29 January 2013, 290113, Australian economy, economic conditions
Q. Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same?
|
1 Dec |
15 Jun 09 |
5 |
28 Jun |
18 Oct |
4 Apr |
4 |
3 Oct |
26 Mar 12 |
7 May |
27 Aug 12 |
Tot |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Gre |
|
| Total better |
21% |
43% |
66% |
33% |
40% |
27% |
22% |
16% |
25% |
23% |
22% |
29% |
50% |
21% |
18% |
| Total worse |
61% |
37% |
15% |
31% |
30% |
37% |
49% |
58% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
37% |
22% |
51% |
33% |
| Get a lot better |
2% |
5% |
8% |
5% |
6% |
4% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
4% |
8% |
2% |
5% |
| Get a little better |
19% |
38% |
58% |
28% |
34% |
23% |
19% |
14% |
22% |
21% |
19% |
25% |
42% |
19% |
13% |
| Get a little worse |
45% |
28% |
11% |
23% |
20% |
27% |
31% |
41% |
31% |
31% |
30% |
28% |
18% |
37% |
25% |
| Get a lot worse |
16% |
9% |
4% |
8% |
10% |
10% |
18% |
17% |
15% |
15% |
15% |
9% |
4% |
14% |
8% |
| Stay much the same |
13% |
17% |
15% |
30% |
24% |
27% |
25% |
22% |
21% |
25% |
27% |
27% |
24% |
25% |
42% |
| No opinion |
5% |
3% |
4% |
7% |
6% |
8% |
4% |
4% |
7% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
4% |
3% |
7% |
Confidence in the economic outlook has improved since August. The percentage of respondents believing conditions will get better increased 7 points to 29%, while those believing that economic conditions will get worse over the next 12 months dropped 8 points to 37%. This is the most positive outlook recorded since October 2010.
Labor voters are optimistic overall – 50% better/22% worse. Coalition voters are the most pessimistic, with 51% believing that thing will get worse over the next 12 months and only 21% better.
There was little difference across demographic groups except for older respondents – of those aged 55+, 27% think conditions will get better and 48% worse.
29 January 2013, 290113, full wages at 18, pay for young workers, rates of pay, young workers wage
Q. Do you think all workers aged 18-20 should receive the same rates of pay for doing the same work as those aged 21 and over or should 18-20 year-olds be paid lower rates?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Aged 18-34 |
Aged 35-54 |
Aged 55+ |
|
| 18-20 year-olds should be paid the same rates |
52% |
57% |
48% |
54% |
55% |
52% |
49% |
| 18-20 year-olds should be paid lower rates |
37% |
32% |
44% |
33% |
33% |
36% |
44% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
11% |
8% |
13% |
12% |
11% |
7% |
52% support adult wages for 18-21 year olds and 37% think they should be paid lower rates. There was greater support for adult rates across all demographic groups except those aged 65+ where 48% supported lower rates compared to 46% for adult rates.
Support among those aged 18-24 was only a little higher than the average at 59%.
Part-time workers (59%) were more supportive of adult rates that full-time workers (47%).
29 January 2013, 290113, climate change, human activity, normal fluctuation
Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?
|
Nov 09 |
Dec 10 |
30 May 11 |
14 Jun 11 |
15 Oct 12 |
Total 29 Jan 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity |
53% |
45% |
52% |
50% |
48% |
51% |
67% |
34% |
79% |
| We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate |
34% |
36% |
36% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
27% |
58% |
14% |
| Don’t know |
13% |
19% |
12% |
12% |
13% |
9% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
51% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 40% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is little changed since this question was previously asked in October last year.
By age groups, those aged under 35 split 62%/29% and those aged 55+ split 38%/57%. People on higher incomes were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those earning under $1,000pw split 46%/47% while those earning over $1,000pw split 56%/38%.
29 January 2013, 290113, carbon pricing scheme, carbon tax support
Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s carbon pricing scheme which was introduced in July 2012 and requires industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?
|
7 Mar 2011 |
14 June 2011 |
19 Sep 2011 |
21 Nov 2011 |
25 Jun 2012 |
2 Oct 12 |
Total 29 Jan 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total support |
35% |
38% |
37% |
38% |
35% |
38% |
37% |
60% |
19% |
61% |
| Total oppose |
48% |
49% |
52% |
53% |
54% |
48% |
50% |
24% |
75% |
30% |
| Strongly support |
9% |
13% |
14% |
14% |
14% |
12% |
11% |
21% |
3% |
23% |
| Support |
26% |
25% |
23% |
24% |
21% |
26% |
26% |
39% |
16% |
38% |
| Oppose |
19% |
19% |
17% |
17% |
19% |
22% |
22% |
16% |
27% |
19% |
| Strongly oppose |
29% |
30% |
35% |
36% |
35% |
26% |
28% |
8% |
48% |
11% |
| Don’t know |
18% |
13% |
12% |
10% |
11% |
14% |
12% |
16% |
7% |
9% |
Support for carbon pricing has not changed significantly since the last time the question was polled in October 2012. Support is down a point to 37% and opposition up 2 points to 50%.
Looking at the results by voting intention, Labor voters (60%) and Greens voters (61%) were the most likely to support carbon pricing, whereas 75% of Coalition voters oppose it.
