020913, 2 September 2013, Coalition, economy, environment, Greens, Interest rates, Labor, party trust, quality education
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
|
Labor |
Liberal |
Greens |
Don’t know |
|
Difference 2 Sep 13 |
Difference 23 Jul 13 |
|
| Management of the economy |
32% |
47% |
4% |
18% |
-15 |
-15 |
|
| Ensuring a quality education for all children |
42% |
32% |
8% |
19% |
+10 |
+9 |
|
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
37% |
34% |
8% |
21% |
+3 |
+1 |
|
| Protecting the environment |
19% |
21% |
43% |
17% |
+22 |
+18 |
|
| A fair industrial relations system |
41% |
31% |
7% |
21% |
+10 |
+11 |
|
| Political leadership |
31% |
40% |
6% |
23% |
-9 |
-7 |
|
| Addressing climate change |
24% |
23% |
32% |
21% |
+9 |
+7 |
|
| Controlling interest rates |
29% |
41% |
4% |
26% |
-12 |
-14 |
|
| Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
38% |
36% |
5% |
21% |
-2 |
-1 |
|
| Ensuring a quality water supply |
22% |
30% |
22% |
26% |
-8 |
-7 |
|
| Housing affordability |
30% |
32% |
7% |
31% |
-2 |
-2 |
|
| Ensuring a fair taxation system |
32% |
37% |
6% |
26% |
-5 |
-2 |
|
| Security and the war on terrorism |
27% |
38% |
5% |
30% |
-11 |
-15 |
|
| Treatment of asylum seekers |
23% |
36% |
16% |
26% |
-13 |
-11 |
|
| Managing population growth |
24% |
33% |
9% |
34% |
-9 |
-13 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Liberal % from Labor % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Greens minus Liberal.
The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (+10) and a fair industrial relations system (+10).
The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle management of the economy (-15), treatment of asylum seekers (-13), controlling interest rates (-12) and security and the war on terrorism (-11).
There have been no major changes since this question was last asked in July.
020913, 2 September 2013, Budget Surplus, economic issue, inflation, Interest rates, tax levels, unemployment, wealth disparity
Q. Which of the following economic issues are you personally most concerned about?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Unemployment |
23% |
28% |
22% |
20% |
|
| Wealth disparity |
19% |
29% |
7% |
43% |
|
| Tax levels |
15% |
8% |
21% |
12% |
|
| Inflation |
13% |
13% |
14% |
5% |
|
| Budget surplus |
11% |
3% |
20% |
3% |
|
| Interest rates |
9% |
10% |
10% |
8% |
|
| None of them |
7% |
6% |
6% |
9% |
|
| Don’t know |
3% |
4% |
1% |
– |
23% were most concerned about unemployment, 19% about wealth disparity and 15% about tax levels. Only 11% were most concerned about a budget surplus.
Labor voters were most concerned about wealth disparity (29%) and unemployment (28%), while Liberal/National voters were most concerned about unemployment (22%), tax levels (21%) and a budget surplus (20%).
020913, 2 September 2013, border security, climate change, issue of concern, marriage equality, population growth
Q. And which of these other issues are you personally most concerned about?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Border security |
30% |
20% |
48% |
5% |
|
| Climate change |
16% |
23% |
5% |
45% |
|
| Population growth |
12% |
10% |
13% |
4% |
|
| Marriage equality |
9% |
11% |
4% |
24% |
|
| Treatment of the aged |
17% |
21% |
16% |
12% |
|
| Treatment of the disabled |
7% |
10% |
4% |
7% |
|
| None of them |
5% |
3% |
7% |
4% |
|
| Don’t know |
4% |
2% |
3% |
– |
30% were most concerned about border security, 17% treatment of the aged and 16% climate change.
Border security (48%) was the main issue of concern to Liberal/National voters and 45% of Greens voters nominated climate change.
