%

    2%

    Eligibility for the age pension to rise to 70 by 2035

    17%

    61%

    4%

    13%

    20%

    22%

    39%

    3%

    A six-month waiting period for those under-30 before they can access the dole (Newstart)

    39%

    41%

    16%

    23%

    17%

    19%

    22%

    3%

    Tightening eligibility criteria for disability support pensioners for those under 35

    42%

    33%

    12%

    30%

    21%

    16%

    17%

    4%

    University graduates to repay HELP debt once they earn $50,638 (reduced from $53,345)

    53%

    23%

    16%

    37%

    22%

    12%

    11%

    3%

    Cut 16,500 full-time jobs from the public service in the next 3 years

    31%

    43%

    10%

    21%

    22%

    20%

    23%

    4%

    Privatise the Royal Australian Mint

    18%

    42%

    4%

    14%

    31%

    18%

    24%

    10%

    Make those under 25 apply for Youth Allowance, instead of Newstart (Youth Allowance is around $100 less per fortnight

    44%

    32%

    13%

    31%

    21%

    16%

    16%

    3%

     

    Decisions made in the Budget (1) (by voting intention)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Green

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Deregulation of university fees (meaning universities can set their own tuition fees)

    8%

    81%

    28%

    35%

    14%

    69%

    Commonwealth funding extended to students at TAFEs, private colleges and sub-bachelor degrees at a cost of $820 million over three years

    37%

    27%

    54%

    13%

    49%

    8%

    $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP, with this money to be used to fund a Medical Research Future Fund.

    10%

    74%

    56%

    21%

    18%

    67%

    General patients to pay $5 more and concessional patients 80¢ more for prescription drugs.

    10%

    77%

    42%

    28%

    13%

    69%

    Eligibility for the age pension to rise to 70 by 2035

    7%

    80%

    31%

    37%

    13%

    62%

    A six-month waiting period for those under-30 before they can access the dole (Newstart)

    24%

    60%

    65%

    15%

    17%

    64%

    Tightening eligibility criteria for disability support pensioners for those under 35

    32%

    49%

    62%

    15%

    26%

    46%

    University graduates to repay HELP debt once they earn $50,638 (reduced from $53,345)

    39%

    36%

    74%

    8%

    40%

    33%

    Cut 16,500 full-time jobs from the public service in the next 3 years

    15%

    64%

    57%

    16%

    18%

    59%

    Privatise the Royal Australian Mint

    12%

    55%

    26%

    26%

    14%

    53%

    Make those under 25 apply for Youth Allowance, instead of Newstart (Youth Allowance is around $100 less per fortnight

    25%

    52%

    72%

    8%

    28%

    47%

    Decisions made in the Budget (2)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Strongly support

    Support

    Neither support nor oppose

    Oppose

    Strongly oppose

    Don’t know

    Spend $525 on a “green army”

    18%

    24%

    3%

    15%

    37%

    13%

    11%

    21%

    Invest $2.1 million in solar projects in local communities

    59%

    11%

    15%

    44%

    25%

    7%

    4%

    6%

    $100 million for mobile blackspot and wireless coverage in regional areas

    60%

    11%

    15%

    45%

    26%

    7%

    4%

    4%

    A $120M cut to the ABC’s budget

    27%

    41%

    10%

    17%

    26%

    20%

    21%

    7%

    Asylum seekers who have arrived by boat will lose the right to have their case independently reviewed or to have family reunions

    48%

    27%

    25%

    23%

    19%

    14%

    13%

    5%

    Foreign aid frozen at current levels for two years, helping save $7.6 billion over five years

    64%

    13%

    28%

    36%

    18%

    6%

    7%

    5%

    International commitment to spend 0.5 per cent of gross national income on foreign aid abandoned

    44%

    20%

    15%

    29%

    27%

    10%

    10%

    8%

    $3.9bn over five years for major roads in Melbourne, Perth, Toowoomba, Adelaide and the Northern Territory

    55%

    15%

    13%

    42%

    26%

    9%

    6%

    5%

    The HELP debt interest rate changed from CPI to the long term bond rate (an increase of around 1%)

    24%

    31%

    7%

    17%

    35%

    17%

    14%

    12%

    Cut public funding for university courses by 20%

    18%

    49%

    5%

    13%

    29%

    25%

    24%

    4%

     

    Decisions made in the Budget (2) (by voting intention)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Green

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Spend $525 on a “green army”

    13%

    32%

    26%

    18%

    20%

    12%

    Invest $2.1 million in solar projects in local communities

    59%

    11%

    61%

    11%

    77%

    3%

    $100 million for mobile blackspot and wireless coverage in regional areas

    56%

    14%

    72%

    6%

    54%

    8%

    A $120M cut to the ABC’s budget

    14%

    56%

    48%

    21%

    9%

    72%

    Asylum seekers who have arrived by boat will lose the right to have their case independently reviewed or to have family reunions

