Climate change and bushfires

Nov 26, 2019

Q. Thinking about the bushfires in Queensland and New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

Nov’19 Oct’13
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 43% 27%
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 17% 14%
It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 30% 48%
Don’t know 11% 11%
Base (n) 1,083 1,075

 

  Total Gender Age Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 43% 39% 46% 54% 41% 35% 53% 31% 73% 30%
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 17% 22% 12% 22% 17% 13% 19% 20% 7% 13%
It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 30% 29% 30% 15% 29% 43% 19% 40% 6% 50%
Don’t know 11% 9% 12% 9% 13% 9% 9% 9% 13% 7%
Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385 342 373 93 162
  •  43% now think It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue. When this question was last asked in 2013, 27% gave this answer.
  • The proportion of people who think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time has remained fairly constant. 17% saying this in 2019, and 14% in 2013.
  • Those least likely to think bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue are Coalition (31%) and other minor party and independent voters (31%).

Medivac Bill

Nov 26, 2019

Q. Earlier this year, the Federal Parliament passed legislation to allow doctors, not politicians, more say in determining the appropriate medical treatment offered to people in offshore detention. This may include medical evacuation (Medivac) transfer to Australia if necessary.

Which of the following statements most closely aligns with your views of this legislation?

Nov’19 Sep’19 Feb’19
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 25% 23% 16%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 37% 41% 38%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 22% 20% 30%
Unsure 17% 18% 16%
Base (n) 1,083 1,093 1,085

  

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 25% 24% 26% 28% 26% 21%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 37% 39% 35% 42% 34% 35%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 22% 23% 20% 10% 21% 33%
Unsure 17% 14% 19% 20% 20% 11%
Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385

 

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 25% 33% 15% 51% 19%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 37% 38% 44% 29% 27%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 22% 14% 29% 6% 39%
Unsure 17% 15% 12% 15% 15%
Base (n) 1,083 342 373 93 162
  • A quarter of people (25%) believe that the Medivac legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention. This has increased from earlier this year in February, when just 16% believed so.
  • 37% believe that the Medivac legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention – the same level as in Feb’19 (38%).

Performance of Scott Morrison

Nov 12, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
NET: Approve 45% 47% 49% 48% 48% 48%
NET: Disapprove 41% 38% 36% 37% 34% 36%
Don’t know 13% 15% 15% 16% 18% 18%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 12% 4% 27% 2% 3%
Approve 33% 22% 56% 13% 31%
Disapprove 21% 32% 10% 28% 27%
Strongly disapprove 20% 32% 2% 43% 27%
Don’t know 13% 11% 5% 15% 12%
NET: Approve 45% 25% 83% 15% 34%
NET: Disapprove 41% 64% 11% 71% 54%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
  • There is a slight drop in the approval rating of the Prime Minister this month, with the 45% of participants approving of the job, down from 47% last month and 49% in September.
  • The vast majority of Coalition voters approve of Morrison’s performance as PM, with 83% approval (on par with 84% approval last month), compared to just 11% of Coalition voters who disapprove.
  • The main drivers of the decline in the PMs approval rating are men (approval now at 47%, down from 53% in October), Queensland residents (40%, down from 47% last month) and residents aged 18-34 (41%, down from 50% last month).

Performance of Anthony Albanese

Nov 12, 2019

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
NET: Approve 37% 40% 36% 38% 39% 35%
NET: Disapprove 34% 29% 31% 29% 24% 25%
Don’t know 29% 31% 33% 33% 37% 39%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 6% 12% 3% 6% 3%
Approve 31% 45% 32% 25% 16%
Disapprove 24% 19% 28% 30% 32%
Strongly disapprove 9% 2% 14% 7% 18%
Don’t know 29% 23% 22% 32% 31%
NET: Approve 37% 57% 35% 31% 19%
NET: Disapprove 34% 21% 43% 37% 50%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
  • Anthony Albanese has 37% approval as Opposition Leader, but just under one third (29%) don’t know how to rate his performance. More respondents are able to provide a rating on Albanese’s performance now, than when he first took over the position in June, when 39% recorded a response of don’t know.
  • Approval with Albanese’s performance is driven by Labor party voters (57%), participants with a university education (47%) and males (43%).

Preferred Prime Minister

Nov 12, 2019

Q. Who do you think would makes the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

  Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
Scott Morrison 44% 43% 46% 44% 44% 43%
Anthony Albanese 28% 28% 25% 28% 26% 25%
Don’t know 29% 29% 29% 28% 31% 32%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Scott Morrison 44% 47% 41% 38% 40% 52%
Anthony Albanese 28% 30% 25% 33% 25% 26%
Don’t know 29% 23% 34% 29% 35% 22%
Base (n) 1,075 526 549 327 371 377
  • More than two-fifths of participants think that Scott Morrison makes the better PM (44%), which is on par with previous months from mid-2019 (between 43% and 46% since June).
  • 29% don’t know who would make the better PM between Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese.

