Essential Report

Time to return to normal

Jul 20, 2021

Q. Thinking about the future, how long do you think it will take for the following to occur? / And how long do you think it will take for the following to occur in Australia?

TOTAL: Within one year This week

19/07

Last month

07/06

Three months ago

26/04

Last July

27/07/20

Interstate travel will be allowed without restriction 48%
The Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in your state 42%
Unemployment will return to pre-pandemic levels 37% 22% 30% 19%
The Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in Australia 31% 18% 30%
The housing market will return pre-pandemic levels 30% 18% 33% 22%
Quarantine will no longer be required after international travel 22% 12% 23% 25%
International travel will be allowed without restriction 21% 12% 20% 21%
Australia will pay off its national debt 16% 7% 13% 11%
  • A similar proportion of people as in April think most of the events above will occur within a year.
TOTAL: Within one year NSW VIC QLD SA WA
The Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in your state 48% 38% 33% 43% 44%
  • Those in NSW are most likely to think the Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in their state within a year (48%), followed by Western Australians (44%) and South Australians (43%). Victorians and Queenslanders are less likely to think this (38% and 33% respectively).
TOTAL: Within one year Within the next six months Seven months up to one year One to two years More than two years Never
Interstate travel will be allowed without restriction 48% 20% 29% 30% 17% 5%
The Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in your state 42% 13% 29% 36% 17% 6%
Unemployment will return to pre-pandemic levels 37% 18% 20% 30% 25% 8%
The Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed in Australia 31% 11% 20% 35% 26% 8%
The housing market will return pre-pandemic levels 30% 14% 16% 28% 24% 18%
Quarantine will no longer be required after international travel 22% 8% 14% 33% 35% 10%
International travel will be allowed without restriction 21% 9% 12% 31% 37% 11%
Australia will pay off its national debt 16% 9% 8% 11% 42% 31%
  • Out of the events listed, people are most optimistic about interstate travel – just under half (48%) think interstate travel will be allowed without restriction within a year.
  • 31% of Australians think the Covid-19 vaccine rollout will be completed nationally within a year. A further 35% think this will take one to two years, and about a quarter (26%) think this will take more than two years.
  • 31% think it will take one to two years for international travel to be allowed without restriction, 37% think this will take more than two years.

Performance of Scott Morrison

Jul 6, 2021

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Jul’21 Jun’21 May’21 Apr’21 End Mar’21 Mid Mar’21 Feb’21 Jan’21 Dec’20 Nov’20 Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20
TOTAL: Approve 51% 57% 58% 54% 57% 62% 65% 61% 62% 66% 63% 64% 66%
TOTAL: Disapprove 40% 36% 32% 37% 35% 29% 28% 30% 28% 25% 27% 28% 23%
Don’t know 9% 8% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 9% 11% 9% 10% 8% 11%
Base (n) 1,099 1,104 1,092 1,368 1,100 1,124 1,109 1,084 1,071 1,010 1,082 1,076 1,010

 

TOTAL: Approve Jul’21 Jun’21 May’21 Apr’21
NSW 53% 59% 64% 55%
VIC 49% 52% 51% 51%
QLD 49% 60% 60% 57%
SA 50% 56% 52% 50%
WA 45% 41% 28% 36%
  • The Prime Minister’s approval rating has dropped to 51% (from 57% in June). This is the lowest approval rating in the last 12 months.
  • Disapproval has increased to 40% (from 36% last month). This is the highest disapproval rating in the last 12 months.
  • The PM’s approval rating has fallen in all states except for WA. It has dropped the most significantly in QLD (49% from 60% in June).
TOTAL: Approve Jul’21 Jun’21 May’21 12 Apr’21 29 Mar’21 15 Mar’21 Feb’21 Jan’21 Dec’20 Nov’20
Men 53% 61% 62% 61% 65% 65% 65% 62% 68% 65%
Women 49% 52% 55% 46% 49% 59% 65% 59% 56% 67%
TOTAL: Disapprove                    
Men 41% 34% 31% 32% 30% 28% 28% 32% 25% 28%
Women 39% 38% 34% 42% 40% 30% 28% 29% 30% 23%
  • Approval of Scott Morrison has fallen among both men and women to 53% and 49% respectively (from 61% and 52% in June). This is the lowest approval rating of the PM seen among men since last March, and among women since April.
  • Disapproval of the PM among men has increased to 41% (from 34% in June), the highest disapproval rating among men since last March. Disapproval of the PM among women is at 39%, similar to last month but an increase from the level in May (34%).

