Q. When it comes to voting in the next Federal election, which of the following is closest to your view
| Total
|
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| I will vote for the party that I want to lead Australia | 67% | 73% | 81% | 57% | 53% | |
| I will vote against the party I don’t want to lead Australia | 21% | 22% | 16% | 38% | 27% | |
| Don’t know | 13% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 20% |
67% say that they will vote for the party that they want to lead Australia and 21% will vote against the party they don’t want to lead Australia.
38% of Greens voters say they are more likely to be voting against the party they don’t want to lead Australia.
Q. Has the re-election of Malcolm Turnbull as leader of the Liberal Party made you more or less likely to support the Liberal National Coalition at the next federal election?
| Total
|
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Sep 2015 | |||
| Total more likely | 35% | 24% | 55% | 42% | 21% | 34% | ||
| Total less likely | 23% | 31% | 14% | 20% | 35% | 14% | ||
| Much more likely | 11% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 7% | 15% | ||
| A little more likely | 24% | 17% | 35% | 37% | 14% | 19% | ||
| A little less likely | 9% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 5% | ||
| Much less likely | 14% | 23% | 4% | 13% | 24% | 9% | ||
| Makes no difference | 35% | 40% | 28% | 35% | 40% | 43% | ||
| Don’t know | 8% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
35% say they are more likely to support the Liberal National Coalition since the re-election of Malcolm Turnbull as leaders and 23% say they are less likely. 35% say it makes no difference.
Since this question was asked last year, those saying “less likely” has increased from 14% to 23%.
Q: Would you support or oppose the following measures being included in the Federal Budget?
| Total support | Total oppose | Strongly support | Support | Oppose | Strongly oppose | Don’t know | ||
| Tighten tax exemptions for capital gains tax | 52% | 19% | 19% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 29% | |
| Limit negative gearing | 48% | 24% | 17% | 31% | 17% | 7% | 27% | |
| Reduce superannuation tax concessions for high earners | 60% | 22% | 27% | 33% | 14% | 8% | 18% | |
| Increase tax on cigarettes | 67% | 21% | 36% | 31% | 11% | 10% | 13% | |
| Cut corporate tax | 22% | 57% | 6% | 16% | 28% | 29% | 21% | |
| Cut personal income tax | 63% | 19% | 23% | 40% | 15% | 4% | 17% | |
| Increase funding to health | 83% | 7% | 47% | 36% | 5% | 2% | 10% | |
| Increase funding to education | 80% | 10% | 42% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 11% |
The most supported budget measures were increasing funding to health (83%), increasing funding to education (80%) and increasing tax on cigarettes (67%). A majority (57%) opposed cutting corporate tax.
Labor voters were more likely to support tightening tax exemptions for capital gains (58%) and limiting negative gearing (55%).
Liberal/National voters were more likely to support increasing tax on cigarettes (75%), cutting corporate taxes (31%) and cutting personal income tax (76%).
Q: The former Prime Minister of New Zealand, Helen Clark, has said she will run for the position of Secretary General of the United Nations. Former Australian Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, may also run. Who do you think would be the better Secretary General of the UN, Helen Clark or Kevin Rudd?
| Total
|
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Helen Clark | 45% | 36% | 55% | 56% | 52% | |
| Kevin Rudd | 21% | 34% | 17% | 12% | 14% | |
| Don’t know | 34% | 30% | 28% | 32% | 34% |
45% think that Helen Clark would be a better Secretary General of the UN and 21% think Kevin Rudd would be better. Most voter groups strongly supported Helen Clark while Labor voters were divided – 36% preferring Helen Clark and 34% favouring Kevin Rudd.
61% of those aged 55+ prefer Helen Clark.
Q. For each of the following Australian industries and organisations, please indicate how affected by corruption you think they are:
| Widespread corruption | Some corruption | Very little corruption | Don’t know | |
| Building industry | 36% | 40% | 9% | 16% |
| Unions | 35% | 40% | 11% | 14% |
| Banking and finance sector | 25% | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Politics | 40% | 395 | 8% | 13% |
| Large corporations | 34% | 43% | 9% | 14% |
| Payment of tax by large corporations | 53% | 27% | 6% | 14% |
53% think there is widespread corruption concerning payment of tax by large corporations. 40% think there is widespread corruption in politics and the building industry, unions and large corporations are thought to be similarly corrupt.
53% of Liberal/National voters think there is widespread corruption in unions compared to only 19% of Labor voters.
Both Labor voters (55%) and Liberal/National voters (47%) think that there is widespread corruption concerning payment of tax by large corporations.
Q. In general, do you think the next Federal Budget, to be announced on Tuesday 3rd May will be good or bad for the following?
| Total good | Total bad | Very good | Good | Neither good nor bad | Bad | Very bad | Don’t know | ||
| You personally | 10% | 30% | 3% | 7% | 42% | 23% | 7% | 18% | |
| Average working people | 13% | 37% | 2% | 11% | 31% | 29% | 8% | 19% | |
| Australian business | 35% | 14% | 5% | 30% | 31% | 11% | 3% | 19% | |
| The economy over all | 21% | 24% | 3% | 18% | 37% | 19% | 5% | 19% | |
| People who are well off | 46% | 10% | 17% | 29% | 27% | 8% | 2% | 18% | |
| People on lower incomes | 12% | 46% | 2% | 10% | 23% | 29% | 17% | 18% | |
| Australian families | 12% | 36% | 3% | 9% | 34% | 28% | 8% | 18% | |
| Older Australians | 10% | 44% | 3% | 7% | 28% | 29% | 15% | 19% | |
| Younger Australians | 11% | 35% | 3% | 8% | 34% | 26% | 9% | 20% |
46% expect that the budget will be good for people who are well off and 35% think it will be good for business. Otherwise the budget is expected to be bad for most groups – especially people on low incomes (46%) and older Australians (44%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
12/4/16 |
2 weeks ago
5/4/16 |
4 weeks ago
22/3/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 38% | 39% | 39% | 40% | |||
| National | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 42% | 42% | 42% | 43% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 36% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8.6% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 46.5% |
NB: Sample = 1,753. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Would you support or oppose holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services industry? (VERSION 1)
Q. The Opposition leader Bill Shorten has called for a Royal Commission into the behaviour of the banking and financial services industry. The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull says that a Royal Commission isn’t necessary because the banks are already heavily regulated. Would you support or oppose holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services industry? (VERSION 2)
Half the sample was asked version 1 and half was asked version 2.
| Total
VERSION 1 |
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Total
VERSION 2 |
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total support | 59% | 73% | 58% | 53% | 56% | 54% | 68% | 41% | 66% | 60% | |
| Total oppose | 15% | 7% | 25% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 9% | 38% | 15% | 27% | |
| Strongly support | 27% | 36% | 23% | 28% | 30% | 23% | 33% | 14% | 43% | 21% | |
| Support | 32% | 37% | 35% | 25% | 26% | 31% | 35% | 27% | 23% | 39% | |
| Oppose | 11% | 6% | 16% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 7% | 19% | 13% | 23% | |
| Strongly oppose | 4% | 1% | 9% | – | 1% | 8% | 2% | 19% | 2% | 4% | |
| Don’t know | 25% | 21% | 16% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 13% |
There was majority support for holding a Royal Commission into the banking and financial services sector.
When asked as an unqualified question 59% supported a Royal Commission and 15% opposed. When told that the opposition had called for the Royal Commission and the Prime Minister had opposed it, 54% supported and 21% opposed. The difference was mainly due to Liberal/National voters whose support dropped from 58% to 41% when told that the Prime Minister opposed the Royal Commission.