    36%

    39%

    71%

    9%

    22%

    54%

    Foreign aid frozen at current levels for two years, helping save $7.6 billion over five years

    52%

    22%

    83%

    3%

    51%

    33%

    International commitment to spend 0.5 per cent of gross national income on foreign aid abandoned

    32%

    29%

    64%

    8%

    23%

    49%

    $3.9bn over five years for major roads in Melbourne, Perth, Toowoomba, Adelaide and the Northern Territory

    49%

    19%

    70%

    7%

    42%

    27%

    The HELP debt interest rate changed from CPI to the long term bond rate (an increase of around 1%)

    13%

    44%

    40%

    14%

    17%

    51%

    Cut public funding for university courses by 20%

    8%

    66%

    32%

    28%

    12%

    71%

    Decisions in the Budget: Comments

    The highest levels of opposition were registered for:

    • Eligibility for the age pension to rise to 70 by 2035 (61% oppose, 17% support)
    • Deregulation of university fees (meaning universities can set their own tuition fees) (58% oppose, 17% support)
    • General patients to pay $5 more and concessional patients 80¢ more for prescription drugs (58% oppose, 23% support)
    • $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP, with this money to be used to fund a Medical Research Future Fund (50% oppose, 29% support)

    The items that more than 50% of Australians supported were:

    • University graduates to repay HELP debt once they earn $50,638 (reduced from $53,345) (53% support, 23% oppose)
    • $3.9bn over five years for major roads in Melbourne, Perth, Toowoomba, Adelaide and the Northern Territory (55% support, 15% oppose)
    • Invest $2.1 million in solar projects in local communities (59% support, 11% oppose)
    • $100 million for mobile blackspot and wireless coverage in regional areas (60% support, 11% oppose)
    • Foreign aid frozen at current levels for two years, helping save $7.6 billion over five years (64% support, 13% oppose)

    The tables included demonstrate the various differences by voting intention.


  • May, 2014

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    Statements about the budget (by voting intention)

    Q.  Please indicate whether – in general – you agree with the following statements about the Federal budget that was handed down on Tuesday 13 May.

     

    Vote Labor

     

    Vote Lib/Nat

     

    Vote Green

     

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Overall, the budget was fair and balanced

    5%

    79%

    60%

    13%

    11%

    71%

    The cuts in the budget were necessary to ensure Australia’s future prosperity

    15%

    58%

    80%

    6%

    20%

    52%

    This was the budget Australia needed

    7%

    73%

    73%

    9%

    16%

    69%

    This budget only cares about the bottom line and not people

    82%

    5%

    29%

    42%

    74%

    11%

    This budget hurts the most vulnerable in Australia

    86%

    6%

    32%

    35%

    72%

    10%

    This budget does not look after the needs of business

    23%

    31%

    15%

    31%

    14%

    31%

    I would have preferred for this budget to focus on improving services to Australians rather than curtailing the deficit

    71%

    6%

    27%

    42%

    65%

    8%

    As the table indicated, Lib/Nat voters were more likely to agree with the positive statements about the budget, while Labor and Green voters were more likely to agree with the negative.

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Budget Emergency

    Q. Some people say that there is a “budget emergency” in Australia.

    Which of the following is closest to your view?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    I agree that there is a ‘budget emergency’ in Australia, and I believe that the recently announced budget changes will help bring the budget back into line.

    32%

    10%

    68%

    16%

    15%

    I agree that there is a ‘budget emergency’ in Australia, but I don’t think the recently announced budget changes will help bring the budget back into line.

    24%

    29%

    14%

    25%

    37%

    I do not believe we have a budget emergency in Australia

    32%

    51%

    12%

    50%

    36%

    Don’t know

    11%

    11%

    6%

    9%

    12%

    Overall, 56% of Australians agree that there is a budget emergency.

    32% agree that there is a budget emergency and that the recent budget will help bring the budget back into line. A further 24% agree that there is a budget emergency, but that the recent budget will not bring the budget back into line.

    32% do not believe there is a budget emergency.

    Labor (51%) and Greens (50%) voters were more likely to think that we do not have a budget emergency in Australia.

  • May, 2013

    , , , , , ,

    Impact of Budget

    Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for you personally?

    Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for average working people?

    Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for Australian businesses?

