Federal Budget and post Covid-19 economic recovery

Oct 20, 2020

Q. To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements about the recent Federal Budget and the direction for the country to recover from the Covid-19 pandemic?

  TOTAL:

Agree

TOTAL:

Disagree

Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree, nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Unsure
The decisions the government makes now will affect the future health of the economy 75% 5% 43% 33% 13% 3% 2% 7%
The government should take the recognition if their budget measures work, just as they should take responsibility if they do not 70% 5% 36% 34% 17% 4% 2% 8%
There were better approaches to the budget like investing in jobs and services 51% 10% 20% 31% 29% 8% 2% 11%
The global pandemic means that the health of the economy is out of the government’s control 49% 21% 18% 32% 22% 15% 6% 7%
  • There is strong agreement that the Government is responsible for the future of the economy. 75% agree that ‘The decisions the government makes now will affect the future health of the economy’ and 70% of people agree that ‘The government should take the recognition if their budget measures work, just as they should take responsibility if they do not’
  • However, half of people (49%) agree with the statement that ‘The global pandemic means that the health of the economy is out of the government’s control’. Coalition voters are more likely to agree with this statement than Labor voters (58% to 48%).
  • Half of people agree that ‘There were better approaches to the budget like investing in jobs and services’ (51%). Those more likely to agree with this statement include Labor voters (60%), those in paid employment (56%) and men (56%).

NBN

Oct 20, 2020

Q. Is your home or workplace connected to the NBN? 

  Is your home connected to the NBN? Is your workplace connected to the NBN? NET: Home or work connected to NBN
Yes 59% 28% 65%
No 38% 19% 33%
Don’t know 3% 15% 2%
Not applicable 37%

 

  Is your home connected to the NBN? Is your workplace connected to the NBN? NET: Home or work connected to NBN
Yes 76% 34% 79%
No 20% 10% 19%
Don’t know 4% 17% 2%
Not applicable 38%
  • Home connection to NBN has increased from 59% in January 2019 to 76%, while workplace connection is now at 34% (previously 28%).
  • Would you say that your NBN internet service is better or worse than your previous service in terms of speed and reliability?

All people with NBN connection at home/work

  Oct’20 Jan’19
NET: Better 51% 51%
NET: Worse 15% 17%
Much better 24% 24%
A little better 27% 27%
About the same 32% 30%
A little worse 10% 10%
Much worse 7% 7%
Don’t know 2% 2%
  •  There has been no improvement to the speed and reliability of NBN over the past two years. Half of people using NBN the service has improved since switching (no change from Jan’19) and a third (32%) there has been no change. 15% report having a worse service since moving to NBN?

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of privatising the NBN when it is completed in 2020?

    Federal Voting Intention Gender Age    
  Total Labor Coalition Greens TOTAL: Other Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+   Jan’19
Strongly approve 11% 11% 12% 20% 15% 18% 5% 11% 16% 6%   9%
Somewhat approve 22% 17% 27% 19% 25% 25% 19% 33% 21% 12%   20%
Somewhat disapprove 14% 14% 14% 8% 14% 13% 14% 13% 14% 14%   18%
Strongly disapprove 25% 34% 18% 26% 30% 23% 26% 16% 18% 39%   26%
Don’t know 29% 24% 30% 28% 15% 21% 36% 27% 31% 29%   27%
NET: Approve 33% 28% 39% 39% 40% 43% 23% 45% 37% 19%   29%
NET: Disapprove 38% 48% 31% 34% 45% 36% 40% 29% 32% 52%   44%
Base (n) 1,082 352 421 84 123 352 555 328 369 385   1,089
  •  A third (33%) approve of privatising the NBN when it is completed in 2020 and 38% disapprove.
  • Labor voters were more likely to disapprove of privatisation (48%) than Coalition voters (31%) and Greens voters (34%).

Coronavirus concerns

Oct 6, 2020

Q. To what extent are you concerned about the threat of Covid-19 (coronavirus) in Australia?

  05/10 21/09 07/09 24/08 10/08 27/07 13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06
Very concerned 30% 36% 37% 40% 50% 43% 36% 25% 28% 27% 32%
Quite concerned 52% 45% 45% 46% 40% 44% 48% 50% 45% 48% 49%
Not that concerned 15% 15% 13% 10% 7% 9% 12% 21% 23% 21% 15%
Not at all concerned 3% 4% 5% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 4%
Base (n) 1,066 1,081 1,076 1,068 1,010 1,058 1,054 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059
  • Level of concern with Covid-19 has eased this week. 30% are now very concerned (down from 36% in September), with a corresponding increase to those saying they are Quite concerned (45% to 52%).

Federal government response to Covid-19

Oct 6, 2020

Q. Overall, how would you rate the federal government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

  05/10 21/09 07/09 24/08 10/08 27/07 13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06
Very poor 5% 5% 8% 6% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 4% 5%
Quite poor 12% 13% 12% 11% 8% 11% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7%
Neither good, nor poor 22% 21% 22% 22% 21% 20% 20% 17% 16% 18% 20%
Quite good 39% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 43% 42% 40% 39%
Very good 21% 21% 18% 22% 24% 24% 24% 27% 30% 30% 28%
TOTAL: Poor 18% 18% 19% 17% 16% 16% 16% 12% 11% 12% 12%
TOTAL: Good 60% 61% 59% 61% 63% 64% 64% 71% 72% 70% 68%
Base (n) 1,066 1,081 1,076 1,068 1,010 1,058 1,054 1,079 1,087 1,073 1,059
  • Rating of the Federal Government’s handling of Covid-19 stays steady at 60% rating it very or quite good (59% last month).

