The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Apr, 2016

    Income tax

    Q. It has been proposed that the states and territories be allowed to charge some form of income tax to be used to fund services like health and education. It would mean Federal income tax rates would be reduced. Would you support or oppose this proposal?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total support 34%   33% 44% 32% 21%
    Total oppose 34%   40% 31% 38% 51%
    Strongly support 11%   13% 14% 7% 5%
    Support 23%   20% 30% 25% 16%
    Oppose 16%   16% 16% 14% 26%
    Strongly oppose 18%   24% 15% 24% 25%
    Don’t know 31%   27% 24% 31% 28%

    34% support allowing the states and territories to charge some form of income tax and 34% oppose. 31% could not give an opinion.

    Strongest support came from Liberal/National voters (44%) and those aged under 35 (42%). All other voter groups were more likely to oppose.

    Those most likely to oppose were men (42%) and aged 55+ (47%).

  • Apr, 2016

    Tax on religious organisations

    Q. In Australia, religious organisations are not required to pay taxes. Do you approve or disapprove of religious organisations having tax-exempt status?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total approve 24%   23% 29% 16% 18%
    Total disapprove 64%   67% 63% 79% 69%
    Strongly approve 7%   9% 7% 1% 8%
    Approve 17%   14% 22% 15% 10%
    Disapprove 25%   28% 27% 21% 16%
    Strongly Disapprove 39%   39% 36% 58% 53%
    Don’t know 13%   10% 9% 5% 13%

    24% approve of religious organisations having tax-exempt status and 64% disapprove.

    Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (79%) and aged 55+ (73%).

  • Apr, 2016

    Groups better off under Liberal or Labor Government

    Q. Do you think the following groups of people would be better off under a Liberal Government or a Labor Government?

      Better off under a Liberal Govern-ment Better off under a Labor Govern-ment Makes no differ-ence Don’t know   Difference

    (Liberal minus Labor)

    Difference

    Sept 2015

    Large corporations 50% 11% 22% 17%   +39 +45
    People and families on high incomes 49% 12% 23% 16%   +37 +45
    Banks and other financial institutions 47% 11% 24% 18%   +36 +36
    Families with children at private school 40% 16% 26% 18%   +24 +36
    Small businesses 29% 24% 27% 19%   +5 +12
    Farmers and other agricultural producers 22% 23% 32% 23%   -1 +5
    People and families on middle incomes 24% 30% 30% 16%   -6 -6
    Pensioners 16% 36% 30% 17%   -20 -23
    Recent immigrants to Australia 12% 33% 32% 23%   -21 -16
    People with disabilities 15% 36% 32% 17%   -21 -24
    Average working people 17% 38% 28% 17%   -21 -20
    Unemployed people 12% 38% 31% 18%   -26 -32
    Single parents 12% 39% 30% 19%   -27 -31
    Families with children at public school 14% 41% 28% 17%   -27 -23
    People and families on low incomes 13% 42% 28% 16%   -29 -33

    Respondents were substantially more likely to think the following groups would be better off under a Labor Government – low income families, families with children at public school, single parents, the unemployed, average working people, people with disabilities, recent migrants to Australia and pensioners.

    They were substantially more likely to think the following groups would be better off under a Liberal Government – large corporations, high income families, banks and financial institutions and families with children at private schools.

    Since this question was asked in September 2015 the Liberal Party is a little less likely to be perceived as better for families with children at private schools (down 12 points), those on high incomes (down 8), small businesses (down 7) and large corporations (down 6).

    The Labor Party is perceived to be a little better for recent immigrants (up 5) and families with children at public schools (up 4).

  • Apr, 2016

    State of the economy

    Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy? 

