Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,918

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 40% 42% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 43% 45% 47%
Labor 38.0 38% 39% 37% 36%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 49% 52% 53%
Labor 50.1% 49% 51% 48% 47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 28, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size =1,964

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 42% 41% 40% 42%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 44% 43% 45%
Labor 38.0 37% 40% 39% 37%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 11% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 6% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 50% 49% 52%
Labor 50.1% 49% 50% 51% 48%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 21, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,913

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 42% 43% 41% 40%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 46% 44% 43%
Labor 38.0 37% 38% 40% 39%
Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 6% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 50% 49%
Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 50% 51%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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NSW State Voting Intention – Demographic Analysis

Feb 18, 2011
First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW 18-34 35-54 55+
Sample 1248 625 623 799 449 404 491 353
Labor 27% 27% 27% 26% 30% 31% 29% 20%
Liberal/National 51% 49% 53% 54% 46% 46% 48% 59%
Greens 12% 12% 12% 13% 9% 15% 12% 8%
Independent/Other 11% 13% 9% 7% 15% 7% 11% 13%
2PP
Labor 41% 42% 40% 39% 44% 46% 43% 32%
Liberal/National 59% 58% 60% 61% 56% 54% 57% 68%

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,906

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 42% 43% 41%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% 46% 44%
Labor 38.0 38% 37% 38% 40%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 6%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% 51% 50%
Labor 50.1% 48% 49% 49% 50%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,936

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 42% 42% 43%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 45% 46%
Labor 38.0 37% 37% 38%
Greens 11.8 11% 11% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 51%
Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 31, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,906

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 43% 42% 42%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% 45%
Labor 38.0 38% 37% 37%
Greens 11.8 10% 11% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% 51%
Labor 50.1% 48% 49% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 24, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,896

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

Last week This week
Liberal 43% 42%
National 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45%
Labor 38.0 38% 37%
Greens 11.8 10% 11%
Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51%
Labor 50.1% 48% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

Comments »

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