State government response to Covid-19

Oct 6, 2020

Q. How would you rate your state government’s response to the Covid-19 outbreak?

TOTAL: Good 05/10 21/09 07/09 24/08 10/08 27/07 13/07 22/06 15/06 08/06 01/06
NSW 65% 67% 57% 59% 61% 62% 63% 70% 65% 67% 62%
VIC 45% 47% 50% 47% 49% 53% 49% 65% 75% 72% 71%
QLD 69% 68% 66% 73% 68% 67% 69% 64% 67% 68% 69%
SA 81% 81% 74% 65% 72% 76% 79% 79% 76% 79% 70%
WA 83% 84% 87% 84% 86% 82% 77% 75% 77% 84% 79%
  • Positive rating of the NSW Government was steady this week (65% rating the performance as good, compared to 67% last month).
  • Rating of state government performance was also steady in Victoria, Queensland, South Australia and Western Australia.

Federal budget engagement

Oct 6, 2020

Q. How much attention will you pay to the Federal Budget announcements?     

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
No attention at all 6% 5% 7% 8% 6% 4%
Not much attention 18% 18% 18% 32% 15% 10%
A little attention 42% 38% 45% 43% 45% 38%
A lot of attention 34% 39% 29% 17% 34% 48%
Base (n) 1,066 531 535 340 341 385
  • Most people will be following the budget announcement on Tuesday with 34% saying they will pay a lot of attention, and 42% paying a little attention.
  • Men (39% paying a lot of attention) and older people (48%) will be most likely to closely follow the announcements.

Federal budget expectations

Oct 6, 2020

Q. The Federal Budget will be announced on Tuesday 6th October.

In general, do you expect the Federal Budget will be good or bad for the following?

  Oct’20 Mar’19
  NET: Very Good / Good Neither good, nor bad NET: Very bad / Bad Don’t know NET: Very Good / Good Neither good, nor bad NET: Very bad / Bad Don’t know
Big business 53% 26% 12% 9%
People who are well off 51% 30% 10% 8% 58% 23% 9% 10%
Small business 44% 26% 23% 7%
The economy overall 34% 27% 32% 7% 35% 33% 24% 9%
Australian families 33% 31% 29% 7% 27% 32% 33% 9%
Older Australians 31% 28% 34% 7% 25% 28% 38% 9%
Average working people 30% 29% 34% 6% 31% 30% 30% 9%
People on lower incomes 30% 23% 40% 6% 26% 32% 31% 10%
Younger Australians 29% 31% 33% 8% 24% 25% 42% 10%
You personally 25% 36% 31% 8% 19% 37% 34% 9%
  • Budget expectations are in line with March 2019, showing people are not expecting drastically different announcements this week.
  • Over half of people think big business (53%), and those who are well-off (51%) to benefit from the budget, while the losers are expected to be those on a lower income (40% expect these to have a bad/very bad budget), older Australians (34%) and younger Australians (33%).
  • More people expect the budget announcement to be bad for them than good. A quarter of people think the budget will benefit them personally (25% think the budget will be good/very good), which is less than those expecting it to be bad/very bad for them (31%).

By voting preference

NET:

Very good / Good

Total Vote Labor Vote Liberal / National Vote Greens NET: Vote Other
Big business 53% 62% 47% 68% 58%
People who are well off 51% 62% 41% 67% 56%
Small business 44% 41% 55% 36% 33%
The economy overall 34% 31% 43% 31% 26%
Australian families 33% 30% 43% 28% 23%
Older Australians 31% 27% 39% 34% 23%
Average working people 30% 25% 43% 19% 23%
People on lower incomes 30% 27% 40% 24% 17%
Younger Australians 29% 25% 37% 24% 27%
You personally 25% 22% 32% 27% 18%
  • Labor and Greens voters are more likely than Coalition voters to expect a favourable budget for Big businesses (62% and 68% of Labor and Greens voters respectively, to 47% of Coalition) and for those well-off (62% and 67% to 41%.
  • For all other groups, Coalition voters are more likely to expect a good budget than Labor or Greens.
  • 32% of Coalition voters think they will have a good budget. This was higher than Labor (22%), Greens (27%) or those voting for another independent/minor party (18%).

Economy: Revert to old ways vs opportunity for change

Oct 6, 2020

Q. Which of the following options is closest to your view on the best way for Australia to recover economically following the Covid-19 pandemic?

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Now is not the time to experiment with new ideas, we should return to the way the economy was being run 22% 23% 22% 30% 23% 15%
The pandemic has exposed flaws in the economy and there is an opportunity to explore new ways to run the economy 78% 77% 78% 70% 77% 85%
Base (n) 1,066 531 535 340 341 385

 

  Total Federal Voting Intention
  Labor Liberal + National Greens TOTAL: Other
Now is not the time to experiment with new ideas, we should return to the way the economy was being run 22% 21% 24% 23% 22%
The pandemic has exposed flaws in the economy and there is an opportunity to explore new ways to run the economy 78% 79% 76% 77% 78%
Base (n) 1,066 332 433 91 111
  • Over three-quarters of people believe that the pandemic has exposed flaws in the economy and there is an opportunity to explore new ways to run the economy (78%) with the remaining 22% thinking that now is not the time to experiment with new ideas, we should return to the way the economy was being run.
  • Preference for exploring new ideas was selected by the majority within gender (77% of men, 78% of women), ages (70% of 18-34 year olds, 77% of 35-54 year olds and 85% of those aged over 55), and voting intention.
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