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  • Mar, 2012

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    19 Jul 2010

    20 Dec 2010

    14 Mar

    2011

    14 June

    12 Sept

    17 Oct

    14 Nov

    12 Dec

    16 Jan 2012

    13 Feb

    12 Mar

    Total approve

    52%

    43%

    41%

    34%

    28%

    34%

    37%

    34%

    37%

    36%

    32%

    Total disapprove

    30%

    40%

    46%

    54%

    64%

    59%

    55%

    54%

    52%

    53%

    61%

    Strongly approve

    11%

    10%

    7%

    6%

    5%

    7%

    8%

    6%

    6%

    6%

    8%

    Approve

    41%

    33%

    34%

    28%

    23%

    27%

    29%

    28%

    31%

    30%

    24%

    Disapprove

    17%

    24%

    22%

    29%

    28%

    27%

    25%

    25%

    27%

    26%

    29%

    Strongly disapprove

    13%

    16%

    24%

    25%

    36%

    32%

    30%

    29%

    25%

    27%

    32%

    Don’t know

    18%

    17%

    13%

    13%

    8%

    7%

    9%

    11%

    12%

    11%

    7%

    Julia Gillard’s approval rating has dropped substantially since last month. 32% (down 4%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 61% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -17 to -29 over the last 4 weeks. This is her lowest rating since September.

    75% of Labor voters approve (down 4%) and 20% disapprove (up 6%).

    By gender – men 32% approve/62% disapprove, women 32% approve/60% disapprove.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 2010

    14 Mar

    14 June

    12 Sept

    17 Oct

    14 Nov

    12 Dec

    16 Jan 2012

    13 Feb

    12 Mar

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    38%

    41%

    39%

    39%

    41%

    40%

    84%

    6%

    74%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    39%

    36%

    35%

    36%

    34%

    37%

    4%

    76%

    5%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    23%

    24%

    26%

    25%

    25%

    23%

    12%

    18%

    21%

    40% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 3%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +7% to +3% for Julia Gillard.

    Both men and women prefer Julia Gillard 40%/37%.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    More or Less Likely to Vote Labor

    Q. Has the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party made you more or less likely to support the ALP at the next federal election.

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total more likely

    13%

    33%

    5%

    18%

    Total less likely

    47%

    21%

    64%

    38%

    Much more likely

    6%

    17%

    1%

    5%

    A little more likely

    7%

    16%

    4%

    13%

    A little less likely

    10%

    11%

    7%

    16%

    Much less likely

    37%

    10%

    57%

    22%

    Makes no difference

    34%

    42%

    30%

    43%

    Don’t know

    5%

    3%

    1%

    47% say that the re-election of Julia Gillard as leader has made them less likely to support the Labor Party and only 13% say it has made them more likely to support the Labor Party at the next election.

    Among Labor voters, 33% say it has made them more likely and 21% less likely to support Labor.

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  • Mar, 2012

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    Performance during Leadership Challenge

    Q. How would you rate the performance of the following during the Labor leadership challenge?

     

    Total good

    Total poor

    Very good

    Good

    Average

    Poor

    Very poor

    Don’t know

    Julia Gillard

    23%

    49%

    10%

    13%

    24%

    17%

    32%

    4%

    Kevin Rudd

    33%

    35%

    12%

    21%

    27%

    16%

    19%

    4%

    Labor Party Ministers

    10%

    52%

    2%

    8%

    30%

    25%

    27%

    8%

    Tony Abbott

    25%

    40%

    9%

    16%

    27%

    18%

    22%

    8%

    The media

    14%

    43%

    3%

    11%

    35%

    20%

    23%

    6%

    Apart from Kevin Rudd, the performance of all parties to the leadership challenge were rated poorly.

    33% thought the performance of Kevin Rudd was good and 35% poor. For Julia Gillard the rating was 23% good and 49% poor. Labor Party Ministers were rated most negatively – 10% good and 52% poor.

    However, Julia Gillard was rated a little better than Kevin Rudd by Labor voters – their rating of Julia Gillard was 50% good/15% poor compared to 49% good/22% poor for Kevin Rudd.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Labor Leadership issue

    Q. Who do you think is mainly responsible for the leadership problems of the Labor Party?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Kevin Rudd

    18%

    27%

    16%

    21%

    Julia Gillard

    39%

    28%

    55%

    16%

    Other people in the Labor Party

    23%

    23%

    21%

    25%

    The media

    10%

    16%

    4%

    25%

    Don’t know

    10%

    7%

    4%

    12%

    39% of respondents think that Julia Gillard is mainly responsible for the leadership problems of the Labor Party, 23% think other people in the Labor Party are responsible and 18% think Kevin Rudd is responsible. Only 10% think the media are mainly responsible.

    A majority (55%) of Liberal/National voters think Julia Gillard is mainly responsible while Labor and Greens voters are fairly evenly divided between Julia Gillard, Kevin Rudd and other people in the Labor Party. 25% of Greens voters think that the media are responsible.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    19 Jul 2010 20 Dec 2010 14 Mar

    2011

    14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb
    Total approve 52% 43% 41% 34% 28% 34% 37% 34% 37% 36%
    Total disapprove 30% 40% 46% 54% 64% 59% 55% 54% 52% 53%
    Strongly approve 11% 10% 7% 6% 5% 7% 8% 6% 6% 6%
    Approve 41% 33% 34% 28% 23% 27% 29% 28% 31% 30%
    Disapprove 17% 24% 22% 29% 28% 27% 25% 25% 27% 26%
    Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 24% 25% 36% 32% 30% 29% 25% 27%
    Don’t know 18% 17% 13% 13% 8% 7% 9% 11% 12% 11%

    Julia Gillard’s approval rating has remained much the same as last month. 36% (down 1%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 53% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -15 to -17 over the last 4 weeks.

    79% of Labor voters approve (up 3%) and 14% disapprove (down 1%).

    By gender – men 39% approve/53% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 85% 5% 76%
    Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 35% 36% 34% 3% 73% 7%
    Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 26% 25% 25% 12% 22% 17%

    41% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (down 2%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +3% to +7% for Julia Gillard. This is Julia Gillard’s best result since May last year.

    Men prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Leaders at the Next Election

    Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party at the election due next year?

    Q. Do you think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party at the election due next year?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard Yes 31% 54% 19% 43%
    No 47% 22% 70% 26%
    Don’t know 22% 24% 11% 31%
    Tony Abbott Yes 47% 37% 67% 34%
    No 25% 37% 12% 31%
    Don’t know 28% 26% 21% 35%

    31% think Julia Gillard will still be the leader of the Labor Party at the election due next year and 47% think she will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 54% of Labor voters think she will still be the leader.

    47% think Tony Abbott will still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the election due next year and 25% think he will not be the leader. Opinions are closely associated with party preference. 67% of Liberal/National voters think he will still be the leader.

    Among non-major party voters, 36% think Julia Gillard will still be leading the Labor Party and 33% think Tony Abbott will still be leading the Liberal Party.

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