Government deserves to be re-elected
Q. As of now, do you think the current Federal Labor Government of Julia Gillard deserves to be re-elected?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Yes, deserves to be re-elected |
26% |
66% |
4% |
31% |
| No, does not deserve to be re-elected |
57% |
17% |
88% |
38% |
| Don’t know |
17% |
17% |
8% |
31% |
26% think that the Labor Government deserves to be re-elected and 57% think they do not. 66% of Labor voters think they deserve to be re-elected.
64% of men and 50% of women think they don’t deserve to be re-elected.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 |
11 |
Vote |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
39% |
82% |
5% |
69% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
37% |
6% |
75% |
6% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
12% |
20% |
25% |
39% (down 3%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 37% (up 4%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/38% and women prefer Julia Gillard 39%/33%.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 2010 |
14 Mar 2011 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 2012 |
12 Jun |
10 Sept |
10 Dec |
14 Jan 2013 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
89% |
5% |
84% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
34% |
33% |
1% |
73% |
3% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
24% |
10% |
22% |
14% |
42% (down 1%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 39%/38% and women prefer Julia Gillard 46%/29%.
Leader Attributes – Julia Gillard
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?
|
5 Jul 10 |
4 Oct 10 |
7 Feb 11 |
27 Jun 11 |
2 Apr 12 |
17 Sept 12 |
14 Jan 13 |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
87% |
81% |
75% |
73% |
61% |
68% |
72% |
+4% |
| Hard-working |
89% |
82% |
76% |
75% |
65% |
69% |
72% |
+3% |
| A capable leader |
72% |
59% |
52% |
42% |
38% |
43% |
50% |
+7% |
| Arrogant |
37% |
39% |
44% |
48% |
53% |
46% |
47% |
+1% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
35% |
44% |
50% |
60% |
65% |
56% |
53% |
-3% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
68% |
55% |
52% |
44% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
+4% |
| Visionary |
48% |
38% |
30% |
26% |
25% |
31% |
29% |
-2% |
| Superficial |
|
|
51% |
52% |
54% |
46% |
46% |
– |
| Good in a crisis |
61% |
46% |
46% |
41% |
36% |
43% |
50% |
+7% |
| Narrow-minded |
28% |
35% |
43% |
46% |
53% |
46% |
45% |
-1% |
| More honest than most politicians |
45% |
37% |
37% |
29% |
26% |
31% |
30% |
-1% |
| Trustworthy |
49% |
42% |
40% |
30% |
25% |
30% |
32% |
+2% |
| Intolerant |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
37% |
37% |
– |
| Aggressive |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
42% |
46% |
+4% |
| Erratic |
– |
– |
– |
– |
– |
43% |
40% |
-3% |
Gillard’s key attributes were hard-working (72%), intelligent (72%), out of touch with ordinary people (53%), a capable leader (50%) and good in a crisis (50%). Almost all positive leader attributes for Gillard moved up from the last time the question was polled in September 2012. The biggest shifts on the positive attributes were on a capable leader (+7%) and good in a crisis (+7%).
Leader attributes – comparisons
|
Gillard |
Abbott |
Difference |
|
| Intelligent |
72% |
64% |
+8% |
| Hard-working |
72% |
70% |
+2% |
| A capable leader |
50% |
43% |
+7% |
| Arrogant |
47% |
61% |
-14% |
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
53% |
54% |
-1% |
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
47% |
47% |
– |
| Visionary |
29% |
28% |
+1% |
| Superficial |
46% |
48% |
-2% |
| Good in a crisis |
50% |
39% |
+11% |
| Narrow-minded |
45% |
56% |
-11% |
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
29% |
+1% |
| Trustworthy |
32% |
33% |
-1% |
| Intolerant |
37% |
49% |
-12% |
| Aggressive |
46% |
55% |
-9% |
| Erratic |
40% |
51% |
-11% |
Compared to Tony Abbott, Julia Gillard is seen as more likely to be considered good in a crisis (+11%), intelligent (+8%) and a capable leader (+7%).
Abbott is regarded by significantly more respondents to be arrogant (+14%), narrow minded (+11%), intolerant (+12%) and erratic (+11%).
The past year – politicians
Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?
|
Total good (Dec 10) |
Total bad (Dec 10) |
Total good (Dec 11) |
Total bad (Dec 11) |
Total good (Dec 12) |
Total bad (Dec 12) |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor |
Bad |
Very bad |
Don’t know |
|
| Julia Gillard |
49% |
25% |
21% |
57% |
19% |
57% |
6% |
13% |
18% |
29% |
28% |
4% |
| Tony Abbott |
30% |
33% |
21% |
38% |
15% |
52% |
4% |
11% |
29% |
31% |
21% |
5% |
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|||||
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
Total good |
Total bad |
|
| Julia Gillard |
19% |
57% |
43% |
32% |
5% |
82% |
29% |
48% |
| Tony Abbott |
15% |
52% |
5% |
75% |
27% |
31% |
4% |
78% |
19% thought Julia Gillard had a good year in 2012 and 15% thought Tony Abbott had a good year. 2012 was considered similar to 2011 for Julia Gillard (going from net -36 to net -38) but a substantially worse year for Tony Abbott (going from net -17 to net -37).
Among their own voters 43% (up 2%) thought Julia Gillard had a good year and 27% (down 12%) thought Tony Abbott has had a good year.
Labor party leader at next election
Q. Do you think Julia Gillard will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election – due later next year?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Yes |
39% |
63% |
26% |
52% |
| No |
40% |
19% |
59% |
21% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
18% |
14% |
26% |
39% think Julia Gillard will still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election and 40% think she will not.
63% of Labor voters think she will still be leader.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
|
5 |
14 Mar 11 |
14 June |
12 Sept |
12 Dec |
12 Mar 12 |
12 Jun |
10 Sept |
15 Oct |
12 Nov |
10 Dec |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard |
53% |
44% |
41% |
36% |
39% |
40% |
37% |
40% |
43% |
45% |
43% |
92% |
6% |
80% |
| Tony Abbott |
26% |
33% |
36% |
40% |
35% |
37% |
37% |
37% |
36% |
32% |
34% |
4% |
71% |
1% |
| Don’t know |
21% |
23% |
24% |
24% |
26% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
20% |
23% |
23% |
5% |
23% |
19% |
43% (down 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (up 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 40%/39% and women prefer Julia Gillard 46%/29%. Compared to last month’s figures, Julia Gillard’s margin over Tony Abbott has dropped 3 points among men (from 40%/36%) and 4 points among women (from 49%/28%).
COVID-19 RESEARCH
Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.
Download this week's ReportEssential Report
Two Party Preferred:
In this week's report:
- Performance of Scott Morrison
- Performance of Anthony Albanese
- Preferred Prime Minister
- Federal government response to Covid-19
- State government response to Covid-19
- Better leadership during Covid-19 – PM vs state leader
- Attitudes towards Craig Kelly controversy and Scott Morrison’s leadership
- Views towards federal vs state government responsibility to manage Covid-19 hotel quarantine system
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