Economic expectations post Covid-19

Dec 15, 2020

Q. Which of the following is closer to your expectations of what will happen to the economy following the Covid-19 situation?

  14/12 27/04 20/04 13/04 06/04
The economy will rebound within 2-3 months and grow just as strong or stronger than before Covid-19 18% 13% 11% 12% 11%
The economy will be impacted for 6-12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter 43% 49% 47% 49% 51%
Covid-19 will have long lasting impact on the economy and the country will fall into a lengthy recession 22% 28% 30% 27% 29%
Unsure 17% 10% 11% 11% 9%
Base (n) 1,071 1,054 1,051 1,068 1,069

 

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
The economy will rebound within 2-3 months and grow just as strong or stronger than before Covid-19 18% 27% 10% 18% 22% 15% 15% 25% 13% 21%
The economy will be impacted for 6-12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter 43% 42% 44% 45% 38% 47% 47% 48% 46% 36%
Covid-19 will have long lasting impact on the economy and the country will fall into a lengthy recession 22% 18% 25% 18% 25% 22% 25% 17% 32% 33%
Unsure 17% 13% 20% 19% 15% 16% 13% 10% 10% 10%
Base (n) 1,071 539 532 339 374 358 356 406 102 107
  • There is now more uncertainty about the future of the economy than earlier in the year. 17% say they are unsure how the economy will rebound following Covid-19, up from 10% in April.
  • 18% think the economy will rebound in the next 2-3 months (up from 13% in April) and 22% think Covid-19 will cause a long-term recession (down from 28%).
  • However most people think there will be some growth in the economy after 6-12 months (43%).

Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine

Dec 15, 2020

Q. Once a vaccine for Covid-19 becomes available in Australia, how long would you wait before taking it?

  14/12 10/08
I’d get vaccinated as soon as possible 43% 56%
I’d get vaccinated, but wouldn’t do it straight away 46% 35%
I’d never get vaccinated 10% 8%
Base (n) 1,071 1,010

 

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
I’d get vaccinated as soon as possible 43% 53% 35% 35% 41% 53% 44% 48% 45% 42%
I’d get vaccinated, but wouldn’t do it straight away 46% 41% 51% 54% 48% 38% 52% 43% 44% 39%
I’d never get vaccinated 10% 6% 14% 11% 11% 9% 5% 8% 11% 19%
Base (n) 1,071 539 532 339 374 358 356 406 102 107
  • Fewer people say they would get a Covid-19 vaccine immediately than earlier in the year. 43% would get a vaccine as soon as possible, down from 56% in August. 46% would get vaccinated, but just not straight away (up from 35%) and 10% say they would never get vaccinated.
  • Those most likely to get the vaccine immediately include men (53%), those aged over 55 (53%).
  • Those voting for independent of minor parties are most likely to say they would never get a vaccine (19%).

Size of Christmas gatherings

Dec 15, 2020

Q. If you are hosting or attending a Christmas gathering this year, will there be:

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
More people attending than in previous years 8% 14% 3% 12% 12% 2%
About the same amount of people attending 34% 33% 34% 29% 32% 40%
Less people attending than in previous years 24% 22% 25% 32% 22% 17%
Not sure 12% 12% 13% 13% 14% 11%
Not hosting or attending a Christmas gathering this year 22% 20% 24% 14% 20% 31%
Base (n) 1,071 539 532 339 374 358
  • A quarter of people will be hosting or attending a smaller gathering than usual this Christmas, but more will either be hosting or attending the same size gathering as usual (34%) or more (8%).

Christmas gift spending

Dec 15, 2020

Q. When considering your Christmas gift spending this year compared with previous years are you likely to:

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Spend more than usual 13% 18% 8% 16% 18% 5%
Spend roughly the same as usual 48% 51% 46% 42% 45% 57%
Spend less than usual 31% 26% 36% 30% 30% 32%
Not sure 8% 6% 11% 12% 7% 6%
Base (n) 1,071 539 532 339 374 358
  • Just under half of people intend to spend about the same amount as usual on Christmas gifts (48%), but 31% say they will spend less than usual.

