Q. Do you approve or disapprove of changing negative gearing so that, for future purchases, investors can only claim tax deductions for investments in newly built homes?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Feb 2016 | March 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 36% | 42% | 36% | 40% | 33% | 37% | 35% | ||
| Total disapprove | 38% | 30% | 52% | 31% | 41% | 32% | 39% | ||
| Strongly approve | 11% | 16% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 10% | ||
| Approve | 25% | 26% | 28% | 29% | 20% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Disapprove | 21% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 25% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 11% | 27% | 11% | 16% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Don’t know | 26% | 28% | 12% | 29% | 26% | 31% | 26% |
36% approve of changing negative gearing so that, for future purchases, investors can only claim tax deductions for investments in newly built homes and 38% disapprove. This is a similar result to when this question was asked in March.
Those most likely to approve were Labor voters (42%) and men (46%).
Q. What do you think would be the impact on house prices of limiting negative gearing?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| House prices would fall | 24% | 22% | 34% | 18% | 23% | |
| House prices would continue to rise but at a slower rate | 31% | 33% | 31% | 37% | 32% | |
| House prices would continue to rise at the same rate | 13% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 18% | |
| Don’t know | 31% | 34% | 21% | 32% | 27% |
31% think that limiting negative gearing would mean house prices would continue to rise but at a slower rate. 24% think house prices would fall. Only 13% think it would have no impact on house prices.
34% of Liberal/National voters think house process would fall compared to 22% of Labor voters and 18% of Greens voters.
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull?
| Total | Mar 2016 | Difference | |||
| Intelligent | 77% | 79% | -2 | ||
| Hard-working | 65% | 68% | -3 | ||
| A capable leader | 59% | 64% | -5 | ||
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 56% | 53% | +3 | ||
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 52% | 53% | -1 | ||
| Good in a crisis | 49% | 52% | -3 | ||
| Arrogant | 46% | 45% | +1 | ||
| Superficial | 46% | 43% | +3 | ||
| Narrow-minded | 41% | 33% | +8 | ||
| Visionary | 41% | 44% | -3 | ||
| Trustworthy | 40% | 44% | -4 | ||
| More honest than most politicians | 39% | 41% | -2 | ||
| Erratic | 34% | 27% | +7 | ||
| Intolerant | 34% | 26% | +8 | ||
| Aggressive | 28% | 24% | +4 |
Malcolm Turnbull’s key attributes were intelligent (77%), hard working (65%), a capable leader (59%) and out of touch with ordinary people (56%).
Since March, the main changes have been for narrow-minded (up 8%), intolerant (up 8%), erratic (up 7%) and a capable leader (down 5%).
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten?
| Total | Mar 2016 | Change | |||
| Hard working | 62% | 60% | +2 | ||
| Intelligent | 60% | 56% | +4 | ||
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 50% | 47% | +3 | ||
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 44% | 45% | -1 | ||
| Superficial | 43% | 45% | -2 | ||
| A capable leader | 41% | 34% | +7 | ||
| Narrow-minded | 40% | 41% | -1 | ||
| Arrogant | 38% | 41% | -3 | ||
| Erratic | 37% | 40% | -3 | ||
| Good in a crisis | 34% | 32% | +2 | ||
| Trustworthy | 33% | 31% | +2 | ||
| Aggressive | 33% | 34% | -1 | ||
| Intolerant | 31% | 32% | -1 | ||
| Visionary | 29% | 27% | +2 | ||
| More honest than most politicians | 26% | 25% | +1 |
Bill Shorten’s key attributes were hard working (62%), intelligent (60%) and understands the problems facing Australia (50%).
Since March there has been a 7% increase in “a capable leader”.
| Malcolm Turnbull | Bill Shorten | Difference | ||
| A capable leader | 59% | 41% | +18 | |
| Intelligent | 77% | 60% | +17 | |
| Good in a crisis | 49% | 34% | +15 | |
| More honest than most politicians | 39% | 26% | +13 | |
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 56% | 44% | +12 | |
| Visionary | 41% | 29% | +12 | |
| Arrogant | 46% | 38% | +8 | |
| Trustworthy | 40% | 33% | +7 | |
| Hard-working | 65% | 62% | +3 | |
| Superficial | 46% | 43% | +3 | |
| Intolerant | 34% | 31% | +3 | |
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 52% | 50% | +2 | |
| Narrow-minded | 41% | 40% | +1 | |
| Erratic | 34% | 37% | -3 | |
| Aggressive | 28% | 33% | -5 |
Compared to Bill Shorten, Malcolm Turnbull is more likely to be considered a capable leader (+18%), intelligent (+17%) and good in a crisis (+15%) – although these margins have dropped considerably since March.
Q: If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
19/4/16 |
2 weeks ago
12/4/16 |
4 weeks ago
29/3/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 36% | 38% | 39% | 39% | |||
| National | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 40% | 42% | 42% | 43% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 39% | 36% | 35% | 38% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8.6% | ||
| Palmer United Party | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5.5% | ||
| Other/Independent | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 6.9% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 48% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 52% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 46.5% |
NB: Sample = 1,740. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. The Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has said he will call an early double dissolution election because the Senate has not passed legislation to re-establish the Australian Building and Construction Commission.
Do you approve or disapprove of Malcolm Turnbull calling an early double dissolution election?
| Total
|
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | 2 weeks ago | |||
| Total approve | 40% | 32% | 62% | 38% | 31% | 39% | ||
| Total disapprove | 28% | 38% | 15% | 45% | 32% | 24% | ||
| Strongly approve | 11% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Approve | 29% | 22% | 45% | 31% | 23% | 26% | ||
| Disapprove | 18% | 23% | 13% | 30% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 10% | 15% | 2% | 15% | 15% | 8% | ||
| Don’t know | 32% | 30% | 22% | 18% | 38% | 36% |
40% approve of Malcolm Turnbull calling an early double dissolution election and 28% disapprove.
62% of Liberal/National voters approve while other voters are divided. Labor voters (38%) and Greens voters (45%) are a little more likely to disapprove.
There has been little change in opinions about a double dissolution in the last two weeks.
Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election?
| Total
|
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Liberal/National | 42% | 20% | 81% | 32% | 34% | |
| Labor | 28% | 58% | 6% | 33% | 16% | |
| Don’t know | 29% | 22% | 13% | 35% | 50% |
42% think the Liberal/National Party are most likely to win the next election and 28% think the Labor Party are most likely to win. 29% could not give an opinion.
81% of Liberal/National voters think their party is most likely to win and 58% of Labor voters think Labor is most likely to win.
Greens voters are evenly divided.