If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Nov 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
January | February | March | |||
| Sample | 2,402 | 2,383 | 657 | 886 | 840 | |||
| First preference vote | ||||||||
| Liberal/National | 42.0% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 43% | 41% | ||
| Labor | 38.1% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 39% | ||
| Greens | 11.5% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Other/Independent | 8.4% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | ||
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Liberal/National | 48.0% | 47% | 47% | 46% | 48% | 47% | ||
| Labor | 52.0% | 53% | 53% | 54% | 52% | 53% |
If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Jan 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
January | February | March | |||
| Sample | 1,873 | 1,893 | 526 | 673 | 694 | |||
| First preference vote | ||||||||
| LNP | 41.3% | 42% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 40% | ||
| Labor | 37.5% | 39% | 40% | 40% | 38% | 41% | ||
| Greens | 8.4% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 5.1% | |||||||
| Katter Party | 1.9% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 5.8% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 9% | 8% | ||
| 2PP | ||||||||
| LNP | 48.9% | 50% | 48% | 47% | 48% | 47% | ||
| Labor | 51.1% | 50% | 52% | 53% | 52% | 53% |
If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
||
| Sample | 797 | 803 | ||
| First preference vote | ||||
| Liberal | 44.8% | 32% | 29% | |
| Labor | 35.8% | 39% | 37% | |
| Greens | 8.7% | 10% | 9% | |
| Nick Xenophon Team | 15% | |||
| Other/Independent | 10.7% | 19% | 10% | |
| 2PP | ||||
| Liberal | 53.0% | 46% | 46% | |
| Labor | 47.0% | 54% | 54% |
If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2013 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
||
| Sample | 946 | 931 | ||
| First preference vote | ||||
| Liberal | 47.1% | 37% | 40% | |
| National | 6.1% | 6% | 4% | |
| Labor | 33.1% | 35% | 34% | |
| Greens | 8.4% | 12% | 12% | |
| Other/Independent | 5.3% | 10% | 10% | |
| 2PP | ||||
| Liberal/National | 57.3% | 51% | 52% | |
| Labor | 42.7% | 49% | 48% |
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
22/3/16 |
2 weeks ago
15/3/16 |
4 weeks ago
1/3/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 39% | 40% | 39% | 40% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 43% | 43% | 42% | 43% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 38% | 36% | 38% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8.6% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 46.5% |
NB. Sample = 1,779. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has announced that he intends to recall Parliament in April to pass legislation to restore the ABCC (Australian Building and Construction Commission). If this is rejected by the Senate he will call an early double dissolution election. Would you approve or disapprove of the Prime Minister calling an early double dissolution election?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total approve | 44% | 37% | 65% | 38% | 31% | |
| Total disapprove | 23% | 34% | 11% | 33% | 38% | |
| Strongly approve | 16% | 12% | 26% | 6% | 14% | |
| Approve | 28% | 25% | 39% | 32% | 17% | |
| Disapprove | 13% | 17% | 10% | 20% | 16% | |
| Strongly disapprove | 10% | 17% | 1% | 13% | 22% | |
| Don’t know | 33% | 29% | 24% | 30% | 31% |
44% approve of the Prime Minister calling an early double dissolution election and 23% disapprove. 33% have no opinion.
Those most likely to approve are Liberal/National voters (65%) and men (52%).
Labor and Greens voters are only slightly more likely to approve than disapprove while other party and independent voters are a little more likely to disapprove (38%).
Q. What do you think is the main reason why the Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull would call an early double dissolution election?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Because Parliament won’t restore the ABCC | 14% | 9% | 23% | 13% | 11% | |
| Because he wants to get rid of the independents in the Senate | 25% | 27% | 27% | 25% | 25% | |
| Because his Government is losing support and he will have a better chance of winning if the election is held early | 30% | 40% | 22% | 36% | 36% | |
| Some other reason | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 11% | |
| Don’t know | 26% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 17% |
30% think the main reason Malcolm Turnbull would call an early election is because his Government is losing support and he will have a better chance of winning and 25% think it is because he wants to get rid of the independents in the Senate. Only 14% think it is because Parliament won’t restore the ABCC. Even among Liberal/National voters, only 23% think it is because Parliament won’t restore the ABCC.
Q. The Government has indicated that the next budget may include cuts to company tax. Do you think it is more important to provide tax cuts for companies or income tax cuts?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Company tax cuts more important | 16% | 17% | 21% | 12% | 11% | |
| Income tax cuts more important | 62% | 67% | 60% | 69% | 68% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 21% |
62% think it is more important to provide income tax cuts and 16% favour company tax cuts. A least 60% of all voter groups favour income tax cuts.
68% of those earning $2,000+ pw and 71% of those aged 35-64 favour income tax cuts.