03 September 2012, 030912, 2 party preferred, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,871 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 6/8/12 |
2 weeks ago 20/8/12 |
Last week 27/8/12 |
This week 3/9/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
46% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
03 September 2012, 030912, female politicians, personal criticism
Q. In general, do you think female politicians are subjected to more or less personal criticism than male politicians?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Men |
Women |
|
| More |
52% |
71% |
38% |
80% |
40% |
63% |
| Less |
4% |
2% |
7% |
1% |
6% |
2% |
| About the same |
40% |
25% |
53% |
16% |
49% |
31% |
| Don’t know |
5% |
1% |
3% |
3% |
5% |
4% |
52% think that female politicians are subjected to more personal criticism than male politicians. 40% think they receive about the same level of personal criticism and 4% think they receive less.
63% of women think female politicians receive more personal criticism but 55% of men think they receive about the same or less.
03 September 2012, 030912, ALP, criticism, female prime minister, Julia Gillard, male prime minister
Q. Do you think the Prime Minister Julia Gillard has been subjected to more or less personal criticism than a male Prime Minister would be?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Men |
Women |
|
| More |
51% |
77% |
34% |
74% |
42% |
61% |
| Less |
6% |
3% |
10% |
1% |
8% |
4% |
| About the same |
38% |
18% |
54% |
19% |
46% |
31% |
| Don’t know |
5% |
2% |
2% |
6% |
5% |
5% |
51% think that the Prime Minister Julia Gillard has been subjected to more personal criticism than a male Prime Minister would be. 38% think she has received about the same level of personal criticism and 6% think she has received less.
61% of women think Julia Gillard has received more personal criticism but 54% of men think she has received about the same or less.
03 September 2012, 030912, Labor Government, liberal government, low incomes, people with disabilities, Single parents, Small businesses, unemployed people
Q. Do you think the following groups of people would be better off under a Labor Government or a Liberal Government?
|
Better off under a Labor Government |
Better off under a Liberal Government |
Makes no difference |
Don’t know |
Difference (Labor minus Liberal) |
|
| Pensioners |
36% |
20% |
29% |
15% |
+16 |
| Unemployed people |
41% |
14% |
29% |
15% |
+27 |
| People with disabilities |
36% |
16% |
30% |
17% |
+20 |
| People and families on low incomes |
44% |
17% |
25% |
13% |
+27 |
| People and families on middle incomes |
26% |
33% |
28% |
13% |
-7 |
| People and families on high incomes |
11% |
54% |
21% |
13% |
-43 |
| Single parents |
39% |
16% |
29% |
16% |
+23 |
| Average working people |
32% |
27% |
28% |
13% |
+5 |
| Large corporations |
9% |
57% |
20% |
14% |
-48 |
| Banks and other financial institutions |
9% |
47% |
27% |
16% |
-38 |
| Small businesses |
21% |
37% |
26% |
16% |
-16 |
| Families with children at public school |
38% |
19% |
28% |
15% |
+19 |
| Families with children at private school |
14% |
44% |
27% |
16% |
-30 |
| Recent immigrants to Australia |
35% |
17% |
30% |
17% |
+18 |
| Farmers and other agricultural producers |
19% |
32% |
31% |
19% |
-13 |
Respondents were substantially more likely to think the following groups would be better off under a Labor Government – unemployed, low income families, single parents and people with disabilities.
They were substantially more likely to think the following groups would be better off under a Liberal Government – large corporations, high income families, banks and financial institutions, families with children at private schools.
