Approval rating, Bill Shorten, Opposition leader
Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Nov 2013 |
June 2014 |
Dec 2014 |
Jun 2015 |
Dec 2015 |
Jan 2016 |
Feb 2016 |
Mar 2016 |
|
| Total approve | 30% | 60% | 16% | 44% | 14% | 31% | 38% | 35% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | ||
| Total disapprove | 44% | 18% | 65% | 39% | 62% | 27% | 40% | 39% | 45% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 47% | ||
| Strongly approve | 5% | 13% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Approve | 25% | 47% | 15% | 38% | 13% | 26% | 31% | 28% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 24% | ||
| Disapprove | 22% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 29% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 22% | 2% | 40% | 14% | 29% | 10% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 18% | ||
| Don’t know | 25% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 24% | 43% | 22% | 26% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 26% |
30% (up 3%) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 44% (down 3%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -20 to -14.
60% (up 9%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 18% (down 6%) disapprove.
30% of men and 30% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 51% of men and 38% of women disapprove.
Better PM, Bill Shorten, malcolm turnbull, Prime Minister
Q: Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Sep 2015 |
Oct 2015 |
Nov 2015 |
Dec 2015 |
Jan 2016 |
Feb 2016 |
Mar 2016 |
|
| Malcolm Turnbull | 44% | 17% | 79% | 31% | 37% | 53% | 48% | 55% | 54% | 51% | 52% | 48% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 22% | 52% | 3% | 40% | 10% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 19% | ||
| Don’t know | 34% | 31% | 18% | 29% | 53% | 30% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 33% |
44% (down 4%) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 22% (up 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
49% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 22% prefer Bill Shorten.
39% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 23% prefer Bill Shorten.
ABCC, Australian building and construction commission, construction industry
Q: The Government plans to re-establish the Australian Building and Construction Commission to address claims of union militancy in the construction industry. The ABCC’s powers included preventing any person from revealing they had been forced to give testimony to the Commission, and overriding a person’s right to silence. Do you support or oppose re-establishing the ABCC?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Oct 2013 |
Mar 2016 |
|
| Total support | 35% | 24% | 52% | 25% | 32% | 29% | 35% | ||
| Total oppose | 16% | 25% | 8% | 32% | 19% | 22% | 17% | ||
| Strongly support | 17% | 8% | 28% | 13% | 18% | 12% | 17% | ||
| Support | 18% | 16% | 24% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Neither support nor oppose | 23% | 29% | 20% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 27% | ||
| Oppose | 8% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 8% | ||
| Strongly oppose | 8% | 14% | 2% | 22% | 11% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Don’t know | 27% | 22% | 20% | 26% | 29% | 25% | 22% |
35% support re-establishing the ABCC and 16% oppose. 23% neither support nor oppose and 27% don’t have an opinion. This is a very similar result to when this question was asked last month.
39% of full-time workers support and 15% oppose. 29% of part-time workers support and 12% oppose.
Q: Compared to other issues the Government needs to address, how important is the issue of re-establishing the ABCC?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total important | 34% | 25% | 51% | 30% | 28% | |
| Total not important | 41% | 53% | 29% | 54% | 48% | |
| Very important | 10% | 5% | 16% | 7% | 12% | |
| Somewhat important | 24% | 20% | 35% | 23% | 16% | |
| Not so important | 26% | 31% | 25% | 22% | 24% | |
| Not at all important | 15% | 22% | 4% | 32% | 24% | |
| Don’t know | 26% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 24% |
34% say that re-establishing the ABCC is very or somewhat important compared to other issues the Government needs to address and 41% say it is not important.
Those more likely to think it is important were Liberal/National voters (51% and people aged 65+ (47%).
Those more likely to say it was not important were Labor (53%) and Greens (54%) voters.
