Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 8, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,896 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

11/3/13

2 weeks ago

25/2/13

Last week

2/4/13

This week

8/4/13

Liberal

45%

45%

47%

47%

National

3%

2%

2%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

34%

33%

31%

32%

Greens

11.8%

9%

11%

11%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

54%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

45%

46%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 2, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,818 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

4/3/13

2 weeks ago

18/2/13

Last week

25/3/13

This week

2/4/13

Liberal

46%

45%

45%

47%

National

3%

2%

2%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

47%

47%

49%

Labor

38.0%

32%

35%

33%

31%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

11%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

54%

54%

56%

Labor

50.1%

44%

46%

46%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 25, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,797 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

25/2/13

2 weeks ago

11/2/13

Last week

18/3/13

This week

25/3/13

Liberal

46%

45%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

2%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

34%

35%

33%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

11%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

8%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

55%

54%

54%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

46%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 18, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,874 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

18/2/13

2 weeks ago

4/2/13

Last week

11/3/13

This week

18/3/13

Liberal

44%

46%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

47%

49%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

35%

32%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

56%

55%

54%

Labor

50.1%

46%

44%

45%

46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 11, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,948 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

11/2/13

2 weeks ago

25/2/13

Last week

4/3/13

This week

11/3/13

Liberal

45%

46%

46%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

38.0%

34%

34%

32%

34%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

10%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

8%

8%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

56%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

45%

44%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 4, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,894 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

5/2/13

2 weeks ago

18/2/13

Last week

25/2/13

This week

4/3/13

Liberal

45%

44%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

34%

35%

34%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

54%

56%

56%

Labor

50.1%

46%

46%

44%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Firmness of vote

Mar 4, 2013

Q. Thinking about the Federal election to be held on September 14, which of the following statements best describes you how you will vote?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

I have firmly made up my mind

46%

52%

58%

38%

I am leaning in one direction, but it could change

31%

37%

30%

45%

I haven’t made up my mind

16%

9%

7%

16%

Don’t know

6%

3%

4%

1%

46% of respondents said they had firmly made up their mind about how they will vote in the September election. 31% say they are leaning in one direction but could change and 22% haven’t made up their mind or don’t know.

58% of those indicating they would currently vote Liberal/National said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 52% of current Labor voters and only 38% of current Greens voters.

65% of those aged 55+ said they had firmly made up their mind compared to 35% of those aged under 35.

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 25, 2013

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

29/1/13

2 weeks ago

11/2/13

Last week

18/2/13

This week

25/2/13

Liberal

44%

45%

44%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

47%

49%

Labor

38.0%

35%

34%

35%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

9%

8%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

 

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

55%

54%

56%

Labor

50.1%

46%

45%

46%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Pages:«1...9101112131415...34»

COVID-19 RESEARCH

Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.