Essential Report

State voting intention – Victoria

May 30, 2014

 

Victoria

Election

Nov 2010

 

Nov-Dec 12

Mar 13

Nov 13

Dec 13

Jan 14

Feb 14

Mar 14

Apr 14

May 14

Sample

 

1,170

849

930

734

798

1,039

962

1,226

1,005

First preference vote

 

Liberal/National

44.8%

43%

45%

41%

43%

40%

37%

42%

42%

38%

Labor

36.2%

39%

36%

38%

40%

40%

42%

39%

39%

40%

Greens

11.2%

11%

12%

13%

9%

11%

12%

9%

11%

10%

Palmer United Party

3%

2%

2%

2%

2%

4%

Other/Independent

7.8%

7%

7%

8%

6%

6%

6%

8%

6%

8%

2PP
Liberal/National

51.6%

50%

52%

48%

50%

48%

45%

50%

49%

47%

Labor

48.4%

50%

48%

52%

50%

52%

55%

50%

51%

53%

 

Victoria – voting intention

Nov 5, 2010

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,465

First preference/leaning to  Total Election Nov 06  Change
Liberal 42% 34.4%  
National 2% 5.2%  
Total Lib/Nat 44% 39.6% +4.4%
Labor 38% 43.1% -5.1%
Greens 12% 10.0% +2.0%
Other/Independent 6% 7.3% -1.3%
2PP Total Election Nov 06  Change
Total Lib/Nat 50% 45.6% +4.4%
Labor 50% 54.4% 4.4%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »

Special Essential Report – Federal Voting Intention by State

Aug 17, 2010

Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August –  to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?

First preference

Total NSW Victoria Queensland SA WA
Liberal 40% 42% 37% 42% 39% 47%
National 3% 4% 3% 4% 2%
Coalition 43% 46% 40% 46% 40% 49%
Labor 40% 38% 43% 36% 39% 37%
Greens 10% 7% 11% 10% 12% 10%
Others 7% 8% 6% 8% 9% 5%

2PP

Total NSW Victoria Queensland SA WA
Liberal/National 49% 52% 45% 53% 46% 53%
Labor 51% 48% 55% 47% 54% 47%
Labor 2PP 2007 election 52.7% 53.7% 54.3% 50.4% 52.4% 46.7%
Shift in Labor vote since 2007 election -1.7 -5.7 +0.7 -3.4 +1.6 +0.3

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

Comments »

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