The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Nov, 2019

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    Performance of Scott Morrison

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

    Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
    NET: Approve 45% 47% 49% 48% 48% 48%
    NET: Disapprove 41% 38% 36% 37% 34% 36%
    Don’t know 13% 15% 15% 16% 18% 18%
    Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

     

    Total Voting Intention
    Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
    Strongly approve 12% 4% 27% 2% 3%
    Approve 33% 22% 56% 13% 31%
    Disapprove 21% 32% 10% 28% 27%
    Strongly disapprove 20% 32% 2% 43% 27%
    Don’t know 13% 11% 5% 15% 12%
    NET: Approve 45% 25% 83% 15% 34%
    NET: Disapprove 41% 64% 11% 71% 54%
    Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
    • There is a slight drop in the approval rating of the Prime Minister this month, with the 45% of participants approving of the job, down from 47% last month and 49% in September.
    • The vast majority of Coalition voters approve of Morrison’s performance as PM, with 83% approval (on par with 84% approval last month), compared to just 11% of Coalition voters who disapprove.
    • The main drivers of the decline in the PMs approval rating are men (approval now at 47%, down from 53% in October), Queensland residents (40%, down from 47% last month) and residents aged 18-34 (41%, down from 50% last month).
  • May, 2017

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    Malcolm Turnbull

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister? 

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Apr 2017 Mar 2017 Feb 2017 Jan 2017 Dec 2016 June 2016 Dec 2015
    Total Approve 37% 18% 75% 17% 20%   35% 33% 34% 37% 34% 38% 56%
    Total Disapprove 48% 70% 17% 72% 69%   47% 50% 49% 48% 46% 40% 23%
    Strongly approve 5% 2% 11% – 2% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 13%
    Approve 32% 16% 64% 17% 18% 30% 28% 29% 31% 29% 32% 43%
    Disapprove 29% 42% 15% 37% 40% 29% 30% 28% 30% 30% 24% 16%
    Strongly disapprove 19% 28% 2% 35% 29% 18% 20% 21% 18% 16% 16% 7%
    Don’t know 15%   12% 8% 12% 10%   17% 18% 16% 16% 20% 21% 21%

    37% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (up 2% from last month), and 48% disapproved (up 1% from last month).

    75% of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 18% of ALP voters and 17% of Greens voters.

  • May, 2017

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    Preferred Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten? 

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Apr 2017 Mar 2017 Feb 2017 Jan 2017 Dec 2016 Jun 2016 Dec 2015 Dec 2014
    Malcolm Turnbull 39% 11% 85% 12% 34%   39% 38% 39% 39% 39% 40% 54% 54%
    Bill Shorten 31% 61% 4% 59% 17%   28% 26% 25% 28% 28% 29% 15% 15%
    Don’t know 30%   27% 11% 30% 49%   32% 36% 36% 33% 33% 32% 31% 31%

    39% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (unchanged from last month), and 31% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 3%).

    The results were split by party, with 85% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 61% of ALP voters saying the Bill Shorten would.

    Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (59% preferred) to Turnbull (12%).

  • Apr, 2016

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    Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

    Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

     
    Total
     
    Vote Labor
    Vote Lib/Nat
    Vote Greens
    Vote other
     
    Oct 2015
    Nov 2015
    Dec 2015
    Jan 2016
    Feb 2016
    Mar 2016
    Total approve 39%   21% 69% 31% 16%   47% 56% 56% 51% 51% 45%
    Total disapprove 39%   60% 19% 52% 50%   17% 20% 23% 25% 27% 35%
    Strongly approve 7% 4% 15% 1% 1% 11% 12% 13% 9% 8% 6%
    Approve 32% 17% 54% 30% 15% 36% 44% 43% 42% 43% 39%
    Disapprove 23% 35% 15% 21% 27% 11% 14% 16% 16% 18% 24%
    Strongly disapprove 16% 25% 4% 31% 23% 6% 6% 7% 9% 9% 11%
    Don’t know 22% 19% 13% 17% 34% 35% 23% 21% 23% 21% 21%

    39% (down 6% since last month) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 39% (up 4%) disapprove – a net approval rating of zero (down 10).

    69% (down 6%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 19% (up 6%) disapproving. 21% (down 3%) of Labor voters and 31% (up 8%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

    By gender, men were 41% approve/42% disapprove and women 37% approve/37% disapprove.

  • Apr, 2016

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q: Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

     
    Total
     
    Vote Labor
    Vote Lib/Nat
    Vote Greens
    Vote other
     
    Sep 2015
    Oct 2015
    Nov 2015
    Dec 2015
    Jan 2016
    Feb 2016
    Mar 2016
    Malcolm Turnbull 44% 17% 79% 31% 37% 53% 48% 55% 54% 51% 52% 48%
    Bill Shorten 22% 52% 3% 40% 10% 17% 19% 14% 15% 18% 15% 19%
    Don’t know 34% 31% 18% 29% 53% 30% 33% 31% 31% 31% 33% 33%

    44% (down 4%) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 22% (up 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    49% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 22% prefer Bill Shorten.

    39% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 23% prefer Bill Shorten.

  • Oct, 2015

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    Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

    Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister? 

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Malcolm Turnbull as Opposition leader

    Nov 2009

    		 Tony Abbott as PM

    Sep 2015
    Total approve 47% 38% 70% 40% 24% 25% 33%
    Total disapprove 17% 23% 7% 31% 36% 55% 57%
    Strongly approve 11% 4% 22% 4% 3% 2% 9%
    Approve 36% 34% 48% 36% 21% 23% 24%
    Disapprove 11% 16% 4% 22% 20% 33% 25%
    Strongly disapprove 6% 7% 3% 9% 16% 22% 32%
    Don’t know 35% 37% 22% 29% 40% 19% 10%

    47% of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 17% disapprove – a net approval rating of +30.

    70% of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 7% disapproving. 38% of Labor voters and 40% of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

    By gender, men were 51% approve/20% disapprove and women 43% approve/16% disapprove.

  • Oct, 2015

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q: Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten? 

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Sep 2015   Abbott Shorten

    Sep 2015
    Malcolm Turnbull 48% 28% 80% 34% 36% 53% 32%
    Bill Shorten 19% 41% 5% 27% 12% 17% 35%
    Don’t know 33% 30% 14% 39% 51% 30% 32%

    48% (down 5% from 2 weeks ago) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 19% (up 2%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    50% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 20% prefer Bill Shorten.

    46% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 18% prefer Bill Shorten.

  • Oct, 2014

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten? 

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote Other

     

    Oct 2013

    Mar 2014

    June 2014

    July 2014

    Aug 2014

    Sep 2014
    Tony Abbott

    38%

    7%

    85%

    12%

    29%

    41%

    39%

    36%

    34%

    37%

    35%
    Bill Shorten

    32%

    63%

    2%

    56%

    30%

    22%

    33%

    40%

    37%

    36%

    36%
    Don’t know

    30%

    29%

    13%

    32%

    41%

    37%

    28%

    24%

    29%

    27%

    30%

    38% (up 3% since September) of respondents think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 32% (down 4%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister. This is Tony Abbott’s best figure since April.

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 41% to 33% and women prefer Tony Abbott 36% to 30%.

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