federal politics voting intention, federal voting intention, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 11/7/17 | 2 weeks ago 4/7/17 | 4 weeks ago 20/6/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 33% | 33% | 35% | 35% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 36% | 36% | 38% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 38% | 36% | 36% | 35% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 7% | 7% | 9% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 46% | 47% | 48% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 49.6% |
NB. Sample = 1,830. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
same sex marriage, Voting Same Sex Marriage
Q. Do you think people of the same sex should or should not be allowed to marry?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | Oct 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jul 2016 | Aug 2016 | Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | ||
| Should be allowed to marry | 61% | 72% | 55% | 74% | 42% | 59% | 64% | 58% | 62% | 60% | 63% | |
| Should not be allowed to marry | 26% | 17% | 32% | 18% | 46% | 30% | 26% | 28% | 27% | 26% | 25% | |
| Don’t know | 13% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 12% |
61% thought that people of the same sex should be able to marry and 26% thought that they should not. Women (66% support) were more likely than men (56%) to support same sex marriage. 81% of 18-24 year olds supported same sex marriage, compared to 46% of over 65 year olds. These results are similar to those of polling over the last few years.
same sex marriage, Voting Same Sex Marriage
Q. How do you think a decision on legalising same sex marriage should be made?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Should be allowed to marry | Should not be allowed to marry | ||
| A vote in Parliament where politicians can vote according to their conscience or party policy | 23% | 28% | 22% | 39% | 18% | 29% | 12% | |
| A national vote which is binding on Parliament | 50% | 49% | 54% | 33% | 57% | 53% | 56% | |
| A non-binding national vote which is followed by a vote in parliament where politicians can vote according to their conscience or party policy | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 15% | |
| Don’t know | 17% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 17% |
50% of respondents want a national vote that is binding on Parliament, 23% want a vote in Parliament without a national vote and only 9% want a national vote followed by a vote in Parliament.
Those most likely to favour a vote in Parliament without a national vote were Greens voters (39%), aged 65+ (32%), university educated (29%) and those who support same-sex marriage (29%),
Note – previous poll questions were asked with 2 options – Should be decided by Parliament 29%, Should have a national vote 59%, Don’t know 12%. (last polled July 2017)
clean energy, energy, renewable energy, secure energy, south australia
Q. It was recently announced by the South Australian government that technology company Tesla will construct the “world’s largest battery” in South Australia. The battery will store wind energy to be used in high-demand periods, with the aim of increasing the reliability of the South Australian energy grid. Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total good idea | 73% | 79% | 70% | 82% | 69% | |
| Total bad idea | 5% | 1% | 8% | 1% | 11% | |
| Very good idea | 42% | 48% | 40% | 46% | 39% | |
| Good idea | 31% | 31% | 30% | 36% | 30% | |
| Neither god nor bad idea | 14% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 14% | |
| Bad idea | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 5% | |
| Very bad idea | 3% | <1% | 5% | – | 6% | |
| Don’t know | 8% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 6% |
73% agree that the construction of the battery in South Australia is a good idea and 5% think it is a bad idea. Those most likely to think it is a good idea were Greens voters (82%), Labor voters (79%) and university educated (79%).
65% of South Australian respondents think it is a good idea, 8% think it is a bad idea and 22% think it is neither. (note – small sample)
Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
| Total agree | Total disagree | Strongly agree | Agree | Neither agree nor disagree | Disagree | Strongly disagree | Don’t know | ||
| Political parties in Australia are too ideological | 45% | 12% | 13% | 32% | 31% | 10% | 2% | 11% | |
| I don’t personally identify with either “left wing” or “right wing” politics | 50% | 18% | 19% | 31% | 26% | 14% | 4% | 7% | |
| I would consider voting for a new “centrist” political party which takes ideas from both sides of politics | 45% | 14% | 11% | 34% | 29% | 9% | 5% | 12% | |
| I wish both sides of politics would try to ‘meet each other in the middle’ more often | 71% | 6% | 28% | 43% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 6% | |
| There is no substantial difference between the policies of the Labor and Liberal Parties | 37% | 30% | 11% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 8% | 8% | |
| We don’t need any new political parties – the Labor, Liberal and minor parties represent the interests of most Australians. | 43% | 26% | 13% | 30% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 8% |
| Total agree | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Political parties in Australia are too ideological | 45% | 43% | 47% | 45% | 52% | |
| I don’t personally identify with either “left wing” or “right wing” politics | 50% | 46% | 46% | 54% | 63% | |
| I would consider voting for a new “centrist” political party which takes ideas from both sides of politics | 45% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 56% | |
| I wish both sides of politics would try to ‘meet each other in the middle’ more often | 71% | 75% | 74% | 59% | 75% | |
| There is no substantial difference between the policies of the Labor and Liberal Parties | 37% | 29% | 39% | 35% | 58% | |
| We don’t need any new political parties – the Labor, Liberal and minor parties represent the interests of most Australians. | 43% | 55% | 57% | 30% | 26% |
There was strong agreement with the statement that both sides of politics should try to “meet in the middle” (71%). Half agree that they don’t personally identify as either “Left” or “right”.