Younger respondents were more likely to support carbon pricing than older respondents – for those aged under 35, 44% support and 39% oppose while 60% of those aged 55+ oppose and 35% support.
29 January 2013, 290113, Australia Day, celebration, citizens day, public holiday
Q. Saturday 26th January is Australia Day with the public holiday on the Monday. Will you personally be doing anything to celebrate Australia Day or do you treat it as just a public holiday?
|
18 Jan 10 |
Total 29 Jan 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Aged 18-34 |
Aged 35-54 |
Aged 55+ |
|
| Doing something to celebrate Australia Day |
40% |
41% |
43% |
44% |
27% |
45% |
38% |
39% |
| Just a public holiday |
40% |
43% |
41% |
41% |
61% |
38% |
46% |
44% |
| Working – don’t get the Australia Day holiday |
6% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
2% |
8% |
8% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
14% |
9% |
9% |
7% |
10% |
8% |
8% |
12% |
41% of people surveyed said they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day, 43% treat Australia Day as just a public holiday and 7% are working because they don’t get the Australia Day holiday. These are similar results to the last time this question was asked three years ago.
Females were more likely to indicate they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day (45%) while males were more likely to think it is just a public holiday (45%).
18-34 year olds were more likely than those in other age groups to be doing something to celebrate Australia Day (45%).
22 January 2013., 220113, Courier Mail, Herald Sun, SMH, The Age, The Australian, the telegraph, trust in newspapers
Q. How much trust do you have in what you read in the following newspapers?
|
Total a lot/some 25 Jul 11 |
Total a lot/some 25 Jun 12 |
Total a lot/some 21 Jan 13 |
A lot of trust |
Some trust |
Not much trust |
No trust at all |
Don’t know |
|
| The Australian |
69% |
60% |
65% |
10% |
55% |
20% |
10% |
5% |
| The Telegraph (NSW only) |
52% |
49% |
48% |
5% |
43% |
35% |
15% |
2% |
| Sydney Morning Herald (NSW only) |
74% |
69% |
71% |
12% |
59% |
20% |
9% |
1% |
| The Age (Victoria only) |
79% |
76% |
71% |
11% |
60% |
16% |
9% |
4% |
| Herald Sun (Victoria only) |
54% |
51% |
50% |
8% |
42% |
28% |
20% |
2% |
| Courier Mail (Queensland only) |
65% |
51% |
57% |
4% |
53% |
22% |
19% |
3% |
* Note : Percentages based only on respondents who had read each newspaper.
Among those who have read the newspaper, 11% have a lot of trust in The Age and 12% have a lot of trust in the SMH. 10% of readers of The Australian have a lot of trust in the newspaper but only 5% have a lot of trust in The Telegraph and 4% in the Courier mail. 50% have not much or no trust in The Telegraph and 48% have not much or no trust in The Herald Sun.
Overall, the most trusted newspapers were The Age (71% a lot/some trust) and the SMH (71%). The least trusted were The Telegraph (48% a lot/some trust) and the HeraldSun (50%).
Since this question was asked last year, there have been increase in trust in the Courier Mail (up 6%) and The Australian (up 5%), while the Age has declined by 5%.
22 January 2013., 220113, trust in media
Q. How much trust do you have in what you read or hear in the following media?
|
Total a lot 15 |
Total a lot /some 25 |
Total a lot /some 12 |
Total a lot 25 |
Total a lot 21 |
A lot of trust |
Some trust |
Not much trust |
No trust at all |
Don’t know |
Don’t use |
|
| News and opinion in daily newspapers |
62% |
53% |
46% |
52% |
48% |
4% |
44% |
29% |
15% |
1% |
7% |
| News and opinion in local newspapers |
– |
54% |
52% |
56% |
55% |
7% |
48% |
24% |
13% |
1% |
6% |
| Commercial TV news and current affairs |
64% |
48% |
43% |
46% |
44% |
4% |
40% |
32% |
19% |
1% |
2% |
| ABC TV news and current affairs |
70% |
71% |
72% |
74% |
73% |
22% |
51% |
14% |
7% |
1% |
5% |
| Commercial radio news and current affairs |
54% |
46% |
45% |
45% |
46% |
4% |
42% |
32% |
16% |
2% |
5% |
| ABC radio news and current affairs |
62% |
67% |
67% |
69% |
70% |
19% |
51% |
14% |
6% |
2% |
9% |
| Commercial radio talkback programs |
38% |
33% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
3% |
29% |
28% |
28% |
2% |
10% |
| ABC radio talkback programs |
45% |
47% |
47% |
50% |
49% |
8% |
41% |
23% |
12% |
3% |
12% |
| News and opinion websites |
49% |
41% |
38% |
40% |
40% |
3% |
37% |
35% |
16% |
2% |
6% |
| Internet blogs |
20% |
20% |
17% |
20% |
23% |
1% |
22% |
33% |
29% |
3% |
12% |
Overall, trust in media has changed little since this question was asked last year.
The most trusted media by a wide margin were ABC TV news and current affairs (73% a lot/some trust) and ABC radio news and current affairs (70%).
The least trusted were internet blogs (23%) and commercial radio talkback programs (32%).
21 January 2013, 210113, 2PP, ALP, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,861 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
Last week ago 14/1/13 |
This week 21/01/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
4% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.