      Total

     

      Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Apr 2014 Mar 2015 Jan 2016
    Total good 32%   23% 49% 21% 20% 38% 27% 28%
    Total poor 27%   31% 19% 38% 44% 24% 33% 31%
    Very good 3% 3% 6% 1% 3% 3% 4%
    Good 29% 20% 43% 21% 19% 35% 24% 24%
    Neither good nor poor 37% 42% 32% 39% 36% 34% 36% 36%
    Poor 21% 24% 16% 29% 30% 19% 24% 24%
    Very poor 6% 7% 3% 9% 14% 5% 9% 7%
    Don’t know 3% 3% <1% 2% 4% 4% 4%

    32% described the economy as good or very good and 27% poor/very poor – 37% said it was neither. This represents some improvement since January.

    Liberal National voters were substantially more optimistic than other voters. Among Labor voters 23% (down 3%) thought it was good and 31% (down 7%) poor; for Liberal/National voters 49% (up 11%) said it was good and 19% (down 4%) poor.

  • Apr, 2016

    Economy heading in right or wrong direction

    Q. From what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?

      Total

     

      Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Apr 2013 Apr 2014 May 2015 Jan 2016
    The right direction 32%   22% 56% 13% 13%   36% 39% 35% 30%
    The wrong direction 37%   46% 20% 57% 64%   39% 34% 40% 38%
    Don’t know 31%   32% 24% 29% 23%   25% 26% 25% 31%

    32% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction and 37% think it is heading in the wrong direction. This represents a slightly more positive view than when this question was asked in January.

    22% (down 2%) of Labor voters, 56% (up 2%) of Liberal/National voters and 13% (up 1%) of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction. 46% (down 1%) of Labor voters, 20% (down 6%) of Liberal/National voters and 57% (down 2%) of Greens voters think it is heading in the wrong direction.

  • Apr, 2016

    Trust most to handle the economy

    Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – the Treasurer Scott Morrison or the Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen?

      Total

     

      Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2015 Jan 2016
    Scott Morrison 26%   10% 55% 9% 11%   27% 26%
    Chris Bowen 23%   45% 8% 34% 19%   18% 19%
    Don’t know 51%   44% 37% 57% 70%   56% 55%

    26% have more trust in Scott Morrison to handle Australia’s economy and 23% have more trust in Chris Bowen. 51% don’t know who they would trust more. This represents a small improvement for Chris Bowen since January.

  • Apr, 2016

    Job security

    Q. In the next two years, do you expect your job to be more secure, less secure or about the same?

      Total

     

      Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other Work full time Work part time Oct 2014 Sep 2015
    More Secure 14%   14% 15% 10% 10% 13% 14% 14% 7%
    Less secure 27%   40% 20% 40% 35% 28% 29% 31% 28%
    Much more secure 5%   5% 5% 4% 2% 5% 3% 5% 2%
    Somewhat more secure 9%   9% 10% 6% 8% 8% 11% 9% 5%
    About the same 49%   40% 63% 45% 45% 51% 52% 50% 50%
    Somewhat less secure 19%   24% 15% 23% 17% 17% 18% 17% 16%
    Much less secure 12%   16% 5% 17% 18% 11% 11% 14% 12%
    Don’t know 7%   6% 2% 5% 9% 7% 5% 4% 15%

     

    14% of respondents (up 7% since September) feel that their job will become more secure over the next two years. 27% (down 1%) feel it will become less secure while the largest proportion (49%) feel it will stay about the same. Liberal/National voters were more likely to say their job security would be about the same (63%).

  • Apr, 2016

    State voting intention – NSW

    If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2015

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

      January February March
    Sample 3,205 3,220 904 1,165 1,151
    First preference vote  
    Liberal/National 45.6% 48% 47% 47% 46% 49%
    Labor 34.1% 33% 34% 34% 34% 33%
    Greens 10.3% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10%
    Other/Independent 10.0% 10% 10% 9% 11% 9%
     
    2PP  
    Liberal/National 54.3% 56% 56% 55% 55% 57%
    Labor 45.7% 44% 44% 45% 45% 43%

     

Error: