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Federal ICAC

Dec 10, 2019
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Q. To what extent would you support or oppose the establishment of an independent federal corruption body to monitor the behaviour of our politicians and public servants?

  Total Voting Intention Sep’18
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly support 42% 49% 48% 37% 51% 46%
Support 33% 35% 28% 45% 30% 36%
Oppose 7% 7% 8% 6% 5% 4%
Strongly oppose 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1%
Unsure 17% 8% 15% 10% 12% 14%
NET: Support 75% 84% 76% 82% 80% 82%
NET: Oppose 8% 8% 10% 8% 8% 5%
Base (n) 1,035 339 356 106 116 1,030
  • 75% of participants support the establishment of an independent federal corruption body to monitor the behaviour of our politicians and public servants – this is lower than Sep’18, when 82% supported of an independent body.
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Climate Change

Nov 26, 2019
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Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

Nov’19 Mar’19 Oct’18 Sep’17 Aug’16
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 61% 62% 63% 64% 57%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 28% 27% 25% 24% 26%
Don’t know 11% 12% 13% 12% 17%
Base (n) 1,083 1,089 1,027 1,011 1,022

 

  Total Gender Age Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 61% 59% 63% 74% 61% 50% 74% 47% 89% 44%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 28% 32% 25% 18% 25% 41% 16% 43% 1% 48%
Don’t know 11% 9% 12% 8% 15% 9% 10% 10% 10% 7%
Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385 342 373 93 162

 61% believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity. This is consistent with previous results in Mar’19 (62%) and Oct’18 (63%).

  • 28% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate, no change from earlier in the year (27% in March).
  • By age groups, those aged 18-34 were most likely to believe in man-made climate change (74%) and those over 55+ least so (50%).
  • Less than half of Coalition votes (47%) believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity.
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Addressing Climate Change

Nov 26, 2019
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Q. As far as you know, do you think Australia is doing enough, not enough or too much to address climate change?

Nov’19 Mar’19 Dec’18 Oct’18 Sep’17 Aug’16
Not doing enough 60% 51% 53% 56% 56% 52%
Doing enough 22% 27% 24% 23% 20% 22%
Doing too much 8% 11% 9% 7% 8% 8%
Don’t know 10% 12% 14% 13% 16% 18%
Base (n) 1,083 1,089 1,032 1,027 1,011 1,022

 

  Total Gender Age Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Not doing enough 60% 57% 63% 69% 59% 53% 72% 46% 87% 48%
Doing enough 22% 24% 20% 19% 19% 28% 13% 35% 3% 27%
Doing too much 8% 11% 6% 5% 9% 11% 5% 12% 1% 17%
Don’t know 10% 8% 12% 8% 13% 9% 10% 8% 9% 8%
Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385 342 373 93 162
  • 60% now think Australia is not doing enough to address climate change, this has increased from 51% in March 2019.
  • Those people most likely to think Australia was not doing enough include young people aged 18-34 (69%), Greens voters (87%) and Labor voters (72%).
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Climate change and bushfires

Nov 26, 2019
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Q. Thinking about the bushfires in Queensland and New South Wales, which of the following statements is closest to your view?

Nov’19 Oct’13
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 43% 27%
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 17% 14%
It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 30% 48%
Don’t know 11% 11%
Base (n) 1,083 1,075

 

  Total Gender Age Voting Intention
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+ Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue 43% 39% 46% 54% 41% 35% 53% 31% 73% 30%
It is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time 17% 22% 12% 22% 17% 13% 19% 20% 7% 13%
It is unlikely the bushfires are linked to climate change 30% 29% 30% 15% 29% 43% 19% 40% 6% 50%
Don’t know 11% 9% 12% 9% 13% 9% 9% 9% 13% 7%
Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385 342 373 93 162
  •  43% now think It likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue. When this question was last asked in 2013, 27% gave this answer.
  • The proportion of people who think it is likely that the bushfires are linked to climate change but it is inappropriate to publicly raise this issue at this this time has remained fairly constant. 17% saying this in 2019, and 14% in 2013.
  • Those least likely to think bushfires are linked to climate change and it is appropriate to publicly raise this issue are Coalition (31%) and other minor party and independent voters (31%).
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Medivac Bill

Nov 26, 2019
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Q. Earlier this year, the Federal Parliament passed legislation to allow doctors, not politicians, more say in determining the appropriate medical treatment offered to people in offshore detention. This may include medical evacuation (Medivac) transfer to Australia if necessary.

