Election, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?
1,747 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 34% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 37% |
| National | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 39% |
| Labor | 46% | 42% | 41% | 41% | 41% |
| Greens | 8% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 44% | 46% | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Labor | 56% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 55% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
Q. Do you think that if Peter Costello had stayed in Parliament, he would make a better leader of the Liberal Party than Tony Abbott?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Yes | 45% | 46% | 50% | 64% |
| No | 26% | 32% | 25% | 19% |
| Don’t know | 29% | 22% | 25% | 17% |
45% of respondents think Peter Costello (had he stayed in parliament) would make a better leader of the Liberal Party than Tony Abbott. Preference for Peter Costello was strongest among Liberal/National voters – 50% Costello/25% Abbott. The highest level of support for Tony Abbott came from Labor voters (32%). Comments »
Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,875 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 35% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 37% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 40% | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Labor | 45% | 38% | 42% | 41% | 41% |
| Greens | 8% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 44% | 48% | 46% | 45% | 45% |
| Labor | 56% | 52% | 54% | 55% | 55% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Abbott, Gillard, Greens, Labor, Liberal, preferred PM, Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
28 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
5 Jul 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 50% | 91% | 8% | 71% | 47% | 49% | 53% | |
| Tony Abbott | 27% | 2% | 70% | 4% | 30% | 29% | 26% | |
| Don’t know | 23% | 7% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 21% |
50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.
Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »
Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,953 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 34% | 38% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 41% | 39% | 39% | 38% |
| Labor | 47% | 35% | 42% | 42% | 41% |
| Greens | 8% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43% | 49% | 46% | 46% | 45% |
| Labor | 57% | 51% | 54% | 54% | 55% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
asylum seekers, Labor, Liberal
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the issue of asylum seekers?
| 12 July 10 | 4 April 10 | |
| The Labor Party | 24% | 23% |
| The Liberal Party | 31% | 34% |
| No difference | 33% | 28% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 15% |
24% trust the Labor Party most to handle the issue of asylum seekers, 31% trust the Liberal Party most and 45% think there is no difference or don’t know. This represents only a small change since this question was asked three months ago – the gap between Labor and Liberal has closed from 11% to 7% and the proportion that thinks there is no difference is up 5%.
54% of Labor voters trust the Labor Party most and 33% say there is no difference while 75% of Liberal/National voters trust the Liberal Party and only 18% think there is no difference. 47% of Greens voters think there is no difference, 31% trust the Labor Party most and 11% the Liberal Party. Comments »
Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?
| 12 July 10 | 31 May 10 | |
| Total likely | 56% | 58% |
| Total unlikely | 24% | 21% |
| Very likely | 26% | 28% |
| Quite likely | 30% | 30% |
| Not very likely | 18% | 18% |
| Not at all likely | 6% | 3% |
| Don’t know | 20% | 20% |
56% think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 24% think it is unlikely. These figures have only changed slightly since this question was last asked six weeks ago.
83% of Labor voters and 71% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 37% likely to 48% unlikely. Comments »
Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?
| 12 July 10 | 31 May 10 | |
| Very concerned | 29% | 28% |
| Quite concerned | 19% | 17% |
| A little concerned | 16% | 20% |
| Not concerned | 25% | 24% |
| Don’t know | 11% | 11% |
48% would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 41% were only a little or not concerned. These figures are little changed since this question was last asked six weeks ago.
76% of Labor voters and 71% of Greens voters would be concerned. 77% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 17% concerned. Respondents aged 25-44 were the most concerned group – 55% very/quite concerned to 32% a little/not concerned. Comments »