Performance of Anthony Albanese

Jul 6, 2021

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Jul’21 Jun’21 May’21 Apr’21 Mar’21 Feb’21 Jan’21 Dec’20 Nov’20 Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20
TOTAL: Approve 41% 39% 39% 39% 41% 40% 42% 43% 40% 44% 44% 44%
TOTAL: Disapprove 35% 36% 35% 34% 32% 33% 33% 29% 33% 29% 29% 30%
Don’t know 24% 24% 25% 27% 27% 27% 25% 28% 27% 27% 27% 25%
Base (n) 1,099 1,104 1,092 1,368 1,124 1,109 1,084 1,071 1,010 1,082 1,076 1,010
  • The Opposition Leader’s approval rating has increased slightly to 41% (from 39% in June).
  • Similarly, the proportion of people disapproving of Albanese and those unsure are both consistent with last month (35% and 24% respectively).

Preferred Prime Minister

Jul 6, 2021

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

Jul’21 Jun’21 May’21 Apr’21 Mar’21 Feb’21 Jan’21 Dec’20 Nov’20 Oct’20 Sep’20 Aug’20
Scott Morrison 46% 48% 50% 47% 52% 52% 51% 50% 53% 50% 49% 52%
Anthony Albanese 28% 28% 24% 28% 26% 24% 25% 24% 24% 25% 26% 22%
Don’t know 26% 24% 26% 25% 22% 24% 25% 26% 24% 25% 25% 26%
Base (n) 1,099 1,104 1,092 1,368 1,124 1,109 1,084 1,071 1,010 1,082 1,076 1,010
  • Less than half (46%) of Australians now believe that Scott Morrison would make a better PM than Anthony Albanese (48% last month).
  • 28% think the opposition leader would make the better Prime Minister (same level in June). 26% of participants don’t know who would make the better PM.
Men Jul’21 Jun’21 May’21 Apr’21 Mar’21 Feb’21 Jan’21 Dec’20 Nov’20 Oct’20
Scott Morrison 48% 54% 54% 53% 52% 54% 53% 54% 54% 52%
Anthony Albanese 31% 30% 26% 29% 30% 28% 28% 29% 28% 29%
Don’t know 21% 16% 20% 18% 19% 19% 19% 17% 19% 19%
Women                    
Scott Morrison 43% 43% 47% 42% 53% 51% 48% 47% 51% 47%
Anthony Albanese 26% 25% 22% 26% 23% 21% 22% 19% 20% 22%
Don’t know 31% 31% 31% 32% 24% 29% 31% 34% 28% 31%
  • Less than half (48%) of men now believe Scott Morrison makes the better PM (54% in June), the lowest number since last March. About the same proportion as last month think Albanese would make the better PM (31%). More men are now unsure who would make the better PM (21% from 16% last month).
  • The proportion of women who think Scott Morrison makes the better PM has dropped since May to 43% (from 47%). Just over a quarter (26%) of women now think Anthony Albanese would make the better PM (from 22% in May). 31% are undecided, consistent with the past few months.

Scott Morrison’s treatment of NSW vs other states during Covid-19

Jul 6, 2021

Q. Thinking about how Scott Morrison has treated your state compared to how he has treated NSW during the Covid-19 pandemic, which of the following is closer to your view? [ASKED TO ALL RESPONDENTS EXCEPT FOR THOSE IN NSW]

  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Scott Morrison has treated my state less favourably than NSW 37% 41% 33% 38% 39% 34% 51% 26% 43% 35%
Scott Morrison has treated my state more favourably than NSW 8% 9% 7% 11% 11% 4% 7% 9% 16% 9%
Scott Morrison has treated my state the same as NSW 29% 29% 29% 21% 27% 37% 19% 47% 19% 31%
Unsure 26% 21% 31% 30% 23% 25% 23% 19% 21% 24%
Base (n) 743 366 377 247 250 246 297 236 61 83

 