They were most divided on the statements that “there is no substantial difference between the parties policies” (37% agree/30% disagree) and that we don’t need any new political parties” (43% agree/26% disagree).
Leader approval, leadership, world economy, world leader
Q. Do you hold favourable or unfavourable views of the following world leaders?
| Favourable | Unfavourable | Don’t know | Favour-able Vote Labor | Favour-able Vote Lib/Nat | Favour-able Vote Greens | Favour-able Vote other | ||
| Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau | 51% | 11% | 38% | 55% | 56% | 61% | 40% | |
| German Chancellor Angela Merkel | 43% | 17% | 40% | 43% | 55% | 51% | 33% | |
| French President Emmanuel Macron | 41% | 14% | 44% | 44% | 48% | 49% | 36% | |
| UK Prime Minister Theresa May | 33% | 27% | 40% | 29% | 46% | 21% | 38% | |
| Russian President Vladimir Putin | 16% | 61% | 23% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 27% | |
| US President Donald Trump | 16% | 70% | 14% | 9% | 23% | 7% | 29% | |
| North Korean Chairman Kim Jong-Un | 6% | 80% | 13% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 4% |
Respondents were most likely to have a favourable view of Justin Trudeau (51%), Angela Merkel (43%) and Emmanuel Macron (41%).
Liberal/National voters were more likely than average to have a favourable view of Theresa May (46%) and Donald Trump (23%).
Labor voters did not differ much from the average – except for their low rating of Donald Trump (9% favourable).
all working people, auto workers, Automation, technology, technology and innovation
Q. Which statement best represents your current situation? (In these statements, “automation” means the use of machines and technology to replace human processes).
| Total | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| My job has already been replaced by automation | 3% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | |
| My job has been significantly changed my automation | 9% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 5% | |
| I expect my job to be replaced by automation in the next five years | 11% | 12% | 10% | 17% | 9% | 4% | |
| I don’t think my job will be replaced by automation in the foreseeable future | 59% | 56% | 61% | 53% | 64% | 58% | |
| Don’t know | 18% | 16% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 30% |
(Based on those working)
59% of working respondents don’t think their job will be replaced by automation in the foreseeable future. 3% say that have already been replaced by automation, 9% say their job has significantly changed and 11% expect their job to be replaced by automation. 53% of those aged 18-34 don’t think their job will be replaced by automation compared to 64% of those aged 35-54.
technological change, technology
Q. Overall, do you think technological advances in recent years have been positive for:
| Total agree | Total disagree | Strongly agree | Agree | Neither agree nor disagree | Disagree | Strongly disagree | Don’t know | |
| Culture/entertainment | 57% | 9% | 14% | 43% | 27% | 6% | 3% | 7% |
| National security | 53% | 16% | 14% | 39% | 22% | 12% | 4% | 9% |
| Provision of government services | 50% | 14% | 10% | 40% | 28% | 9% | 5% | 9% |
| Personal safety | 49% | 16% | 11% | 38% | 27% | 12% | 4% | 8% |
| Provision of private services | 45% | 11% | 9% | 36% | 31% | 8% | 3% | 14% |
| Personal relationships | 31% | 30% | 7% | 24% | 32% | 22% | 8% | 7% |
| Job security | 27% | 34% | 7% | 20% | 30% | 23% | 11% | 9% |
By demographic:
| Total agree | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| Culture/entertainment | 57% | 55% | 58% | 66% | 56% | 48% | |
| National security | 53% | 56% | 48% | 53% | 51% | 53% | |
| Provision of government services | 50% | 56% | 44% | 50% | 51% | 48% | |
| Personal safety | 49% | 51% | 47% | 56% | 48% | 42% | |
| Provision of private services | 45% | 50% | 40% | 52% | 44% | 39% | |
| Personal relationships | 31% | 35% | 26% | 41% | 29% | 21% | |
| Job security | 27% | 31% | 21% | 38% | 24% | 18% |
At least half the respondents think that technological advances have been positive for culture/entertainment (57%), national security (53%) and provision of Government services (50%). However, they were divided over job security (27% agree/34% disagree) and personal relationships (31%/30%).