07 November 2012, 071112, 2PP, ALP, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,863 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 8/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 22/10/12 |
Last week 29/10/12 |
This week 7/11/12 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
46% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
37% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
29 October 2012, 291012, 2PP, Abbott, ALP, Election, federal politics, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,792 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 1/10/12 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/12 |
Last week 22/10/12 |
This week 29/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
22 October 2012, 221012, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,888 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 24/9/12 |
2 weeks ago 8/10/12 |
Last week 15/10/12 |
This week 22/10/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
36% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
7% |
8% |
7% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
24 September 2012, 240912, 2PP, ALP, Federal Election, first preference vote, Greens, Liberal
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1992 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/08/12 |
2 weeks ago 10/9/2012 |
Last week 17/09/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
35% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 27/08/12 |
2 weeks ago 10/9/2012 |
This week 17/09/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
17 September 2012, 170912, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal Party, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,003 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago
|
2 weeks ago 3/9/12 |
Last week 10/9/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago
|
2 weeks ago 3/9/12 |
Last week 10/9/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
10 September 2012, 100912, age pension, ALP, Carbon Tax, decisions, GFC, Gonski, low incomes, marine reserves, NBN, ndis, tax free threshold
Q. Thinking about the decisions the Labor Government has made over the last few years, do you think the following decisions were good or bad for Australia?
|
|
Total good |
Total bad |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor bad |
Bad |
Very bad |
Don’t know |
| Expanding dental health services for people on low incomes |
77% |
5% |
33% |
44% |
14% |
2% |
3% |
5% |
| Increasing the tax free threshold from $6,000 to $18,200 |
75% |
4% |
36% |
39% |
16% |
3% |
1% |
5% |
| Increasing the age pension |
70% |
11% |
30% |
40% |
13% |
7% |
4% |
6% |
| Increasing superannuation from 9% to 12% |
68% |
9% |
27% |
41% |
16% |
6% |
3% |
6% |
| Protecting large areas of Australia’s marine environment in a network of marine reserves |
67% |
8% |
28% |
39% |
20% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
| Introducing the National Disability Insurance Scheme |
58% |
5% |
21% |
37% |
23% |
3% |
2% |
14% |
| Implementing the recommendations of the Gonski report to increase education funding |
54% |
8% |
20% |
34% |
25% |
5% |
3% |
13% |
| Stimulus spending to tackle the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) |
54% |
22% |
22% |
32% |
18% |
14% |
8% |
8% |
| Spending on new school buildings during the GFC |
53% |
22% |
15% |
38% |
18% |
12% |
10% |
6% |
| Paid parental leave |
52% |
20% |
17% |
35% |
23% |
12% |
8% |
5% |
| Introducing a tax on large profits of mining companies |
49% |
25% |
24% |
25% |
17% |
13% |
12% |
8% |
| Implementing the recommendations of the expert committee on asylum seekers including offshore processing |
45% |
15% |
15% |
30% |
28% |
8% |
7% |
12% |
| Building the NBN (National Broadband Network) |
43% |
28% |
17% |
26% |
22% |
14% |
14% |
7% |
| Abolished WorkChoices |
42% |
27% |
23% |
19% |
19% |
17% |
10% |
12% |
| Introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change |
28% |
51% |
14% |
14% |
15% |
16% |
35% |
7% |
The two most popular decisions of the Labor Government are ‘expanding dental health services for people on low incomes’ (77% total good) and ‘increasing the tax free threshold from $6,000 to $18,000 (75% total good). The least popular decisions were ‘Building the NBN’ (43% total good), ‘Abolished WorkChoices’ (42% total good) and ‘introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change’ (28% total good).
Of the fifteen decisions put to respondents, the majority of respondents believed that 10 of the 15 decisions were good for Australia. For the remaining 5 decisions, a larger portion of respondents generally regarded the decision to be good for Australia except for ‘introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change’, where the majority of respondents (51%) believed it to be bad for Australia.
Female respondents were more likely to endorse the dental health reforms (80% total good) compared with male respondents (74% total good).
Increasing the age pension was most strongly supported by respondents aged 65+ (77% total good).
Introducing paid parental leave was more popular with female respondents (57% total good), compared with male respondents (46% total good). Looking at this decision by age, it was most popular amongst respondents aged 25-34 (62%) and 35-44 (62%) whereas respondents aged 65+ were the most likely to regard the decision as a bad one (36% total bad).
Implementing the recommendations of the expert committee on asylum seekers including offshore processing proved to be a very popular decision amongst respondents aged 65+ (65% total good), whereas respondents aged 25-34 were the most likely to regard it as a bad decision (43% total bad).
Female respondents were more likely to regard ‘protecting large areas of Australia’s marine environment’ as a good decision (72% total good) compared with male respondents (60% total good).
03 September 2012, 030912, 2 party preferred, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,871 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 6/8/12 |
2 weeks ago 20/8/12 |
Last week 27/8/12 |
This week 3/9/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
46% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
03 September 2012, 030912, ALP, criticism, female prime minister, Julia Gillard, male prime minister
Q. Do you think the Prime Minister Julia Gillard has been subjected to more or less personal criticism than a male Prime Minister would be?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Men |
Women |
|
| More |
51% |
77% |
34% |
74% |
42% |
61% |
| Less |
6% |
3% |
10% |
1% |
8% |
4% |
| About the same |
38% |
18% |
54% |
19% |
46% |
31% |
| Don’t know |
5% |
2% |
2% |
6% |
5% |
5% |
51% think that the Prime Minister Julia Gillard has been subjected to more personal criticism than a male Prime Minister would be. 38% think she has received about the same level of personal criticism and 6% think she has received less.
61% of women think Julia Gillard has received more personal criticism but 54% of men think she has received about the same or less.