The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Jul, 2010

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    Facebook is for chicks?

    When we set up facebook ads for the WA Prison Officers Union campaign we didn’t expect the interested audience to reflect such a polarized gender divide.

    Contrary to our assumptions; that risks faced by Prison Officers would be interesting to men, the overwhelming response to our facebook ads were from women.

    In the first few days, the hit rate was to 331 women : 2 men.

    And this was from a pool of 260,260 possible impressions.

    We’ve since lowered the budget for targeting men and upped the budget for ads targeting women with our Respect the Risk facebook ads.

    One week down the track and the results continue to shine with the estrogen-domination that our political leadership change has reflected! Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

    Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

    1,797 sample size

    First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

    Liberal 34% 38% 37% 36% 36%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 37% 40% 40% 39% 39%
    Labor 47% 37% 38% 42% 42%
    Greens 8% 12% 11% 9% 11%
    Family First 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%
    Other/Independent 6% 7% 8% 7% 6%
    2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

    Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 46% 46%
    Labor 57% 52% 52% 54% 54%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

    * Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10
    Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48%
    Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27%
    Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14%
    Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34%
    Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13%
    Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14%
    Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26%

    After one week as Prime Minister, 48% approve of Julia Gillard’s performance and 27% disapprove. 26% could not give an opinion. Julia Gillard’s approval rating is 7% higher than Kevin Rudd’s last result and 20% lower on the disapproval rating.

    85% of Labor voters approved and 4% disapproved. Liberal/National voters split 19% approve and 54% disapprove.

    Men split 46% approve/31% disapprove and women 50% approve/23% disapprove. Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    Malcolm Turnbull Tony Abbott
    30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10 28 Jun 10 5 Jul 10
    Total approve 25% 34% 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 40% 37%
    Total disapprove 55% 36% 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 39% 47%
    Strongly approve 2% 7% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 9% 8%
    Approve 23% 27% 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 31% 29%
    Disapprove 33% 18% 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 20% 23%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 18% 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 19% 24%
    Don’t know 19% 31% 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 20% 16%

    Tony Abbott’s net rating as Opposition Leader have dropped back into negative territory over the last week. 37% approve (down 3%) and 47% disapprove (up 8%).

    81% of Liberal/National voters approve and 12% disapprove. Labor voters split 15% approve/75% disapprove.

    Men split 41% approve/45% disapprove and women 34% approve/48% disapprove. Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

    28 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 94% 12% 72% 47% 49%
    Tony Abbott 26% 2% 70% 3% 30% 29%
    Don’t know 21% 4% 18% 24% 23% 22%

    53% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – somewhat better than Kevin Rudd’s last result of 47%/30% and also better than last week’s figures for Julia Gillard just after she became Prime Minister.

    Men prefer Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 48% to 31% and women 57%/22%. Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Party best at

    Q. Which of the following parties – Labor, Liberal or Greens – do you think is the best party when it comes to –

    Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
    Representing the interests of Australian working people 52% (+10) 24% (-3) 5% 20%
    Handling the economy in a way that best protects working people in Australia 44% (+8) 33% (-2) 3% 20%
    Understanding the needs of the average Australian 36% (+7) 24% (-3) 9% 31%
    Representing the interests of you and people like you 39% (+7) 31% (-1) 12% 18%
    Handling Australia’s economy 37% (+7) 41% (-1) 3% 19%
    Standing up to the big multinational corporations 32% (-) 28% (+1) 15% 26%
    Having a vision for Australia’s future 32% (+3) 31% (-2) 12% 25%
    Taking Australia forward, not backwards 34% (+5) 32% (-2) 9% 25%
    Handling Australia’s relations with other countries 34% (+4) 39% (+1) 3% 24%
    Dealing with the issue of immigration 23% (+3) 40% (-1) 8% 28%
    Being honest and ethical 18% (-1) 22% (+1) 17% 44%
    Handling environmental and climate change issues 18% (-1) 18% (-1) 42% 23%

    (figures in brackets indicate change since this question was asked 3 weeks ago)

    Labor key strengths are representing the interests of Australian working people (52%/24%), handling the economy in a way that best protects working people (44%/33%) and understanding the needs of the average Australian (36%/24%). The Liberal Party’s strengths are dealing with the issue of immigration (40%) and handling Australia’s relations with other countries (39%).

    Perceptions of the Labor Party have improved considerably over the last 3 weeks mainly in terms of economic issues and representing the interests and needs of the community. However, there has been little change in Labor’s figures for standing up to the big multinational corporations, being honest and ethical and handling environmental and climate change issues. Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Attributes to describe the Prime Minister

    Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    10 May 10 5 Jul 10 Difference
    Intelligent 73% 87% +14
    Hard-working 76% 89% +13
    A capable leader 55% 72% +17
    Demanding 69% 58% -11
    Arrogant 57% 37% -20
    Out of touch with ordinary people 55% 35% -20
    Understands the problems facing Australia 53% 68% +15
    Visionary 37% 48% +11
    Superficial 52% 35% -17
    Good in a crisis 44% 61% +17
    Narrow-minded 43% 28% -15
    Down to earth 47% 68% +21
    Too inflexible 45% 26% -19
    Complacent 38% 27% -11
    More honest than most politicians 39% 45% +6
    Trustworthy 41% 49% +8

    Julia Gillard’s key attributes are – intelligent, hard-working, a capable leader, understands the problems facing Australia and down to earth.

    Compared to the previous measures for Kevin Rudd, Julia Gillard scores considerably higher on positive attributes – especially down to earth (+21), and a capable leader (+17) – and considerably lower on out of touch (-20), arrogant (-20) and too inflexible (-19). Comments »

  • Jul, 2010

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    Attributes to describe the Opposition Leader

    Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?

    7 Dec 09 10 May 10 5 Jul 10 Change
    Intelligent 71% 72% 70% -2
    Hard-working 69% 71% 76% +5
    A capable leader 46% 50% 47% -3
    Demanding 53% 52% 53% +1
    Arrogant 53% 54% 59% +5
    Out of touch with ordinary people 53% 51% 57% +6
    Understands the problems facing Australia 46% 49% 50% +1
    Visionary 34% 35% 32% -3
    Superficial 42% 44% 45% +1
    Good in a crisis 39% 40% 40%
    Narrow-minded 52% 53% 56% +3
    Down to earth 46% 50% 47% -3
    Too inflexible 45% 47% 45% -2
    Complacent 31% 30% 34% +4
    More honest than most politicians 31% 33% 33%
    Trustworthy 36% 39% 33% -6

    *Not asked in June 2009 poll

    Tony Abbott’s key attributes are hardworking (76%) and intelligent (70%).

    There have been few substantial changes since this question was last asked – the main differences being hardworking (up 5%), arrogant (up 5%), out of touch (up 6%) and trustworthy (down 6%). Comments »

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