Shopping Australian made this Christmas

Dec 15, 2020

Q. How likely are you to give Australian made gifts this year, compared with previous years?

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Much more likely 18% 22% 15% 15% 24% 16%
Somewhat more likely 34% 34% 34% 32% 32% 38%
Somewhat less likely 12% 14% 10% 20% 10% 6%
Much less likely 7% 6% 7% 9% 6% 5%
Not sure 29% 24% 35% 25% 28% 35%
Base (n) 1,071 539 532 339 374 358
  • Just over a third of people (34%) are somewhat more likely to give Australian made gifts this year compared with previous years, and 18% say they are much more likely to do this.

Who is favoured by changes to industrial relations laws

Dec 15, 2020

Q. Generally speaking, when Federal Liberal-National Coalition Governments make changes to industrial relations laws, do you think they tend to favour employers and businesses, employees or strike a balance between the two?

  Total Federal Voting Intention
  Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
The changes tend to favour employers and businesses 52% 64% 41% 71% 53%
The changes tend to favour employees 17% 14% 19% 16% 18%
The changes tend to strike a balance between the two 31% 22% 40% 13% 29%
Base (n) 1,071 356 406 102 107
  • Over half of people think changes made to industrial relations laws made by a Liberal-National government tend to favour businesses and employers (52%), while just 17% think they favour employees.
  • Coalition voters are most likely to say changes made by a Coalition government strike a balance (40%), but 41% think changes favour businesses and 19% employees.

Expectations of outcomes from changes to industrial relations laws

Dec 15, 2020

Q. The Federal Government has announced new workplace reforms requiring employers to offer permanent employment to casual workers who have been with the same employer for a year and have had regular shifts for six months during that time.

Do you expect these changes to industrial relations laws will be good or bad for the following?

  TOTAL:

Very good / Quite good

Neither good nor bad TOTAL:

Very bad / Quite bad

Don’t know
Big businesses 41% 34% 12% 14%
Small businesses 35% 33% 19% 12%
Employees 48% 24% 17% 12%
People looking for work 39% 28% 20% 13%
People in casual work 51% 20% 17% 12%

 

TOTAL: Very good / Quite good Total Federal Voting Intention
Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Big businesses 41% 44% 42% 41% 44%
Small businesses 35% 40% 39% 30% 34%
Employees 48% 43% 57% 49% 48%
People looking for work 39% 39% 42% 37% 37%
People in casual work 51% 44% 42% 41% 44%
  • The proposed changes to the industrial relations laws are expected to be good news for those in casual work (51% think the changes will be very good, or quite good), and employees (48%).
  • It is expected that there will be less benefit to small businesses (35% think the changes will very or quite good) and those looking for work (39%) as a result of the changes.

Views towards changes to industrial relations laws and casual workers

Dec 15, 2020

Q. According to the Fair Work Commission, “A casual employee does not have a firm commitment in advance from an employer about how long they will be employed for, or the days (or hours) they will work. A casual employee also does not commit to all work an employer might offer. For example, an employee who works to a roster that could change each week and can refuse or swap shifts is casual.”

Which of the following is closer to your view?

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
The law should be changed now to make it easier for casual workers to become permanent employees if they want to, so they have greater certainty in their lives 57% 56% 59% 52% 57% 62% 59% 56% 55% 67%
Now is not the right time to make changes to the rules for casual workers, because economic uncertainty means there needs to be as much flexibility in the workplace as possible 43% 44% 41% 48% 43% 38% 41% 44% 45% 33%
Base (n) 1,071 539 532 339 374 358 356 406 102 107
  • Views are split on whether this is the right time to change the industrial relations laws regarding casual workers. While the majority think the laws should be changed (57%), there is a sizeable minority (43%) who believe now is not the right time to make these changes.
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