26 August 2013, 260813, candidate meeting, door-knocked, involvement with election campaign, leaflets, Tv advertising, volunteer
Q. Over the last few weeks, which of the following types of involvement have you had in the Federal election campaign?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Met one of my local candidates |
8% |
10% |
8% |
5% |
|
| Received election leaflets in my letterbox |
55% |
57% |
56% |
66% |
|
| Been door-knocked by a political party |
4% |
5% |
4% |
3% |
|
| Been handed election materials in the street |
7% |
9% |
7% |
6% |
|
| Had a phone call from a political party |
5% |
5% |
6% |
7% |
|
| Been surveyed by phone or door-to-door (not online surveys) |
4% |
6% |
4% |
1% |
|
| Seen TV advertising or heard radio advertising from political parties |
57% |
60% |
58% |
66% |
|
| Watched interviews with politicians on TV or heard them on radio |
44% |
43% |
46% |
56% |
|
| Read articles about the election in newspapers or magazines |
38% |
35% |
39% |
53% |
|
| Been to a political meeting or event |
2% |
2% |
2% |
– |
|
| Seen election advertising on Youtube or Facebook |
8% |
11% |
6% |
12% |
|
| Joined a Facebook group related to the election |
4% |
5% |
2% |
5% |
|
| Done volunteer work for a candidate (e.g. letterboxing) |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
| None of these |
26% |
22% |
27% |
17% |
57% say they have seen TV or heard radio advertising from political parties, 55% have received election leaflets in their letterbox, 44% have watched or heard interviews with politicians on TV or radio and 38% have read articles about the election.
Greens voters were more likely to watch or listen to interviews with politicians (56%) and read articles (53%).
Older respondents tended to be more engaged with the election – of those aged 55+, 59% had watched or listened to interviews with politicians and 51% had read articles about the election.
26 August 2013, 260813, labor scheme, liberal scheme, paid parental leave
Q. The Opposition’s parental leave policy is to give new parents up to 26 weeks leave at their current full rate of pay (up to $150,000) to be partly paid for by a 1.5 per cent levy on large companies. The Labor Government’s policy gives new parents 18 weeks leave at the minimum wage rate paid for by the Government. Which scheme do you support most?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| The Government’s scheme |
35% |
58% |
19% |
38% |
|
| The Opposition’s scheme |
24% |
14% |
36% |
20% |
|
| Neither |
28% |
15% |
35% |
25% |
|
| Don’t know |
13% |
13% |
10% |
17% |
35% support the Government’s paid parental leave scheme and 24% support the Coalition’s scheme more. 28% support neither scheme.
The Government’s scheme is supported by both men (37% to 25%) and women (34% to 23%).
By age group, those aged 18-34 support the Coalition’s scheme 35% to 33% while aged 35-54 support the Government’s scheme 35% to 22% and those aged 55+ support the Government’s scheme 37% to 14%.
26 August 2013, 260813, liberal government, spending cuts
Q. If the Liberal Party win Government, how likely do you think it is that they will be able to pay for their policies and election commitments without making more cuts in spending after the election?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Very likely |
9% |
1% |
19% |
5% |
|
| Somewhat likely |
16% |
11% |
27% |
6% |
|
| Somewhat unlikely |
20% |
19% |
24% |
14% |
|
| Very unlikely |
41% |
61% |
16% |
66% |
|
| Don’t know |
14% |
8% |
14% |
10% |
61% think it is unlikely that a Liberal Government will be able to pay for their policies and election commitments without making more cuts in spending after the election – only 25% think it is likely.
40% of Liberal/National voters think it is unlikely.
26 August 2013, 260813, Labor Government, spending cuts
Q. If the Labor Party win Government, how likely do you think it is that they will be able to pay for their policies and election commitments without making more cuts in spending after the election?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Very likely |
7% |
13% |
2% |
8% |
|
| Somewhat likely |
20% |
42% |
3% |
28% |
|
| Somewhat unlikely |
24% |
27% |
18% |
38% |
|
| Very unlikely |
35% |
8% |
67% |
13% |
|
| Don’t know |
14% |
11% |
10% |
14% |
59% think it is unlikely that a Labor Government will be able to pay for their policies and election commitments without making more cuts in spending after the election – only 27% think it is likely.
35% of Labor voters think it is unlikely.
