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  • Jan, 2011

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    Performance of Groups/Organisations

    Q. And from what you have seen and heard, how would you rate each of the following in terms of how they have responded to the floods?

    Total good Total poor Very good Good Average Poor Very poor Don’t know
    The Federal Labor Government 48% 15% 15% 33% 26% 7% 8% 11%
    The Federal Coalition Opposition 29% 19% 6% 23% 37% 12% 7% 15%
    The Queensland State Government 78% 3% 48% 30% 10% 1% 2% 9%
    The Queensland State Government (Qld only) 79% 3% 51% 28% 11% 1% 2% 7%
    The Victorian State Government 48% 4% 14% 34% 22% 3% 1% 26%
    The Victorian State Government (Vic only) 53% 8% 13% 40% 23% 6% 2% 16%
    The NSW State Government 33% 12% 8% 25% 27% 8% 4% 27%
    The NSW State Government (NSW only) 26% 22% 5% 21% 33% 13% 9% 20%
    The Australian military 78% 2% 49% 29% 8% 1% 1% 10%
    State emergency services 88% 2% 71% 17% 4% 1% 1% 7%
    The media 61% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5% 4% 7%
    The banks 22% 26% 6% 16% 30% 17% 9% 23%
    The insurance industry 10% 53% 2% 8% 22% 25% 28% 14%
    Australian businesses overall 48% 8% 13% 35% 30% 6% 2% 14%
    The Australian people overall 85% 2% 56% 29% 7% 1% 1% 6%

    Groups with highest ratings for their response to the floods were state emergency services (88% good), the Australian people overall (85%), the Queensland State Government (78%) and the Australian military (78%).

    The Federal Government’s response was rated 48% good/15% poor/26% average while the Federal Opposition was rated 29% good/19% poor/37% average.

    The only groups with overall negative ratings were the insurance industry (53% poor/10% good) and the banks (26% poor/22% good).

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,896

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 42%
    National 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45%
    Labor 38.0 38% 37%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Important election issues

    Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election? (Number from 1 to 3 where 1 is the most important, 2 the second most important, etc)

    One Two Three Total Total 11th Oct 10 Total 25th Jan 10
    Management of the economy 37% 18% 10% 65% 62% 63%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 5% 10% 11% 26% 32% 23%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 13% 20% 16% 49% 48% 48%
    Protecting the environment 4% 3% 6% 13% 12% 16%
    A fair industrial relations system 2% 4% 4% 10% 11% *
    Political leadership 6% 5% 5% 16% 16% 23%
    Addressing climate change 3% 3% 4% 10% 11% 16%
    Controlling interest rates 5% 8% 8% 21% 17% 15%
    Australian jobs and protection of local industries 10% 8% 12% 30% 30% 33%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 1% 2% 3% 6% 6% 12%
    Housing affordability 5% 5% 6% 16% 17% 14%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 4% 6% 8% 18% 16% 14%
    Security and the war on terrorism 1% 2% 2% 5% 6% 9%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 1% 2% 2% 5% 5% *
    Managing population growth 2% 5% 4% 11% 10% *

    *Not asked

    65% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 49% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 30% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

    Only 10% rate addressing climate change as one of their three most important issues and 6% rate ensuring a quality water supply.

    Over the past 12 months there has been an increase in the importance of controlling interest rates (from 15% to 21%) and a decrease in the importance of addressing climate change (from 16% to 10%).

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Important election issues

    Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election? (Number from 1 to 3 where 1 is the most important, 2 the second most important, etc)

    Total Labor Liberal/ National Green
    Management of the economy 65% 63% 77% 47%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 26% 33% 20% 24%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 49% 52% 47% 37%
    Protecting the environment 13% 12% 6% 42%
    A fair industrial relations system 10% 18% 5% 8%
    Political leadership 16% 11% 25% 14%
    Addressing climate change 10% 10% 5% 22%
    Controlling interest rates 21% 17% 22% 19%
    Australian jobs and protection of local industries 30% 33% 32% 18%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 6% 4% 6% 5%
    Housing affordability 16% 15% 13% 21%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 18% 17% 19% 14%
    Security and the war on terrorism 5% 5% 8% 5%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 5% 3% 5% 15%
    Managing population growth 11% 8% 12% 9%

    Compared to the average, Labor voters are more likely to rate ensuring a quality education for all children (33%) and a fair industrial relations system (18%) as important.