    Q. Do you think the Federal Budget was good or bad for the Australian economy overall?

     

    You
    personally

    Working people

    Australian
    businesses

    Economy
    overall

     

    10

    11

    12

    13

    12

    13

    10

    11

    12

    13

    10

    11

    12

    13

    Total good

    22%

    11%

    17%

    13%

    31%

    17%

    27%

    20%

    10%

    15%

    36%

    27%

    26%

    26%

    Total bad

    26%

    29%

    26%

    36%

    24%

    40%

    32%

    25%

    43%

    33%

    28%

    29%

    32%

    34%

    Very good

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    4%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    1%

    2%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    Good

    19%

    9%

    15%

    11%

    27%

    15%

    24%

    17%

    9%

    13%

    30%

    23%

    22%

    21%

    Neither good
    nor bad

    33%

    44%

    44%

    38%

    33%

    30%

    9%

    31%

    29%

    32%

    10%

    25%

    25%

    24%

    Bad

    18%

    21%

    17%

    22%

    19%

    27%

    22%

    19%

    28%

    20%

    18%

    21%

    21%

    21%

    Very bad

    8%

    8%

    9%

    14%

    5%

    13%

    10%

    6%

    15%

    13%

    10%

    8%

    11%

    13%

    Don’t know

    20%

    16%

    12%

    12%

    12%

    12%

    31%

    23%

    18%

    19%

    26%

    20%

    17%

    15%

    In terms of the economy overall, there was a similar response to the 2013 budget as to the last two year’s budgets. 26% (no change from last year) thought the budget was good for the economy and 34% (up 2%) thought it was bad.  56% of Labor voters thought the budget was good for the economy and 8% bad while only 8% of Liberal/national voters thought it was good and 56% bad.

    38% of respondents thought the Federal budget was neither good nor bad for them personally – 13% (down 4% on last year) said it was good and 36% (up 10%) bad. 51% of those aged 55+ thought it was neither.

    17% (down 14%) thought it was good for working people and 40% (up 16%) thought it was bad.

    15% (up 5%) thought the budget was good for businesses, 33% (down 10%) bad and 32% said it was neither.

  • May, 2013

    , , ,

    Government spending cuts

    Q. Do you think the Federal Budget has cut Government spending by too much, not enough or about the right amount?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Cut spending too much

    20%

    20%

    19%

    23%

    Not cut spending enough

    34%

    13%

    54%

    25%

    Cut spending about right amount

    21%

    42%

    9%

    29%

    Don’t know

    25%

    25%

    18%

    23%

    34% thought that the Federal budget had not cut Government spending enough. 20% thought it had cut spending too much and 21% thought it had cut spending about right.

    42% of Labor voters thought the spending cuts were about right while 54% of Liberal/National voters thought spending had not been cut enough.

  • Feb, 2013

    , , ,

    Budget surplus

    Q. Thinking about the Federal Government budget, how important do you believe it is for the budget to be in surplus…?

     

    Total impor
    -tant

    Total
    not impor
    -tant

    Very impor
    -tant

    Quite Impor
    -tant

    Not very impor
    -tant

    Not
    at all impor
    -tant

    Don’t know

    Total impor
    -tant
    2 Oct
    12

    …for the country as a whole

    69%

    26%

    28%

    41%

    22%

    4%

    5%

    68%

    …for you personally

    54%

    39%

    20%

    34%

    29%

    10%

    7%

    46%

    A clear majority of respondents (69%) regard having a Federal Government budget surplus to be important for the country as a whole, whereas a somewhat smaller majority regard it to be important for them personally (54%).

    39% of respondents believe having a Federal Government budget surplus was not important for them personally.

    Since this question was last asked in October, those who think a budget surplus is important for them personally has increased from 46% to 54%.

    Those most likely to think a budget surplus is important to them personally were Liberal/National voters (67%) and full-time workers (60%).

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , ,

    Federal government surplus

    Q. Thinking about the federal government budget, how important do you believe it is for the budget to be in surplus…?

     

    Total important

    Total not important

    Very important

    Quite Important

    Not very important

    Not at all important

    Don’t know

    …for the country as a whole

    68%

    22%

    26%

    42%

    18%

    4%

    10%

    …for you personally

    46%

    42%

    15%

    31%

    31%

    11%

    11%

    A clear majority of respondents (68%) regard having a federal government budget surplus to be important for the country as a whole, whereas a significantly smaller portion regard to be important for them personally (46%).

    Forty two per cent (42%) of respondents believe having a federal government budget surplus was not important for them personally.

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total important

    Total not important

    Total important

    Total not important

    Total important

    Total not important

    …for the country as a whole

    59%

    31%

    78%

    16%

    58%

    34%

    …for you personally

    39%

    49%

    59%

    32%

    28%

    65%

    Looking at the results by voting intention, Coalition voters were the most likely to regard a federal budget surplus to be important for the country as a whole (78%) as well as for them personally (59%).

    Greens voters were the most likely to regard it as not important for them personally (65%).

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