  State
  VIC QLD SA WA
Scott Morrison has treated my state less favourably than NSW 40% 35% 22% 50%
Scott Morrison has treated my state more favourably than NSW 8% 7% 11% 9%
Scott Morrison has treated my state the same as NSW 26% 32% 39% 18%
Unsure 25% 26% 28% 22%
Base (n) 275 220 87 106
  • Thinking about how Scott Morrison has treated NSW compared to how he has treated other states during the Covid-19 pandemic, which of the following is closer to your view? [ASKED TO RESPONDENTS IN NSW ONLY]
  Total Gender Age Group Federal Voting Intention
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor TOTAL: Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other
Scott Morrison has treated NSW less favourably than other states 14% 16% 11% 19% 14% 9% 18% 9% 20% 9%
Scott Morrison has treated NSW more favourably than other states 23% 28% 19% 27% 30% 15% 29% 23% 30% 13%
Scott Morrison has treated NSW the same as other states 46% 41% 50% 35% 39% 59% 33% 57% 40% 53%
Unsure 18% 15% 20% 19% 17% 17% 20% 11% 10% 24%
Base (n) 553 268 285 147 203 203 182 226 41 44
  • When thinking about how Scott Morrison has treated their state compared to how he has treated NSW during the Covid-19 pandemic, over a third (37%) of respondents in states besides NSW say Scott Morrison has treated their state less favourably. 29% think Scott Morrison has treated their state the same as NSW and 26% are unsure. Only 8% think the PM has treated their state more favourably than NSW.
  • Victorians and Western Australians are more likely than those in other states to think the PM has treated their state less favourably than NSW (40% and 50% respectively).
  • When thinking about how Scott Morrison has treated NSW compared to how he has treated other states during the Covid-19 pandemic, just under half (46%) of those in NSW think the PM has treated their state equally, while 23% think he has treated NSW more favourably. 14% think the PM has treated NSW less favourably than other states, and 18% are unsure.
  • In other states besides NSW, compared to other voters, Labor voters are most likely to think Scott Morrison has treated their state less favourably (51%), whereas Coalition voters are most likely to think their state has been treated equally (47%).
  • In NSW, compared to other voters, Coalition voters are the most likely to think the PM has treated NSW equally (57%), while Labor voters are the least likely to think this (33%).

Federal government response to Covid-19

Jul 6, 2021

Q. Overall, how would you rate the federal government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

  05/07 07/06 24/05 12/04 15/03 01/03 15/02 01/02 30/11 16/11 02/11 05/10 21/09
Very poor 12% 10% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 4% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Quite poor 17% 14% 12% 10% 7% 8% 7% 11% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13%
Neither good nor poor 26% 22% 25% 21% 18% 24% 19% 19% 19% 18% 24% 22% 21%
Quite good 33% 38% 40% 40% 39% 39% 42% 42% 41% 41% 39% 39% 40%
Very good 11% 15% 18% 22% 31% 23% 27% 25% 26% 26% 22% 21% 21%
TOTAL: Poor 30% 24% 18% 17% 12% 14% 12% 14% 13% 15% 15% 18% 18%
TOTAL: Good 44% 53% 58% 62% 70% 62% 69% 67% 67% 67% 61% 60% 61%
Base (n) 1,099 1,104 1,100 1,368 1,124 1,074 1,109 1,092 1,034 1,010 1,063 1,066 1,081

 

TOTAL: Good 05/07 07/06 24/05 12/04 15/03 01/03
NSW 44% 62% 56% 66% 69% 64%
VIC 40% 42% 57% 55% 65% 51%
QLD 48% 54% 56% 63% 69% 66%
SA 48% 58% 66% 62% 78% 68%
WA 42% 49% 56% 65% 75% 66%
  • Since peaking at 70% in March, positive rating of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 has dropped off, falling sharply to 44% this month (from 53% last month). This is the lowest rating recorded to date for this question which was first asked in March 2020.
  • Positive rating of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 has decreased in all states since last month, however it has fallen the most steeply in NSW where it is now 44% (down 18 percentage points from 62% in June).
  • In SA, WA and QLD, this rating has also decreased to 48%, 42% and 48% respectively (from 58%, 49% and 54% in June).
  • After a sharp fall last month, positive rating of the federal government’s handling of Covid-19 remains the lowest of all states in VIC at 40%.

