Approval of Julia Gillard

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept 17 Oct
Total approve 52% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35% 28% 34%
Total disapprove 30% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55% 64% 59%
Strongly approve 11% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7%
Approve 41% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29% 23% 27%
Disapprove 17% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24% 28% 27%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31% 36% 32%
Don’t know 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11% 8% 7%

After dropping last month Julia Gillard’s approval rating has improved this month. 34% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 59% (down 5%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -36 to -25 over the last 5 weeks.

74% of Labor voters approve (up 8%) and 21% disapprove (down 5%).

By gender – men 36% approve/60% disapprove, women 32% approve/58% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Oct 17, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept 17 Oct Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 36% 38% 82% 4% 85%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 40% 39% 2% 82% 4%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 24% 23% 16% 14% 11%

38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 3% on last month’s figures (from -4% to -1%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/38% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Sep 12, 2011

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

19 Jul 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept
Total approve 52% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35% 28%
Total disapprove 30% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55% 64%
Strongly approve 11% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5%
Approve 41% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29% 23%
Disapprove 17% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24% 28%
Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31% 36%
Don’t know 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11% 8%

After improving last month Julia Gillard’s approval rating has dropped back to a level similar to the July result. 28% (down 7%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 64% (up 9%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -20 to -36 over the last 4 weeks.

66% of Labor voters approve (down 11%) and 26% disapprove (up 13%).

By gender – men 29% approve/65% disapprove, women 27% approve/62% disapprove.

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Better Prime Minister

Sep 12, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug 12 Sept Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 36% 81% 5% 69%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 40% 5% 79% 8%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 24% 13% 16% 23%

36% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 40% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Tony Abbott of 6% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +4%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 43%/37% and women favour Tony Abbott 37%/36%.

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Better Prime Minister

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 85% 6% 68% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 5% 75% 9% 30%
Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 10% 19% 24% 23%

37% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 39% prefer Tony Abbott – the first time that Tony Abbott has been preferred over Julia Gillard – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 7% on last month’s figures (from +5% to -2%).

Men prefer Tony Abbott 42%/36% and women favour Julia Gillard 38%/36%.

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Vote if Kevin Rudd Labor Leader

Jun 27, 2011

Q. If Kevin Rudd was the leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party), to which party will you probably give your first preference vote if a Federal Election was held today? If not sure, which party would you lean toward?

First preference Total Gave vote
Liberal 36% 39%
National 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 39% 42%
Labor 41% 45%
Greens 7% 8%
Other/Independent 5% 6%
Don’t know 8%

If Kevin Rudd was leader of the Labor Party (and Tony Abbott was leader of the Liberal Party) 45% said they would give their first preference vote to Labor (up 13%) and 42% to the Liberal or National Parties (down 6%). The Greens vote drops 3% to 8%.

In two party preferred terms, this equates to 53% Labor/47% Liberal/National – a swing of 8% to Labor.

Most of the increased Labor vote comes from Liberal/National voters  – 12% of Liberal/National voters said they would vote Labor if Kevin Rudd was leader.

Groups with the largest shifts to Labor were women, aged under 35, NSW and lower incomes.

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Vote if Malcolm Turnbull Liberal Leader

Jun 27, 2011

Q. If Malcolm Turnbull was the leader of the Liberal Party (and Julia Gillard was leader of the Labor Party), to which party will you probably give your first preference vote if a Federal Election was held today? If not sure, which party would you lean toward?

First preference Total Gave vote
Liberal 44% 49%
National 4% 4%
Total Lib/Nat 48% 53%
Labor 28% 31%
Greens 7% 8%
Other/Independent 7% 8%
Don’t know 10%

If Malcolm Turnbull was leader of the Liberal Party (and Julia Gillard was leader of the Labor Party) 31% said they would give their first preference vote to Labor (down 1%) and 53% to the Liberal or National Parties (up 5%). The Greens vote drops 3% to 8%.

In two party preferred terms, this equates to 41% Labor/59% Liberal/National – a swing of 4% to Liberal/National.

Most of the increased Liberal/National vote comes from Labor voters  – 13% of Labor voters said they would vote Liberal if Malcolm Turnbull was leader.

The group with the largest shift to Liberal/National was people on higher incomes.

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Attributes to describe the Prime Minister

Jun 27, 2011

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

5 Jul 10 4 Oct 10 7 Feb 11 27 Jun 11 Difference
Intelligent 87% 81% 75% 73% -2%
Hard-working 89% 82% 76% 75% -1%
A capable leader 72% 59% 52% 42% -10%
Arrogant 37% 39% 44% 48% +4%
Out of touch with ordinary people 35% 44% 50% 60% +10%
Understands the problems facing Australia 68% 55% 52% 44% -8%
Visionary 48% 38% 30% 26% -4%
Superficial 51% 52% +1%
Good in a crisis 61% 46% 46% 41% -5%
Narrow-minded 28% 35% 43% 46% +3%
More honest than most politicians 45% 37% 37% 29% -8%
Trustworthy 49% 42% 40% 30% -10%

Julia Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (75%), intelligent (73%) and out of touch with ordinary people (60%).

Major changes since this question was asked in February were an increase of 10% for out of touch (to 60%) and decreases for a capable leader (down 10% to 42%) and trustworthy (down 10% to 30%).

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