Which of the following statements most closely aligns with your views of this legislation?

Nov’19 Sep’19 Feb’19
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 25% 23% 16%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 37% 41% 38%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 22% 20% 30%
Unsure 17% 18% 16%
Base (n) 1,083 1,093 1,085

  

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 25% 24% 26% 28% 26% 21%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 37% 39% 35% 42% 34% 35%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 22% 23% 20% 10% 21% 33%
Unsure 17% 14% 19% 20% 20% 11%
Base (n) 1,083 527 556 329 369 385

 

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
This legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention 25% 33% 15% 51% 19%
This legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention 37% 38% 44% 29% 27%
This legislation will weaken our borders and result in boats arriving in Australia as they have in the past 22% 14% 29% 6% 39%
Unsure 17% 15% 12% 15% 15%
Base (n) 1,083 342 373 93 162
  • A quarter of people (25%) believe that the Medivac legislation does not go far enough to provide humane treatment for people in offshore detention. This has increased from earlier this year in February, when just 16% believed so.
  • 37% believe that the Medivac legislation strikes a balance between strong borders and humane treatment for people in offshore detention – the same level as in Feb’19 (38%).
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Performance of Scott Morrison

Nov 12, 2019
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?

Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
NET: Approve 45% 47% 49% 48% 48% 48%
NET: Disapprove 41% 38% 36% 37% 34% 36%
Don’t know 13% 15% 15% 16% 18% 18%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 12% 4% 27% 2% 3%
Approve 33% 22% 56% 13% 31%
Disapprove 21% 32% 10% 28% 27%
Strongly disapprove 20% 32% 2% 43% 27%
Don’t know 13% 11% 5% 15% 12%
NET: Approve 45% 25% 83% 15% 34%
NET: Disapprove 41% 64% 11% 71% 54%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
  • There is a slight drop in the approval rating of the Prime Minister this month, with the 45% of participants approving of the job, down from 47% last month and 49% in September.
  • The vast majority of Coalition voters approve of Morrison’s performance as PM, with 83% approval (on par with 84% approval last month), compared to just 11% of Coalition voters who disapprove.
  • The main drivers of the decline in the PMs approval rating are men (approval now at 47%, down from 53% in October), Queensland residents (40%, down from 47% last month) and residents aged 18-34 (41%, down from 50% last month).
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Performance of Anthony Albanese

Nov 12, 2019
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Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Anthony Albanese is doing as Opposition Leader?

Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
NET: Approve 37% 40% 36% 38% 39% 35%
NET: Disapprove 34% 29% 31% 29% 24% 25%
Don’t know 29% 31% 33% 33% 37% 39%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

  Total Voting Intention
Labor Coalition Greens NET: Other
Strongly approve 6% 12% 3% 6% 3%
Approve 31% 45% 32% 25% 16%
Disapprove 24% 19% 28% 30% 32%
Strongly disapprove 9% 2% 14% 7% 18%
Don’t know 29% 23% 22% 32% 31%
NET: Approve 37% 57% 35% 31% 19%
NET: Disapprove 34% 21% 43% 37% 50%
Base (n) 1,075 325 377 107 155
  • Anthony Albanese has 37% approval as Opposition Leader, but just under one third (29%) don’t know how to rate his performance. More respondents are able to provide a rating on Albanese’s performance now, than when he first took over the position in June, when 39% recorded a response of don’t know.
  • Approval with Albanese’s performance is driven by Labor party voters (57%), participants with a university education (47%) and males (43%).
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Preferred Prime Minister

Nov 12, 2019
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Q. Who do you think would makes the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese?

  Nov’19 Oct’19 Sep’19 Aug’19 Jul’19 Jun’19
Scott Morrison 44% 43% 46% 44% 44% 43%
Anthony Albanese 28% 28% 25% 28% 26% 25%
Don’t know 29% 29% 29% 28% 31% 32%
Base (n) 1,075 1,088 1,093 1,096 1,091 1,099

 

  Total Gender Age
Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Scott Morrison 44% 47% 41% 38% 40% 52%
Anthony Albanese 28% 30% 25% 33% 25% 26%
Don’t know 29% 23% 34% 29% 35% 22%
Base (n) 1,075 526 549 327 371 377
  • More than two-fifths of participants think that Scott Morrison makes the better PM (44%), which is on par with previous months from mid-2019 (between 43% and 46% since June).
  • 29% don’t know who would make the better PM between Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese.
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Essential Report

Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019

Labor
51.5%-0.5
Coalition
48.5%+0.5

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