State government response to Covid-19

Jul 6, 2021

Q. How would you rate your state government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

TOTAL: Good 05/07 07/06 24/05 12/04 15/03 01/03 15/02 01/02 30/11 16/11 02/11 05/10 21/09
NSW 57% 69% 68% 73% 75% 72% 72% 71% 76% 75% 68% 65% 67%
VIC 50% 48% 63% 58% 62% 49% 59% 61% 60% 59% 55% 45% 47%
QLD 61% 65% 68% 72% 75% 73% 76% 78% 72% 71% 69% 69% 68%
SA 67% 67% 71% 75% 85% 78% 79% 80% 70% 76% 77% 81% 81%
WA 86% 75% 77% 84% 91% 85% 88% 80% 83% 82% 81% 83% 84%
  • With the ongoing Covid-19 outbreak and lockdown in NSW, positive rating of the state government’s response to Covid-19 has fallen steeply (down 12 percentage points from 69% in June).
  • While restrictions continue to ease in Victoria, rating of the state government has improved only marginally compared to last month (now 50% from 48% in June).
  • With Queensland affected by Covid-19 cases and a lockdown, rating of the state government remains moderately high but has decreased to 61% (from 65% last month).
  • Despite WA also having been affected by Covid-19 cases and a lockdown, positive rating of the state government’s response to Covid-19 has improved significantly – up 11 percentage points to 86% (from 75% last month). This is consistent with the level in April.
  • Rating of the SA government’s handling of Covid-19 remains high and stable at 67%.

Uptake of a Covid-19 vaccine

Jul 6, 2021

Q. The Covid-19 vaccine rollout is underway in Australia.

Once a vaccine becomes available to you, how long would you wait before taking it?

  05/07 07/06 10/05 26/04 15/03 01/03 18/01 14/12 10/08
I’d get vaccinated as soon as possible / I’ve already been vaccinated / I’ve already had the first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine / I’ve already had both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine 51% 52% 44% 42% 49% 50% 42% 43% 56%
I’d get vaccinated, but wouldn’t do it straight away 33% 36% 42% 42% 40% 40% 47% 46% 35%
I’d never get vaccinated 16% 13% 14% 16% 12% 10% 11% 10% 8%
Base (n) 1,099 1,104 1,092 1,090 1,124 1,074 1,084 1,071 1,008
  • About half of Australians say they would get vaccinated as soon as possible, already have been vaccinated, or already have had the first dose or both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine (51%), consistent with last month.
  • Slightly fewer people now say they would get vaccinated but not straight away (33% from 36% last month).
  • 16% now say they would never get vaccinated.
18-34 05/07 07/06 10/05
I’d get vaccinated as soon as possible / I’ve already been vaccinated / I’ve already had the first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine / I’ve already had both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine 35% 45% 32%
I’d get vaccinated, but wouldn’t do it straight away 39% 41% 48%
I’d never get vaccinated 26% 15% 20%
Base (n) 341 347 340
NSW 05/07 07/06 10/05
I’d get vaccinated as soon as possible / I’ve already been vaccinated / I’ve already had the first dose of a Covid-19 vaccine / I’ve already had both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine 56% 56% 48%
I’d get vaccinated, but wouldn’t do it straight away 30% 34% 40%
I’d never get vaccinated 14% 10% 12%
Base (n) 553 349 349
  • Despite the Covid-19 outbreak and lockdown in NSW, a consistent level of those in NSW say they would get vaccinated as soon as possible, already have been vaccinated, or already have had the first dose or both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine compared to last month (56%).
  • Fewer of those in NSW now say they would get vaccinated but not straight away (30% from 34% last month), and slightly more now say they would never get vaccinated (14% from 10% last month).
  • With the recent changes in the federal government’s Covid-19 vaccine rollout strategy affecting under 40s, fewer of those aged 18-34 now say they would get vaccinated as soon as possible, already have been vaccinated, or already have had the first dose or both doses of a Covid-19 vaccine (35% from 45% last month). This is consistent with the level in May.
  • About a quarter (26%) of those aged 18-34 now say they would never get vaccinated (15% last month). This is the highest proportion recorded since this question was first asked in August last year.
  • Slightly fewer of those 18-34 say they would get vaccinated but not straight away (39% from 41% last month).
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