2PP, Election, Voting intention
Q. The Federal Election will be held on 21 August – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to for the House of Representatives?
2,160 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 36% | 37% | 37% | 39% | 41% |
| National | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 39% | 39% | 42% | 44% |
| Labor | 44% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 39% |
| Greens | 10% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 10% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 45% | 45% | 46% | 48% | 49% |
| Labor | 55% | 55% | 54% | 52% | 51% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2007 election.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
approval, approval of PM, Gillard, Prime Minister
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | |||||||
| 29 Mar | 31 May | 5 Jul | 19 Jul | 26 Jul | 2 Aug | 9 Aug | 16 Aug | |
| Total approve | 53% | 41% | 48% | 52% | 49% | 46% | 45% | 46% |
| Total disapprove | 36% | 47% | 27% | 30% | 33% | 38% | 40% | 40% |
| Strongly approve | 12% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 13% | 13% |
| Approve | 41% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 37% | 36% | 32% | 33% |
| Disapprove | 22% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 24% |
| Strongly disapprove | 14% | 22% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 12% | 26% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 13% |
46% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 40% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has increased by 1% and disapproval is unchanged. 91% of Labor voters approve and only 3% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 13% approve and 79% disapprove.
By gender – men 44% approve/46% disapprove and women 48% approve/34% disapprove. Comments »
Abbott, Approval of opposition leader, Election
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?
| 18 Jan | 22 Feb | 29 Mar | 3 May | 31 May | 28 Jun | 5 Jul | 19 Jul | 26 Jul | 2 Aug | 9 Aug | 16 Aug | |
| Total approve | 37% | 45% | 33% | 39% | 35% | 40% | 37% | 40% | 35% | 38% | 40% | 41% |
| Total disapprove | 37% | 36% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 39% | 47% | 44% | 46% | 48% | 45% | 44% |
| Strongly approve | 5% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% |
| Approve | 32% | 33% | 25% | 34% | 30% | 31% | 29% | 34% | 29% | 30% | 32% | 32% |
| Disapprove | 20% | 20% | 28% | 24% | 28% | 20% | 23% | 22% | 22% | 27% | 25% | 22% |
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 16% | 22% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
| Don’t know | 26% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 14% | 15% |
15% |
41% approve Tony Abbott’s performance as Opposition Leader and 44% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has increased by 1% and disapproval decreased by 1%. 81% of Liberal/National voters approve and 10% disapprove. Among Labor voters, 15% approve and 75% disapprove.
By gender – men 44% approve/45% disapprove and women 38% approve/43% disapprove. Comments »
Abbott, Gillard, preferred PM, Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | 26 Jul 10 | 2 Aug 10 | 9 Aug 10 | 16 Ag 10 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 50% | 51% | 48% | 45% | 46% | 92% | 8% | 71% | 47% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 33% | 35% | 3% | 77% | 3% | 30% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 23% |
46% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 35% prefer Tony Abbott – a similar margin to last week.
Julia Gillard is preferred 92% to 3% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 77% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 3%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 45%/39% and women 48%/31%. Comments »
Q. Over the last few weeks, which of the following types on involvement have you had in the Federal election campaign?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Seen TV advertising or heard radio advertising from political parties | 66% | 69% | 72% | 77% |
| Received election leaflets in my letterbox | 58% | 67% | 59% | 55% |
| Watched interviews with politicians on TV or heard them on radio | 55% | 59% | 64% | 58% |
| Read articles about the election in newspapers or magazines | 45% | 51% | 48% | 52% |
| Been handed election materials in the street | 8% | 10% | 8% | 8% |
| Met one of my local candidates | 6% | 7% | 7% | 1% |
| Seen election advertising on Youtube or Facebook | 5% | 4% | 5% | 10% |
| Been door-knocked by a political party | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% |
| Had a phone call from a political party | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Been surveyed by phone or door-to-door (not online surveys) | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Joined a Facebook group related to the election | 2% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Been to a political meeting or event | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Done volunteer work for a candidate (e.g. letterboxing) | 1% | * | 1% | 2% |
| None of these | 21% | 15% | 18% | 16% |
The most common forms of involvement in the election are being exposed to TV and radio advertising (66%), letterboxed leaflets (58%), interviews with politicians on TV/radio (55%) and articles in newspapers and magazines (45%). Only 5% said they had seen election advertising on Facebook or Youtube (including 11% of respondents aged 18-24). Comments »
climate change, economy, Education, Election, environment, Health, immigration, International Relations, Security, Voting intention
