19 September 2012, 190912, 2PP, drug laws, Essential Report, legalisation, trolling, Voting intention
Lewis and Woods talk through this week’s polling numbers: voting intention, leader attributes, drug laws in Australia, and more…
17 September 2012, 170912, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal Party, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,003 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago
|
2 weeks ago 3/9/12 |
Last week 10/9/2012 |
This week |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago
|
2 weeks ago 3/9/12 |
Last week 10/9/2012 |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
10 September 2012, 100912, 2PP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 2,077 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 13/8/12 |
2 weeks ago 27/8/12 |
Last week 3/9/12 |
This week 10 Sept 2012 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
47% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
32% |
32% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago
|
2 weeks ago
|
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
03 September 2012, 030912, 2 party preferred, 2PP, ALP, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,871 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 6/8/12 |
2 weeks ago 20/8/12 |
Last week 27/8/12 |
This week 3/9/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
46% |
46% |
44% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
28 August 2012, 280812, 2PP, first preference vote, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,803 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 30/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 13/8/12 |
Last week 20/8/12 |
This week 27/8/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
55% |
56% |
57% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
44% |
43% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
2 party preferred, 20 August 2012, 200812, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,864 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 23/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 6/8/12 |
Last week 13/8/12 |
This week 20/8/12 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
13 August 2012, 130812, 2PP, federal politics voting intention, first preference vote, Greens, Labor, Liberals, two party preferred
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,868 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 16/7/12 |
2 weeks ago 30/7/12 |
Last week 6/8/12 |
This week 13/8/12 |
| Liberal |
|
46% |
45% |
46% |
46% |
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
57% |
55% |
56% |
56% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
43% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.