    Liberal/National voters attach more importance to management of the economy (77%) and political leadership (25%) while Greens voters are more likely to nominate protecting the environment (42%), addressing climate change (22%) and treatment of asylum seekers (15%).

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Party best handling important election issues

    Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

    Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
    Management of the economy 33% 43% 2% 22%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 39% 33% 4% 24%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 33% 33% 7% 27%
    Protecting the environment 16% 19% 40% 24%
    A fair industrial relations system 40% 30% 5% 25%
    Political leadership 28% 37% 4% 31%
    Addressing climate change 18% 20% 34% 28%
    Controlling interest rates 22% 40% 2% 35%
    Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries 36% 33% 4% 27%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 21% 28% 20% 31%
    Housing affordability 26% 30% 7% 37%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 28% 35% 4% 32%
    Security and the war on terrorism 23% 37% 4% 36%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 20% 33% 12% 35%
    Standing up for regular Australian working families 41% 27% 6% 25%
    Managing population growth 21% 36% 7% 37%
    Making sure Australian working people got fair treatment at their workplace 41% 29% 6% 25%

    Labor is trusted most to handle a fair industrial relations system (40%), ensuring a quality education for all children (39%) and standing up for regular Australian working families (41%).

    The Liberals are trusted most to handle management of the economy (43%), controlling interest rates (40%), political leadership (37%) and security and the war on terrorism (37%).

    In October, Labor was considered substantially better to handle 5 of the issues surveyed and Liberals 5 issues – compared to this survey where Labor leads on 4 issues and Liberals on 8 issues. The Liberals have now established a lead on political leadership (+9%), water supply (+7%), and taxation (+7%).

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Floods – Leadership

    Q. Thinking about the recent floods across Australia, how would you rate each of the following for providing leadership in dealing with the floods?

    Total good Total poor Very good Good Average Poor Very poor Don’t know
    Prime Minister Julia Gillard 42% 23% 15% 27% 28% 10% 13% 7%
    Opposition leader Tony Abbott 19% 32% 4% 15% 36% 19% 13% 13%
    Queensland Premier Anna Bligh 77% 6% 52% 25% 11% 3% 3% 6%
    Queensland Premier Anna Bligh (Qld) 71% 9% 48% 23% 17% 2% 7% 3%
    Brisbane Mayor Campbell Newman 61% 4% 28% 33% 16% 2% 2% 19%
    Brisbane Mayor Campbell Newman (Qld) 75% 7% 46% 29% 14% 2% 5% 4%
    Victorian Premier Ted Baillieu 34% 8% 8% 26% 26% 4% 4% 32%
    Victorian Premier Ted Baillieu (Victoria) 47% 12% 10% 37% 27% 6% 6% 14%
    NSW Premier Kristina Keneally 21% 23% 4% 17% 28% 11% 12% 29%
    NSW Premier Kristina Keneally (NSW) 13% 40% 4% 9% 30% 18% 22% 18%

    Nationally, 42% think the Prime Minister Julia Gillard provided good leadership and 23% poor – while the Opposition leader Tony Abbott was rated good by 19% and poor by 32%. In Queensland Julia Gillard rated 42% good/26% poor.

    Nationally the Queensland Premier Anna Bligh was rated 77% good/6% poor and in Queensland 71% good/9% poor. The Mayor of Brisbane Campbell Newman was rated a little lower nationally (61%/4%) but slightly higher in Queensland (75%/7%).

    In Victoria, the Premier Ted Bailieu was rated 47% good/12% poor and in NSW, Premier Kristina Keneally was rated 13% good/40% poor

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,903

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago This week
    Liberal 43% 43%
    National 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 46%
    Labor 38.0 38% 38%
    Greens 11.8 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 6%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 52%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 51%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40% 36%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10% 8%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33% 43%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24% 24%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 12%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17% 14%

    51% (up 8%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 36% (down 4%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +3 to +15 over the last 4 weeks.

    89% of Labor voters approve and 6% disapprove.

    By gender – men 51% approve/37% disapprove, women 50% approve/35% disapprove.

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