Groups better off under by Respondent Category
| Respondent category (respondent or family member is in this category) | Groups better or worse off |
Better off under a Labor Government |
Better off under a Liberal Government |
Makes no difference |
Don’t know |
Difference (Labor minus Liberal) |
| Pensioners | Pensioners |
41% |
25% |
26% |
8% |
+16 |
| Unemployed | Unemployed people |
42% |
13% |
30% |
15% |
+29 |
| Have a disability | People with disabilities |
44% |
18% |
31% |
8% |
+26 |
| On low income | People and families on low incomes |
44% |
17% |
26% |
13% |
+27 |
| On middle income | People and families on middle incomes |
25% |
37% |
27% |
11% |
-12 |
| On high income | People and families on high incomes |
16% |
58% |
15% |
11% |
-42 |
| Single parent | Single parents |
38% |
19% |
27% |
16% |
+19 |
| Working | Average working people |
30% |
29% |
29% |
12% |
+1 |
| Work for a large corporation | Large corporations |
11% |
57% |
18% |
14% |
-46 |
| Work for a bank or other financial institution | Banks and other financial institutions |
23% |
45% |
16% |
16% |
-22 |
| Work for a small business | Small businesses |
24% |
37% |
25% |
14% |
-13 |
| Self-employed or own a small business | Small businesses |
24% |
40% |
20% |
17% |
-16 |
| Have children at public school | Families with children at public school |
39% |
17% |
27% |
16% |
+22 |
| Have children at private school | Families with children at private school |
21% |
42% |
22% |
15% |
-21 |
| Recent immigrants to Australia * | Recent immigrants to Australia |
63% |
9% |
20% |
9% |
+54 |
| Farmers and other agricultural producers | Farmers and other agricultural producers |
27% |
38% |
19% |
17% |
-11 |
* small sample – less than 100
This table shows groups affected mainly held views similar to the total sample. The main exceptions were that people with disabilities were more likely to think they would be better off under Labor, people working in banks/finance were more likely to think banks/financial institutions would be better off under Labor and people with children at primary school were more likely to think they would be better off under a Labor Government.
03 September 2012, 030912, tony abbott, WorkChoices
Q. If they won the next election, how likely do you think it would be that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices?
|
31 May 10 |
12 July 10 |
21 Nov 11 |
23 Jul 12 |
Total 3 Sept 12 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Total likely |
58% |
56% |
51% |
53% |
51% |
74% |
33% |
68% |
50% |
55% |
| Total unlikely |
21% |
24% |
27% |
22% |
25% |
12% |
43% |
11% |
28% |
21% |
| Very likely |
28% |
26% |
22% |
26% |
23% |
47% |
5% |
32% |
19% |
21% |
| Quite likely |
30% |
30% |
29% |
27% |
28% |
27% |
28% |
36% |
31% |
34% |
| Not very likely |
18% |
18% |
19% |
16% |
18% |
10% |
30% |
8% |
21% |
16% |
| Not at all likely |
3% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
7% |
2% |
13% |
3% |
7% |
5% |
| Don’t know |
20% |
20% |
22% |
26% |
24% |
14% |
24% |
22% |
23% |
24% |
Respondents were a little less likely to think that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices than when a similar question was asked in July. 51% (down 2%) think it is likely that Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would try to bring back industrial laws similar to WorkChoices if they won the next election and 25% (up 3%) think it is unlikely.
74% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters think it is likely, while Liberal/National voters are split 33% likely (down 7%) to 43% unlikely (up 9%).
03 September 2012, 030912, concern about workchoices, WorkChoices
Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?
|
31 May 10 |
12 July 10 |
21 Nov 11 |
23 Jul 12 |
Total 3 Sept 12 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| Very concerned |
28% |
29% |
26% |
30% |
27% |
51% |
6% |
39% |
24% |
32% |
| Quite concerned |
17% |
19% |
15% |
16% |
15% |
20% |
12% |
21% |
18% |
12% |
| A little concerned |
20% |
16% |
20% |
15% |
19% |
16% |
23% |
16% |
20% |
24% |
| Not concerned |
24% |
25% |
27% |
26% |
26% |
5% |
50% |
4% |
29% |
19% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
11% |
11% |
14% |
13% |
8% |
8% |
20% |
9% |
12% |
Respondents were also a little less concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than in July. 42% (down 4%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 45% (up 4%) were only a little or not concerned.
71% of Labor voters and 60% of Greens voters would be concerned. 73% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 18% concerned. 42% of full-time workers and 44% of part-time workers said they would be very/quite concerned.
49% of those aged 45-64 said they would be very/quite concerned.