Gillard, Labor, leadership, Prime Minister, rudd
Q7. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | 15 Feb 10 | ||
| Kevin Rudd | 36% | 56% | 26% | 45% | |
| Julia Gillard | 33% | 30% | 36% | 26% | |
| Don’t know | 31% | 14% | 38% | 29% |
Respondents were fairly evenly split over whether Kevin Rudd (36%) or Julia Gillard (33%) would make the better Prime Minister. This is a substantial change since this question was last asked in February – Julia Gillard up 7% and Kevin Rudd down 9%.
Labor voters preferred Kevin Rudd (56% to 30%) and Liberal voters preferred Julia Gillard (36% to 26%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard by 62% to 18%.
Men show greater support for Kevin Rudd (40%/33%) whereas women were evenly divided (32%/34%). Comments »
Abbott, Gillard, Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Julia Gillard?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | |
| Tony Abbott | 32% | 6% | 76% |
| Julia Gillard | 50% | 85% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 9% | 8% |
50% believe that Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 32% prefer Tony Abbott.
There were major differences by gender – men preferred Julia Gillard by a margin of 7% (47%/40%) whereas the margin among women was 28% (53%/25%). Greens voters preferred Julia Gillard 83% to 8%. Comments »
Q. Thinking about the Australian troops in Afghanistan, do you think Australia should –
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | March 09 | ||
| Increase the number of troops in Afghanistan | 7% | 7% | 7% | 14% | |
| Keep the same number of troops in Afghanistan | 24% | 25% | 32% | 24% | |
| Withdraw our troops from Afghanistan | 61% | 61% | 55% | 50% | |
| Don’t know | 8% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
61% of respondents think Australia should withdraw our troops from Afghanistan, 24% think we should keep the same number and 7% think we should increase numbers. Support for withdrawal of troops has increased by 11% since this question was asked in March last year.
There was majority support for withdrawal of troops across all demographic groups and voter types. 55% of Liberal/National voters, 61% of Labor voters and 75% of Greens voters support withdrawal of Australia’s troops. Comments »
While Canberra doesn’t look like getting above 15 degrees this week, there’s a chance the term of this government is heating up.
Whether they’re currently half baked or have they been left too long, today’s poll shows that they’re the same stale position they’ve been in for the last week.
Kevin looks like spending the day explaining to the Chinese dep pres what rat fucker means.
Today’s opinion poll will fuel speculation about a mid September poll, with sources suggesting that Kevin Rudd is aware of fact that football finals exist but doesn’t think his team can do any worse than Andrew Johns. Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Federal, Greens, Independent, Labor, Liberal, National, Polling, Voting intention
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,850 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 32% | 41% | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| National | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 35% | 43% | 41% | 40% | 41% |
| Labor | 46% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 35% |
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 14% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8 |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 42% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 49% |
| Labor | 58% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data.
Comments »
average, best party, climate change, economy, Election, environment, future, Greens, immigration, Labor, Liberal, relations
Q. Which of the following parties – Labor, Liberal or Greens – do you think is the best party when it comes to –
| Labor | Liberal | Greens | Don’t know | |
| Representing the interests of Australian working people | 42% | 27% | 6% | 25% |
| Standing up to the big multinational corporations | 32% | 27% | 13% | 28% |
| Handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia | 36% | 35% | 4% | 25% |
| Understanding the needs of the average Australian | 29% | 27% | 9% | 35% |
| Representing the interests of you and people like you | 32% | 34% | 10% | 24% |
| Having a vision for Australia’s future | 29% | 33% | 9% | 29% |
| Taking Australia forward, not backwards | 29% | 34% | 9% | 28% |
| Handling Australia’s relations with other countries | 30% | 38% | 4% | 27% |
| Handling Australia’s economy | 30% | 42% | 3% | 25% |
| Dealing with the issue of immigration | 20% | 41% | 7% | 32% |
| Being honest and ethical | 19% | 21% | 15% | 45% |
| Handling environmental and climate change issues | 19% | 19% | 36% | 27% |
The Labor Party was thought to be better than the Liberal Party at “representing the interests of Australian working people” (42% to 27%) and “standing up to the big multinational corporations “ (32%/27%).
The Liberal Party was thought to be better than the Labor Party at “dealing with the issue of immigration “ (41% to 20%), “handling Australia’s economy” (42%/30%), “handling Australia’s relations with other countries” (38%/30%), “taking Australia forward, not backwards” (34%/29%) and “having a vision for Australia’s future” (33%/29%).
There was little difference between the Liberal and Labor Parties in terms of “handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia”, “understanding the needs of the average Australian” and “representing the interests of you and people like you”.
36% believed the Greens were best at “handling environmental and climate change issues” and 45% could not nominate a party best at “being honest and ethical”. Comments »
banks, business, influence, media, mining, parties, religious, unions
Q. How much influence do you think the following groups have on the policies of Australian political parties?
| Too much | About the right amount | Not enough | Don’t know | |
| The media | 53% | 27% | 5% | 15% |
| Banks | 50% | 28% | 5% | 18% |
| Business lobby groups | 40% | 33% | 5% | 21% |
| Mining companies | 40% | 33% | 10% | 17% |
| Unions | 40% | 33% | 12% | 14% |
| Religious groups | 38% | 29% | 11% | 21% |
| Environment groups | 25% | 31% | 29% | 15% |
About half the respondents believed that the media (53%) and banks (50%) have too much influence on the policies of Australian political parties.
40% believed that business lobby groups, mining companies and unions have too much influence.
Only 25% thought environmental groups have too much influence and 29% think they have not enough influence.
There were substantial differences by party preference on the influence of business lobby groups (Labor 52% too much, Lib/Nat 28%), unions (26%/61%), and mining companies (57%/26%). However, there was little difference on the perceived influence of the media (Labor 57% too much, Lib/Nat 56%) and banks (53%/51%). Comments »
banks, business lobby, environment, mining, the media, trust, trust in group, unions
Q. And how much trust do you have in the following groups to represent the interests of people like you?
| Total a lot/some trust | A lot of trust | Some trust | A little trust | No trust at all | Don’t know | |
| Environment groups | 38% | 8% | 30% | 28% | 22% | 11% |
| Unions | 33% | 8% | 25% | 27% | 30% | 10% |
| Business lobby groups | 21% | 4% | 17% | 30% | 35% | 15% |
| Religious groups | 20% | 5% | 15% | 24% | 43% | 13% |
| Mining companies | 20% | 2% | 18% | 27% | 40% | 13% |
| Banks | 15% | 2% | 13% | 26% | 49% | 10% |
| The media | 14% | 1% | 13% | 33% | 43% | 9% |
38% said they have a lot or some trust in environment groups and 33% have a lot/some trust in unions. Banks (15%) and the media (14%) were the least trusted groups.
49% had no trust at all in banks and 43% had no trust at all in religious groups and the media.
51% of Labor voters have trust in unions and 47% have trust in environment groups. The most trusted groups for Liberal/National voters are mining companies (32%) and business lobby groups (31%). Comments »