19 August 2013, 190813, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,902 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 22/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 5/8/13 |
Last week 13/8/13 |
This week 19/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
40% |
40% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
45% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
39% |
38% |
39% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
7% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 22/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 5/8/13 |
Last week 13/8/13 |
This week 19/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
51% |
51% |
50% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
19 August 2013, 190813, firmness of vote, Voting intention
Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held this year?
|
Total Gave voting intention |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Other party/ Independent |
|
Total 5 Aug |
|
| I will definitely not change my mind |
46% |
45% |
56% |
27% |
16% |
44% |
||
| It is very unlikely I will change my mind |
32% |
33% |
28% |
37% |
38% |
30% |
||
| It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops |
17% |
16% |
11% |
24% |
44% |
21% |
||
| Don’t know |
5% |
6% |
4% |
12% |
2% |
5% |
46% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 32% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 17% say it is quite possible they will change. This represents a firming of voting intention since this question was asked two weeks ago.
Those most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind were Greens voters (24%), other party and independent voters (44%) and aged 25-34 (25%).
19 August 2013, 190813, Divided, Labor Party Attributes, vision for the future
Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?
|
6 Jul 09 |
14 Mar 10 |
27 April 11 |
28 May 12 |
2 Apr 13 |
|
Total 19 Aug |
Change |
|
| Divided |
30% |
36% |
66% |
73% |
82% |
66% |
-16 |
|
| Will promise to do anything to win votes |
57% |
63% |
72% |
70% |
71% |
65% |
-6 |
|
| Looks after the interests of working people |
|
|
39% |
47% |
42% |
53% |
+11 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
44% |
48% |
61% |
58% |
63% |
51% |
-12 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
62% |
54% |
40% |
46% |
39% |
50% |
+11 |
|
| Have a vision for the future |
|
|
43% |
41% |
42% |
49% |
+7 |
|
| Moderate |
65% |
63% |
51% |
50% |
47% |
48% |
+1 |
|
| Have good policies |
|
|
|
|
|
46% |
na |
|
| Clear about what they stand for |
|
|
28% |
31% |
27% |
38% |
+11 |
|
| Has a good team of leaders |
60% |
52% |
34% |
29% |
24% |
36% |
+12 |
|
| Extreme |
25% |
26% |
38% |
31% |
38% |
34% |
-4 |
|
| Too close to the big corporate and financial interests |
|
|
46% |
36% |
39% |
31% |
-8 |
|
| Trustworthy |
|
|
|
|
|
30% |
na |
|
| Keeps its promises |
44% |
33% |
20% |
22% |
19% |
27% |
+8 |
The Labor Party’s main attributes were – divided (66%), will promise anything to win votes (65%), looks after the interests of working people (53%), out of touch with ordinary people (51%) and understands the problems facing Australia (50%).
Main changes since April were – divided (down 16% to 66%), has a good team of leaders (up 12% to 36%), out of touch with ordinary people (down 12% to 51%), looks after the interests of working people (up 11% to 53%), understands the problems facing Australia (up 11% to 50%) and clear about what they stand for (up 11% to 38%).
19 August 2013, 190813, attributes of the liberal party, Liberal Party Attributes
Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?
|
6 Jul 09 |
14 Mar 10 |
27 April 11 |
28 May 12 |
2 Apr 13 |
|
Total 19 Aug |
Change |
|
| Will promise to do anything to win votes |
67% |
72% |
65% |
63% |
67% |
65% |
-2 |
|
| Too close to the big corporate and financial interests |
|
|
60% |
58% |
59% |
60% |
+1 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
62% |
58% |
54% |
53% |
54% |
58% |
+4 |
|
| Have a vision for the future |
|
|
48% |
48% |
52% |
51% |
-1 |
|
| Moderate |
50% |
50% |
55% |
52% |
52% |
48% |
-4 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
44% |
43% |
51% |
52% |
50% |
48% |
-2 |
|
| Clear about what they stand for |
|
|
44% |
46% |
48% |
45% |
-3 |
|
| Extreme |
36% |
38% |
36% |
34% |
35% |
39% |
+4 |
|
| Have good policies |
|
|
|
|
|
38% |
na |
|
| Has a good team of leaders |
29% |
31% |
40% |
39% |
41% |
36% |
-5 |
|
| Looks after the interests of working people |
|
|
38% |
40% |
40% |
36% |
-4 |
|
| Keeps its promises |
28% |
23% |
33% |
34% |
34% |
32% |
-2 |
|
| Divided |
74% |
66% |
49% |
37% |
32% |
31% |
-1 |
|
| Trustworthy |
|
|
|
|
|
30% |
na |
The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (65%), too close to the big corporate and financial interest (60%), out of touch with ordinary people (58%) and have a vision for the future (51%).
The only substantial change since April was a drop in the figure for “has a good team of leaders” – down 5% to 36%.