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  • Nov, 2010

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    NSW – voting intention

     

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,953

    First preference/leaning to  Total Election

    Mar 07

    Change
    Liberal 47% 26.9%  
    National 3% 10.1%  
    Total Lib/Nat 50% 37.0% +13.0%
    Labor 29% 39.0% -10.0%
    Greens 11% 9.0% +2.0%
    Other/Independent 10% 15.0% -5.0%

     

    2PP Total Election

    Mar 07

    Change
    Total Lib/Nat 58% 47.7% +10.3%
    Labor 42% 52.3% -10.3%

     NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »

  • Nov, 2010

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    Victoria – voting intention

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,465

    First preference/leaning to  Total Election Nov 06  Change
    Liberal 42% 34.4%  
    National 2% 5.2%  
    Total Lib/Nat 44% 39.6% +4.4%
    Labor 38% 43.1% -5.1%
    Greens 12% 10.0% +2.0%
    Other/Independent 6% 7.3% -1.3%
    2PP Total Election Nov 06  Change
    Total Lib/Nat 50% 45.6% +4.4%
    Labor 50% 54.4% 4.4%

     NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »

  • Nov, 2010

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    Queensland – voting intention

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,138

    First preference/leaning to  Total Election

    Mar 09

    Change
    Liberal National 50% 41.6% +8.4%
    Labor 29% 42.2% -13.2%
    Greens 9% 8.4% +0.6%
    Other/Independent 12% 7.8% +4.2%

     

    2PP Total Election

    Mar 07

    Change
    Total Lib/Nat 59% 49.1% +9.9%
    Labor 41% 50.9% -9.9%

     NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 6-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. Comments »

  • Nov, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,844

    First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 36% 42% 42% 41% 41%
    National 3% 2% 2% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 44% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 40% 42% 40% 41% 41%
    Greens 11% 8% 9% 8% 8%
    Other/Independent 10% 7% 7% 7% 7%

     

    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

     

    This week
    Total Lib/Nat 47% 49% 50% 50% 50%
    Labor 53% 51% 50% 50% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,873

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 36% 40% 42% 42% 41%
    National 3% 3% 2% 2% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 42% 42% 41% 40% 41%
    Greens 9% 9% 8% 9% 8%
    Other/Independent 10% 6% 7% 7% 7%
    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 49% 50% 50%
    Labor 54% 51% 51% 50% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,901

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

     

    This week
    Liberal 37% 42% 42% 42% 42%
    National 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 45% 44% 44% 44%
    Labor 42% 40% 42% 41% 40%
    Greens 11% 9% 8% 8% 9%
    Other/Independent 8% 6% 7% 7% 7%

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    1,912 sample size

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

    Liberal 37% 41% 40% 42% 42%
    National 3% 3% 3% 2% 2%
    Total Lib/Nat 40% 44% 43% 44% 44%
    Labor 41% 39% 42% 42% 41%
    Greens 11% 10% 9% 8% 8%
    Other/Independent 8% 6% 6% 7% 7%

    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

    Total Lib/Nat 46% 50% 49% 49% 49%
    Labor 54% 50% 51% 51% 51%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.

    Comments »

  • Oct, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    1921 sample size

    First preference/leaning to  6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

     

    Liberal 36% 40% 42% 40% 42%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3% 2%
    Total Lib/Nat 39% 43% 45% 43% 44%
    Labor 43% 39% 40% 42% 42%
    Greens 10% 11% 9% 9% 8%
    Other/Independent 8% 7% 6% 6% 8%

     

    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

     

    Total Lib/Nat 46% 49% 50% 49% 49%
    Labor 54% 51% 50% 51% 51%

     NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election. Comments »

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