Essential Report

Approval of Tony Abbott

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

Malcolm Turnbull Tony Abbott
30 Nov 09 14 Dec 09 18 Jan 10 22 Feb 10 29 Mar 10 3 May 10 31 May 10 28 Jun 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10
Total approve 25% 34% 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 40% 37% 40%
Total disapprove 55% 36% 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 39% 47% 44%
Strongly approve 2% 7% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 9% 8% 6%
Approve 23% 27% 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 31% 29% 34%
Disapprove 33% 18% 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 20% 23% 22%
Strongly disapprove 22% 18% 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 19% 24% 22%
Don’t know 19% 31% 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 20% 16% 16%

40% approve Tony Abbott’s performance as Opposition Leader and 44% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 3% and disapproval decreased by 3%. 82% of Liberal/National voters approve and 10% disapprove. Among Labor voters, 19% approve and 69% disapprove.

There were some differences by gender – men 45% approve/43% disapprove and women 35% approve/46% disapprove. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 19, 2010

 Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

28 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

5 Jul 10

Julia Gillard 50% 91% 8% 71%   47% 49% 53%
Tony Abbott 27% 2% 70% 4%   30% 29% 26%
Don’t know 23% 7% 21% 25%   23% 22% 21%

 50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.

 Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »

Important Issues

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

  First Second Third Total Total

10 May 10

Difference
Management of the economy 38% 18% 7% 63% 62% +1%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  16% 20% 19% 55% 50% +5%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 7% 8% 9% 24% 29% -5%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 4% 11% 9% 24% 19% +5%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 4% 6% 8% 18% 22% -4%
Protecting the environment 5% 5% 5% 15% 13% +2%
Political leadership 6% 3% 4% 13% 12% +1%
Housing affordability 4% 4% 5% 13% 17% -4%
Addressing climate change 4% 4% 4% 12% 12%
Controlling interest rates 3% 5% 4% 12% 16% -4%
Managing population growth 1% 4% 7% 12% 14% -2%
Treatment of asylum seekers 4% 3% 4% 11% *  
A fair industrial relations system 2% 4% 5% 11% 9% +2%
Security and the war on terrorism 1% 2% 5% 8% 7% +1%
Ensuring a quality water supply 1% 1% 4% 6% 7% -1%

*Not asked in May 2010 poll

The most important election issues were management of the economy, the quality of the health system, jobs and local industry and a quality education for all children.

Since this issue was last polled in May, health and education have increased in importance (both +5%) and Australian jobs and protection of local industry declined 5%. Comments »

Party best at Handling Issues

Jul 19, 2010

Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

  Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
A fair industrial relations system 45% 24% 5% 26%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 41% 25% 4% 29%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 42% 28% 3% 27%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  38% 27% 4% 31%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 36% 28% 4% 32%
Housing affordability 30% 24% 4% 41%
Political leadership 33% 30% 5% 33%
Ensuring a quality water supply 23% 23% 22% 32%
Managing population growth 24% 27% 9% 40%
Security and the war on terrorism 25% 30% 3% 42%
Management of the economy 32% 38% 3% 27%
Treatment of asylum seekers 23% 29% 11% 37%
Controlling interest rates 28% 35% 2% 35%
Addressing climate change 18% 16% 36% 29%
Protecting the environment 17% 13% 47% 23%

 Labor have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party as the best party to handle a fair industrial relations system (+21%), quality education for all (+16%), Australian jobs and protection of industries (+14%) and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (+11%).

 The Liberal Party’s main strengths were controlling interest rates (+7%), treatment of asylum seekers (+6%) and management of the economy  (+6%).

The Greens were thought to be the best party for protecting the environment (47%) and addressing climate change (36%). Comments »

Australian Values

Jul 19, 2010

Q. The Prime Minister Julia Gillard recently said that hard work and education, regarding everyone as equal, showing respect and plain speaking are Australian values. Do you agree or disagree that this is a good definition of Australian values?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Total agree 79% 91% 76%
Total disagree 11% 2% 20%
Strongly agree 22% 39% 11%
Agree 57% 52% 65%
Disagree 9% 2% 16%
Strongly disagree 2% * 4%
Don’t know 10% 6% 4%

79% of respondents agreed with Julia Gillard’s description of Australian values – 91% of Labor voters agreed, 76% of Liberal/National voters and 79% of Greens voters. Comments »

Leaders and Australian Values

Jul 19, 2010

 Q. Do you agree or disagree that this definition of Australian values describes the political leaders Julia Gillard, Tony Abbott and Bob Brown?

  Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Bob Brown
Total agree 64% 39% 36%
Total disagree 18% 40% 31%
Strongly agree 21% 7% 8%
Agree 43% 32% 28%
Disagree 12% 25% 18%
Strongly disagree 6% 15% 13%
Don’t know 17% 21% 34%

64% agreed that the definition of Australian values describes Julia Gillard, 39% Tony Abbott and 36% Bob Brown.

Among their own voters – 90% of Labor voters agreed they describe Julia Gillard, 73% of Liberal/National voters agreed they describe Tony Abbott and 72% of Greens voters agreed they describe Bob Brown.

By gender – 62% of men and 68% of women agree they describe Julia Gillard and 43% of men and 34% of women agree they describe Tony Abbott. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 12, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?  

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?  

 

1,953 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Liberal 34% 38% 36% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 39% 39% 38%
Labor 47% 35% 42% 42% 41%
Greens 8% 14% 9% 11% 13%
Family First 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 7% 6% 6%

 

2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week 
Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 46% 46% 45%
Labor 57% 51% 54% 54% 55%

 NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. 

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Approval of MRRT

Jul 12, 2010

 Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the new mining tax (called the Minerals Resource Rent Tax) recently negotiated between the Government and major mining companies?

Total approve 50%
Total disapprove 28%
Strongly approve 13%
Approve 37%
Disapprove 18%
Strongly disapprove 10%
Don’t know 22%

 50% of respondents approved the new mining tax negotiated with the mining companies and 28% disapproved. Labor voters approved 75% to 10% and Greens voters approved 52% to 26%. 33% of Liberal/National voters approved and 53% disapproved. Comments »

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