Protest Activity

Nov 12, 2019

Q. Have you personally ever taken part in any of the following…?

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Signed an online petition 44% 39% 48% 45% 44% 42%
Signed a written petition 39% 37% 41% 33% 34% 50%
Attended a march or rally 17% 18% 16% 24% 12% 16%
Gone on strike from work 13% 18% 8% 13% 10% 14%
Signed up to an online political campaign 10% 11% 10% 16% 9% 7%
None of these 37% 39% 35% 31% 41% 39%
NET: Any of these 63% 61% 65% 69% 59% 61%
Base (n) 1,075 526 549 327 371 377
  • Almost two-thirds (63%) of people have ever participated in a protest activity – either attending a strike or rally, or signing up to a petition or campaign.
  • Signing online and written petitions are the most popular forms of protest (44% and 39% respectively have done this). Less than a fifth have ever a march or rally (17%) and 13% have been on strike.
  • Women are more likely than men to have signed petitions (48% to 39% for online petitions and 41% to 37% for written petitions), while men are more likely to have been on strike (18% to 8%).
  • People aged 18-34 are more likely than other to have attended a protest or rally (24% compared to 14% of those aged 35+).
Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Signed an online petition 44% 43% 37% 71% 59%
Signed a written petition 39% 37% 39% 51% 50%
Attended a march or rally 17% 16% 13% 43% 21%
Gone on strike from work 13% 17% 10% 12% 12%
Signed up to an online political campaign 10% 11% 9% 18% 13%
None of these 37% 38% 39% 18% 31%
NET: Any of these 63% 62% 61% 82% 69%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
  • Greens voters are most likely to have participated in any activity (82%), with signing online petitions (71%), written petitions (51%) and attending marches or rallies (43%) being most popular.
  • Those with a university education are more likely to have participated in protest activities are (69% to 60% of all others). They are more likely to have attended a march or rally (24% to 14%), gone on strike (18% to 10%) and signed up to an online campaign (16% to 8%).

Support for Right to Protest laws

Nov 12, 2019

Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements regarding the right to protest in Australia?

  NET: Agree NET: Disagree Strongly agree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Unsure
The right to peaceful protest is a fundamental part of a democratic society 82% 10% 51% 31% 7% 3% 9%
Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts businesses 58% 31% 26% 32% 17% 15% 11%
Protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines 53% 33% 23% 30% 18% 15% 14%
Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it is contrary to the national interest 47% 41% 20% 28% 22% 19% 12%
  • A large majority of people agree that the right to peaceful protest is a fundamental part of a democratic society (82%), with half (51%) strongly agreeing.
  • 58% agree that the Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts businesses (31% disagree), and 53% agree that protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines (33% disagree).
  • Agreement was split for the statement ‘Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it is contrary to the national interest’ with 47% agreeing, and 41% disagreeing.
NET: AGREE Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
The right to peaceful protest is a fundamental part of a democratic society 82% 84% 79% 75% 83% 86%
Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts businesses 58% 60% 56% 54% 58% 62%
Protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines 53% 54% 52% 60% 52% 48%
Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it is contrary to the national interest 47% 50% 45% 41% 48% 52%
Base (n) 1,075 526 549 327 371 377
  • Older respondents (those aged over 55) were more likely than younger people (18-34) to agree that the right to peaceful protest is a fundamental part of a democratic society (86% to 75%), that the Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts businesses (62% to 54%), and that the Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it is contrary to the national interest (52% to 41%).
  • Over 55s are less likely to agree that protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines (60% to 48%).
NET: AGREE Total Voting Intention Protest Activity
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other Participated in protest activity Not participated in protest activity
The right to peaceful protest is a fundamental part of a democratic society 82% 84% 86% 89% 85% 87% 72%
Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts businesses 58% 48% 78% 33% 61% 58% 59%
Protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines 53% 60% 47% 80% 49% 60% 41%
Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it is contrary to the national interest 47% 39% 65% 22% 49% 47% 49%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155 682 393
  • Coalition voters were most likely to agree that the Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it disrupts businesses (78%) and that the Government has the right to limit citizen protests when it is contrary to the national interest (65%). However they were least likely to agree that protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines (47%).
  • Those who have participated in a protest activity are more likely than those who have not to agree with the statements ‘The right to peaceful protest is a fundamental part of a democratic society’ (87% to 72%) and ‘Protestors should have the right to pressure banks not to invest in companies that are building coal mines oppose the proposed changes’ (46% to 27%).

Support for Right to Protest laws

Nov 12, 2019

Q. Scott Morrison has flagged changing the law to stop environmental and other civil society groups or consumers campaigning against big resource projects. This change could make consumer or environmental boycotts illegal.

Based on what you understand, to what extent do you support or oppose the Prime Minister’s proposal?

    Gender Age
  Total Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Strongly support 14% 18% 11% 12% 11% 19%
Somewhat support 19% 20% 18% 23% 16% 18%
Neither support, nor oppose 28% 24% 31% 29% 33% 22%
Somewhat oppose 15% 13% 17% 12% 18% 15%
Strongly oppose 24% 25% 23% 24% 22% 26%
NET: Support 33% 38% 29% 35% 27% 37%
NET: Oppose 39% 38% 40% 36% 40% 41%
Base (n) 1,075 526 549 327 371 377
  • Overall, there was more opposition to support for the Government’s proposals stop environmental and other civil society groups or consumers campaigning against big resource projects (39% to 33%). 28% neither support nor oppose the proposals.
  • Support was highest among men (38%) and those aged 55+ (37%).
  Total Voting Intention Protest Activity
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other Participated in protest activity Not participated in protest activity
Strongly support 14% 9% 26% 1% 11% 15% 13%
Somewhat support 19% 15% 30% 11% 13% 16% 23%
Neither support, nor oppose 28% 27% 24% 13% 30% 22% 37%
Somewhat oppose 15% 17% 12% 18% 18% 16% 14%
Strongly oppose 24% 32% 8% 57% 29% 31% 13%
NET: Support 33% 24% 56% 12% 23% 31% 36%
NET: Oppose 39% 49% 20% 76% 47% 46% 27%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155 682 393
  • Just over half of Coalition voters support the Government’s proposals (56%). The proposal receives lower support among Labor (24%), Greens (12%), and minor party/independent voters (23%).
  • Those who have participated in a protest activity are more likely than those who have not to oppose the proposed changes (46% to 27%).
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