Q. How important are the following in deciding which party you will vote for?
| Top priority | Very important | Quite important | Not so important | Don’t know | |
| Better at handling Australia’s economy | 37% | 48% | 10% | 1% | 4% |
| They have better policies on things like education and health | 31% | 47% | 16% | 1% | 4% |
| They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties | 30% | 47% | 16% | 1% | 6% |
| They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians | 30% | 45% | 18% | 3% | 5% |
| They will do things that help me and my family | 28% | 42% | 21% | 4% | 5% |
| They have better policies on things like national security and immigration | 24% | 42% | 22% | 6% | 5% |
| Better at looking after the interests people like me | 23% | 47% | 22% | 4% | 4% |
| They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers | 23% | 44% | 24% | 4% | 5% |
| More trustworthy than the other parties | 22% | 44% | 21% | 5% | 8% |
| They have better policies on things like environment and climate change | 21% | 41% | 23% | 9% | 5% |
| They have a better leader | 16% | 40% | 28% | 8% | 7% |
| I always vote for them | 9% | 15% | 24% | 42% | 10% |
Key factors in deciding which party to vote for are handling the economy (37% top priority), policies on education and health (31%), capable of governing effectively (30%) and representing the interests of all Australians (30%). Comments »
economy, Education, Election, Health, immigration, International Relations, Security, Voting intention
Q. How important are the following in deciding which party you will vote for?
| Top priority | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens |
| Better at handling Australia’s economy | 37% | 33% | 51% | 19% |
| They have better policies on things like education and health | 31% | 41% | 25% | 35% |
| They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties | 30% | 30% | 35% | 18% |
| They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians | 30% | 36% | 25% | 25% |
| They will do things that help me and my family | 28% | 32% | 27% | 17% |
| They have better policies on things like national security and immigration | 24% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
| Better at looking after the interests people like me | 23% | 27% | 21% | 22% |
| They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers | 23% | 36% | 17% | 20% |
| More trustworthy than the other parties | 22% | 23% | 23% | 21% |
| They have better policies on things like environment and climate change | 21% | 26% | 13% | 46% |
| They have a better leader | 16% | 24% | 14% | 13% |
| I always vote for them | 9% | 11% | 11% | 6% |
The most important issues for Labor voters are policies on education and health (41% top priority), representing the interests of all Australians (36%), policies on industrial relations and supporting workers (36%) and doing things to help me and my family (32%).
For Liberal/National voters the key issues are handling the economy (51% top priority), capable of governing effectively (35%) and policies on national security and immigration (29%).
The major issue for Greens voters is policies on the environment and climate change (46%). Comments »
Abbott, economy, GFC, Gillard, Labor, Liberal
Q. If another global financial crisis develops in the next few years, which leader and party do you think would be best to handle it?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Julia Gillard and the Labor Party | 42% | 88% | 5% | 66% |
| Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party | 35% | 2% | 80% | 6% |
| Don’t know | 23% | 11% | 15% | 27% |
42% think Julia Gillard and the Labor Party would be best at handling another global financial crisis if it was to develop and 35% think Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would be best.
Those aged 25-54 prefer the Labor Party over the Liberals 46% to 30%, while those aged 55+ prefer the Liberal Party 48% to 36%. Comments »