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  • Nov, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,844

    First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 36% 42% 42% 41% 41%
    National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 40% 42% 40% 41% 41%
    Greens 11% 8% 9% 8% 8%
    Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 7% 7%

     

    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

     

    This week
    Total Lib/Nat 47% 49% 50% 50% 50%
    Labor 53% 51% 50% 50% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »

  • Nov, 2010

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    Liberal Party Leadership

    Q. Which of the following do you think would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election?

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Tony Abbott 23% 5% 50% 5%
    Malcolm Turnbull 22% 27% 19% 39%
    Joe Hockey 14% 15% 15% 12%
    Julie Bishop 6% 9% 5% 7%
    Andrew Robb 1% 1% 1%
    Someone else 15% 22% 3% 18%
    Don’t know 19% 21% 7% 19%

    23% think Tony Abbott would be the best person to lead the Liberal Party at the next election, 22% prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 14% Joe Hockey.

    Among Coalition voters, 50% prefer Tony Abbott, 19% Malcolm Turnbull and 15% Joe Hockey.

    Tony Abbott is preferred over Malcolm Turnbull by those aged under 45 22% to 19% but the over 45’s prefer Malcolm Turnbull over Tony Abbott 27% to 25%.

    A similar question (although not exactly the same) asked in September showed Tony Abbott with a 26% to 20% lead over Malcolm Turnbull overall and 53% to 15% among Coalition voters. Joe Hockey’s support was 15% in total and 17% among Liberal voters. Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,873

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 36% 40% 42% 42% 41%
    National 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 42% 42% 41% 40% 41%
    Greens 9% 9% 8% 9% 8%
    Other/Independent 10% 6% 7% 7% 7%
    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 49% 50% 50%
    Labor 54% 51% 51% 50% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    War in Afghanistan

    Q. Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –

    Total

    25 Oct 10

    Labor Liberal Greens 30 March 09 21 June 10 11 Oct 10
    Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan

    10%

    10%

    12%

    10%

    14%

    7%

    13%

    Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan

    30%

    31%

    34%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    24%

    Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan 47% 49% 45% 55% 50% 61% 49%
    Don’t know 14% 10% 8% 12% 12% 8% 14%

    47% say Australia should withdraw our troops from Afghanistan, 30% say we should keep the same number and 10% say we should increase troop numbers. The support for keeping the same number of troops in Afghanistan has increased by 6% since previous surveys.

    Support for withdrawal is highest among Greens voters (55%) and those on higher incomes (54% of those earning over $1,600 per week).

    Support for maintaining or increasing troop numbers is highest among Liberal/National voters (46%), men (46%) and those aged 55+ (48%).

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Taking water for irrigation from Murray Darling

    Q. Do you agree or disagree that the amount of water currently taken from the Murray-Darling river system for irrigation should be reduced?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total agree 49% 51% 47% 62%
    Total disagree 20% 17% 30% 14%
    Strongly agree 19% 21% 16% 33%
    Agree 30% 30% 31% 29%
    Disagree 13% 11% 18% 6%
    Strongly disagree 7% 6% 12% 8%
    Don’t know 31% 32% 23% 23%

    49% agree that the amount of water currently taken from the Murray-Darling river system for irrigation should be reduced and 20% disagree – 31% could not give an opinion. All demographic groups show higher agreement than disagreement.

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Statements about Economic Impact

    Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Time is running out and strong action must be taken to restore the health of the Murray Darling river system even if it means some job losses or other economic impact 47% 52% 42% 74%
    Protecting the economic well being of local communities and jobs must be the first priority in any decisions made about the Murray Darling river system 31% 28% 42% 13%
    Don’t know 22% 20% 16% 13%

    47% agreed that “strong action must be taken to restore the health of the Murray Darling river system even if it means some job losses or other economic impact “ while 31% agreed more with the statement “protecting the economic well being of local communities and jobs must be the first priority”.

    A majority of Labor (52%) and Greens voters (74%) agreed that “strong action must be taken to restore the health of the Murray Darling river system even if it means some job losses or other economic impact” while Liberal/National voters were split (42%/42)%.

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Moving children out of detention centres

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government’s decision to move children and their families out of immigration detention centres and allow them to live in the community while their cases are being processed?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total approve 33% 42% 24% 63%
    Total disapprove 53% 45% 67% 28%
    Strongly approve 11% 15% 4% 39%
    Approve 22% 27% 20% 24%
    Disapprove 24% 22% 29% 12%
    Strongly disapprove 29% 23% 38% 16%
    Don’t know 13% 13% 9% 8%

    53% disapproved the Federal Government’s decision to move children and their families out of immigration detention centres and allow them to live in the community while their cases are being processed and 33% approved.

    63% of Greens voters approved, 67% of Liberal/National voters disapproved and Labor voters were split 42% approve/45% disapprove.

    By gender – men 38% approve/50% disapprove, women 28% approve/57% disapprove.

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Asylum Seekers

    Q. Do you think the Federal Labor Government is too tough or too soft on asylum seekers or is it taking the right approach?

    This week Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens 12 July 10 4 April 10
    Too tough 7% 9% 3% 28% 10% 6%
    Too soft 63% 49% 83% 33% 56% 65%
    Taking the right approach 18% 31% 7% 30% 21% 18%
    Don’t know 12% 10% 7% 9% 13% 11%

    63% of respondents believe that the Federal Labor Government is too soft on asylum seekers  (up 7% since the last survey in July), 7% think they are too tough and 18% think they are taking the right approach.

    Only 31% of Labor voters and 30% of Greens voters think the Government is taking the right approach.

    Comments »

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