ABCC, Double dissolution, malcolm turnbull, Senate
Q: The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has announced that he intends to recall Parliament in April to pass legislation to re-establish the ABCC (Australian Building and Construction Commission). If the Senate rejects the bill to restore the ABCC, or the Senate fails to pass it, would you approve or disapprove the Government calling a double-dissolution election?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Mar 2016 |
|
| Total approve | 39% | 35% | 57% | 36% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Total disapprove | 24% | 34% | 16% | 33% | 27% | 22% | ||
| Strongly approve | 13% | 11% | 20% | 11% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Approve | 26% | 24% | 37% | 25% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Disapprove | 16% | 20% | 14% | 20% | 17% | 15% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 14% | 2% | 13% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Don’t know | 36% | 31% | 27% | 31% | 42% | 44% |
39% would approve of the Government calling a double dissolution election if the Senate fails to restore the ABCC and 24% oppose. 36% don’t have an opinion.
This represents a small increase in approval since this question was asked in March.
Federal tax system, tax system
Q: Now thinking about taxes – overall, how fair do you think our present Federal tax system is?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Income less than $600 pw |
Income $600 – $1,000 pw |
Income $1,000 – $1,600 pw |
Income $1,600- $2,000 pw |
Income $2,000+ pw |
|
Dec 2015 |
|
| Total fair | 36% | 34% | 48% | 32% | 24% | 18% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 45% | 40% | |||
| Total not fair | 55% | 59% | 44% | 62% | 70% | 72% | 58% | 54% | 60% | 45% | 52% | |||
| Very fair | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 4% | |||
| Moderately fair | 33% | 31% | 43% | 29% | 21% | 17% | 29% | 38% | 32% | 40% | 36% | |||
| Not too fair | 30% | 27% | 32% | 26% | 30% | 35% | 28% | 30% | 39% | 25% | 30% | |||
| Not fair at all | 25% | 32% | 12% | 36% | 40% | 37% | 30% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 22% | |||
| Don’t know | 10% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 8% |
36% think the Federal tax system is very or moderately fair and 55% think it is not too fair or not fair at all. This represents a small shift toward thinking the tax system is not fair since this question was asked in December.
Those most likely to think it not fair were Greens voters (62%), other voters (70%) and incomes under $600 pw (72%) and $1,600-$2,000 pw (60%).
Those most likely to think it is fair were Liberal/National voters (48%), incomes $2,000+ pw (45%) and university educated (43%).
government services, infrastructure, tax reform
Q: Would you support or oppose the following tax reforms to raise more funds for Government services and infrastructure?
|
|
Total support |
Total oppose |
|
Strongly support |
Support |
Oppose |
Strongly oppose |
Don’t know |
|
Support Jul 2015 |
Support Feb 2016 |
|
| Stop companies and wealthy people using legal loopholes in minimise tax payments by sending funds offshore | 86% | 5% | 65% | 21% | 3% | 2% | 8% | na | na | |||
| Force multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings | 80% | 9% | 55% | 25% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 79% | 78% | |||
| Increase income tax rate for high earners | 65% | 23% | 32% | 33% | 16% | 7% | 11% | 63% | 64% | |||
| Remove superannuation tax concessions for high earners | 62% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 59% | 58% | |||
| Remove negative gearing | 39% | 35% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 27% | 37% | 37% | |||
| Remove GST exemptions (e.g. on food, education) | 37% | 54% | 13% | 24% | 22% | 32% | 9% | 33% | 32% | |||
| Replace stamp duty with land tax | 33% | 33% | 10% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 35% | 26% | 26% | |||
| Increase the GST | 27% | 66% | 6% | 21% | 29% | 37% | 7% | 24% | 23% | |||
There was strong majority support for stopping companies and wealthy people using legal loopholes in minimise tax payments by sending funds offshore (86%), forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings (80%), increasing income tax rate for high earners (65%) and removing superannuation tax concessions for high earners (62%).
There was strong majority opposition to increasing the GST (66%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
29/3/16 |
2 weeks ago
22/3/16 |
4 weeks ago
8/3/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 39% | 39% | 40% | 39% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 42% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 38% | 38% | 37% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8.6% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 46.5% |
Sample = 1,790. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.