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  • Apr, 2011

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    Opinion of NBN

    Q. From what you’ve heard, do you favour or oppose the planned national broadband network (NBN)?

    27 Sep 2010 14 Feb 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total favour 56% 48% 54% 76% 36% 81%
    Total oppose 18% 31% 28% 8% 49% 8%
    Strongly favour 27% 19% 22% 40% 8% 43%
    Favour 29% 29% 32% 36% 28% 38%
    Oppose 12% 16% 13% 6% 19% 3%
    Strongly oppose 6% 15% 15% 2% 30% 5%
    Don’t know 26% 22% 18% 15% 14% 12%

    Support for the NBN has increased a little since this question was last asked in February.

    54% (+6%) favour the NBN and 28% (-3%) oppose it. There is overwhelming majority support from Labor and Greens voters but Liberal/National voters were split 36% favour and 49% oppose.

    By age group, those aged under 35 were 55% favour/26% oppose and those aged 55+ were 49% favour/34% oppose.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Opinion of the Greens

    Do you agree or disagree that – the Greens are an extreme political party that does not share the values of average Australians? (Question commissioned by Network Ten)

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

    18-34

    Aged

    35-54

    Aged 55+
    Total agree 52% 44% 74% 7% 60% 44% 41% 51% 65%
    Total disagree 30% 41% 14% 87% 30% 30% 34% 31% 24%
    Strongly agree 23% 12% 39% 29% 17% 16% 21% 34%
    Agree 29% 32% 35% 7% 31% 27% 25% 31% 31%
    Disagree 21% 32% 13% 29% 22% 20% 21% 23% 18%
    Strongly disagree 9% 7% 1% 58% 8% 10% 13% 8% 6%
    Don’t know 18% 17% 12% 7% 9% 27% 25% 18% 11%

    Just over half the respondents (52%) agreed that the Greens are an extreme political party that does not share the values of average Australians and 30% disagree.

    Those most likely to agree were Liberal/National voters (74%), men (60%) and those aged 65+ (65%). Labor voters were split with 44% agree and 41% disagree.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,925

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 45% 43% 43% 43%
    National 2% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 46% 46% 46%
    Labor 38.0 35% 37% 36% 35%
    Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6 8% 7% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 52% 53% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 48% 47% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May

    2010

    5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13%

    37% (down 4%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 50% (up 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -5 to -13 over the last 4 weeks.

    78% of Labor voters approve (down 9%) and 12% disapprove (up 5%).

    By gender – men 37% approve/53% disapprove, women 36% approve/47% disapprove.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    18 Jan

    2010

    29 Mar 5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr
    Total approve 37% 33% 37% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39% 42% 38% 38% 36%
    Total disapprove 37% 50% 47% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39% 37% 46% 47% 48%
    Strongly approve 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9% 7% 8% 7% 7%
    Approve 32% 25% 29% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30% 35% 30% 31% 29%
    Disapprove 20% 28% 23% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 22% 24% 24% 25%
    Strongly disapprove 17% 22% 24% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18% 15% 22% 23% 23%
    Don’t know 26% 16% 16% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22% 20% 16% 16% 17%

    36% (down 2%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 48% (up 1%) disapprove.

    69% of Coalition voters approve and 17% disapprove.

    By gender – men 40% approve/46% disapprove, women 31% approve/48% disapprove.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 14 Mar 2011 11 Apr 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 45% 47% 48% 44% 42% 86% 8% 75% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 35% 34% 32% 31% 33% 33% 2% 72% 5% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 18% 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 12% 20% 20% 23%

    42% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a net decrease for Julia Gillard of 2% on last month’s figures (from +11% to +9%).

    Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 42%/38% and women 42%/29%.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Reason for Budget Deficit

    Q. The Federal Government is currently running a budget deficit, but intends to return to surplus in 2012-13. Which of the following do you think is most responsible for the deficit?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Poor economic management by the Government 23% 5% 43% 8%
    The cost of the Government’s GFC stimulus packages 19% 19% 20% 21%
    Big companies not paying their fair share of taxes 17% 29% 6% 30%
    Spending on big projects like the National Broadband Network 14% 8% 18% 10%
    Lower tax revenues because of the Global Financial Crisis 13% 25% 4% 19%
    Don’t know 15% 14% 9% 11%

    Overall, respondents believe the main reasons for the budget deficit are poor economic management by the Government (23%), the cost of the Government’s GFC stimulus (19%) and big companies not paying their fair share of taxes (17%).

    Labor voters were most likely to blame big companies not paying their fair share of taxes (29%) and lower tax revenues because of the GFC (25%) while Liberal/National voters blame poor economic management by the Government (43%). Greens voters tended to blame big companies not paying their fair share of taxes (30%).

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Measures to Return to Surplus

    Q. In order to meet their commitment to return to surplus in 2012-13, which measures should the Government take?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Increase taxes for big corporations 63% 79% 51% 77%
    Reduce tax breaks for high income earners 51% 57% 46% 67%
    Cut “middle class welfare” such as the Baby Bonus, first home buyers grant and Family Tax Benefit payments 36% 33% 41% 39%
    Reduce defence spending 32% 36% 26% 51%
    Cut spending on unemployment and disability benefits 21% 15% 31% 11%
    It does not need to return to surplus so quickly 38% 39% 36% 57%

    Overall, the most favoured means of returning the budget to surplus were increasing taxes for big corporations (63%) and reducing tax breaks for high income earners (51%). Both these measures were strongly favoured by Labor and Greens voters.

    Although support was less strong, these two measures were also the most preferred among Liberal/National voters.

    Note, although 38% thought that the budget does not need to return to surplus so quickly, some of these respondents also agreed with some of the measures listed.

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