26 August 2013, 260813, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,795 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 13/8/13 |
Last week 19/8/13 |
This week 26/8/13 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
40% |
41% |
40% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
11% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/7/13 |
2 weeks ago 13/8/13 |
Last week 19/8/13 |
This week 26/8/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
51% |
50% |
50% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
26 August 2013, 260813, firmess of vote, Voting intention
Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election to be held this year?
|
Total Gave voting intention |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Other party/ Independent |
|
Total 5 Aug |
Total 19 Aug |
|
| I will definitely not change my mind |
47% |
46% |
60% |
26% |
22% |
44% |
46% |
||
| It is very unlikely I will change my mind |
30% |
32% |
26% |
38% |
33% |
30% |
32% |
||
| It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops |
18% |
17% |
11% |
30% |
41% |
21% |
17% |
||
| Don’t know |
4% |
5% |
3% |
6% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
47% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 30% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 18% say it is quite possible they will change. This represents little change since this question was asked a week ago.
Those most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind were Greens voters (30%), other party and independent voters (41%) and aged 25-34 (25%).
26 August 2013, 260813, Approval of Kevin Rudd
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Julia Gillard 11 Jun 13 |
|
Kevin Rudd 15 Jul |
Kevin Rudd 13 Aug |
|
Kevin Rudd 26 Aug |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
50% |
45% |
41% |
||
| Total disapprove |
54% |
35% |
43% |
45% |
||
| Strongly approve |
10% |
18% |
11% |
11% |
||
| Approve |
27% |
32% |
34% |
30% |
||
| Disapprove |
21% |
15% |
21% |
20% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
33% |
20% |
22% |
25% |
||
| Don’t know |
9% |
16% |
12% |
14% |
Kevin Rudd’s approval ratings have fallen since last measured 2 weeks ago. 41% (down 4%) approve of the job Kevin Rudd is doing as Prime Minister and 45% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +2 to -4.
82% of Labor voters approve (down 6%) and 8% disapprove (up 2%).
By gender – men 43% approve/47% disapprove, women 39% approve/44% disapprove. In net terms this represents a shift with men from +6 to -4 and with women from -1 to -5.
26 August 2013, 260813, Approval of Tony Abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
18 Jan 2010 |
5 Jul
|
20 Dec |
14 June 2011 |
12 Dec |
12 Jun 2012 |
10 Dec |
11 Mar 2013 |
11 Jun |
15 Jul |
13 Aug |
|
26 Aug |
|
| Total approve |
37% |
37% |
39% |
38% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
37% |
40% |
39% |
37% |
37% |
|
| Total disapprove |
37% |
47% |
39% |
48% |
53% |
54% |
56% |
51% |
49% |
51% |
51% |
52% |
|
| Strongly approve |
5% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
10% |
11% |
9% |
10% |
|
| Approve |
32% |
29% |
30% |
32% |
26% |
26% |
25% |
30% |
30% |
28% |
28% |
27% |
|
| Disapprove |
20% |
23% |
21% |
25% |
25% |
24% |
25% |
22% |
17% |
21% |
21% |
23% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
17% |
24% |
18% |
23% |
28% |
30% |
31% |
29% |
32% |
30% |
30% |
29% |
|
| Don’t know |
26% |
16% |
22% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
Tony Abbott’s approval ratings have changed little over the past two weeks. 37% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 52% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -14 to -15 over the last 2 weeks.
73% (down 3%) of Coalition voters approve and 18% (up 4%) disapprove.
By gender – men 45% approve/47% disapprove, women 29% approve/57% disapprove. In net terms this represents no net change with men (at -2) and a shift with women from -24 to -28.
26 August 2013, 260813, Better PM, kevin rudd, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?
|
Gillard/ Abbott 11 Jun 13 |
|
Rudd/ Abbott 15 Jul 13
|
Rudd/ Abbott 13 Aug 13 Total |
|
Rudd/ Abbott 26 Aug 13 Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard/Kevin Rudd |
39% |
50% |
47% |
43% |
89% |
4% |
63% |
||
| Tony Abbott |
40% |
35% |
35% |
34% |
1% |
77% |
6% |
||
| Don’t know |
21% |
15% |
18% |
23% |
10% |
19% |
31% |
43% (down 4%) believe Kevin Rudd would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Kevin Rudd 41%/38% and women prefer Kevin Rudd 45%/30%.