Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Aug 2015 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jul 2016 | Nov 2016 | Mar 2017 | |||
| Bill Shorten | 20% | 34% | 14% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 27% | 17% | 21% | ||
| Anthony Albanese | 13% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Tanya Plibersek | 13% | 15% | 10% | 29% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 13% | ||
| Chris Bowen | 4% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Tony Burke | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | – | – | – | – | 2% | 2% | ||
| Someone else | 13% | 7% | 16% | 8% | 25% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 16% | ||
| Don’t know | 34% | 23% | 35% | 32% | 26% | 36% | 38% | 32% | 30% | 32% | 35% |
20% (down 1% since March) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 13% (no change) prefer Tanya Plibersek and 13% (up 2%) Anthony Albanese. 13% prefer someone else and 34% don’t know.
Among Labor voters, 34% (down 12%) prefer Bill Shorten, 15% (up 2%) Tanya Plibersek and 15% (up 5%) Anthony Albanese.
Preferences of men were Bill Shorten 23% (-1%), Anthony Albanese 17% (+4%) and Tanya Plibersek 11% (-1%).
Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 17% (-1%), Tanya Plibersek 14% (+1%) and Anthony Albanese 10% (+2%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 18/7/17 | 2 weeks ago 11/7/17 | 4 weeks ago 27/6/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 35% | 33% | 33% | 35% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 38% | 36% | 36% | 39% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 38% | 36% | 36% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | |||
| Other/Independent | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 47% | 46% | 46% | 48% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 53% | 54% | 54% | 52% | 49.6% |
NB. Sample = 1,798. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Q. The Government has announced setting up a new ministry under Peter Dutton covering issues of national security. It will include ASIO, the Federal Police and the Border Force of the Immigration Department – which are currently responsible to other ministers. Do you approve or disapprove of setting up this new national security ministry?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Total approve | 56% | 51% | 75% | 33% | 57% | |
| Total disapprove | 18% | 26% | 9% | 37% | 19% | |
| Strongly approve | 19% | 13% | 31% | 6% | 20% | |
| Approve | 37% | 38% | 44% | 27% | 37% | |
| Disapprove | 10% | 14% | 6% | 15% | 12% | |
| Strongly disapprove | 8% | 12% | 3% | 22% | 7% | |
| Don’t know | 26% | 22% | 16% | 30% | 23% |
56% approve of the new national security ministry and 18% disapprove.
Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (75%), men (62%) and aged 65+ (67%).
Those most likely to disapprove were Labor voters (26%) and Greens voters (37%).
Q. Do you think this new ministry will strengthen Australia’s national security, weaken our national security or make little difference?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Will strengthen national security | 45% | 36% | 63% | 27% | 45% | |
| Will weaken national security | 8% | 13% | 5% | 17% | 5% | |
| Will make little difference | 28% | 35% | 21% | 33% | 29% | |
| Don’t know | 19% | 16% | 11% | 23% | 20% |
45% think the new ministry will strengthen national security, 8% think it will weaken security and 28% think it will make little difference.
Those most likely to think it will strengthen security were Liberal/National voters (63%) and aged 65+ (54%).
Those most likely to think it will weaken security or make little difference were Labor voters (48%) and Greens voters (50%).
Q. Are you concerned or not concerned that the minister, Peter Dutton, will have responsibility for all of these security services?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Total concerned | 45% | 57% | 36% | 69% | 37% | |
| Total not concerned | 35% | 28% | 49% | 13% | 42% | |
| Very concerned | 17% | 25% | 8% | 36% | 14% | |
| Somewhat concerned | 28% | 32% | 28% | 33% | 23% | |
| Not very concerned | 24% | 22% | 32% | 11% | 24% | |
| Not at all concerned. | 11% | 6% | 17% | 2% | 18% | |
| Don’t know | 20% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 22% |
45% say they are concerned that the minister, Peter Dutton, will have responsibility for all of the security services and 35% are not concerned.
Those more likely to be concerned were Labor voters (57%) and Greens voters (69%).
Those more likely to be not concerned were Liberal/National voters (49%), and aged 65+ (50%).
Q. To address climate change, would you support or oppose setting a clean energy target (CET) which means that a set percentage of energy would have to be generated from clean sources (e.g. wind, solar, etc.)?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Total support | 64% | 73% | 61% | 87% | 50% | |
| Total oppose | 10% | 4% | 16% | 3% | 10% | |
| Strongly support | 30% | 35% | 25% | 56% | 23% | |
| Support | 34% | 38% | 36% | 31% | 27% | |
| Neither support nor oppose | 18% | 18% | 19% | 7% | 23% | |
| Oppose | 3% | <1% | 6% | 1% | 4% | |
| Strongly oppose | 7% | 3% | 10% | 2% | 6% | |
| Don’t know | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 6% |
Q. To address climate change, would you support or oppose establishing an emissions intensity scheme (EIS) – which means that pollution over a certain level would be taxed?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Total support | 54% | 62% | 50% | 77% | 44% | |
| Total oppose | 15% | 9% | 20% | 7% | 22% | |
| Strongly support | 23% | 27% | 16% | 53% | 22% | |
| Support | 31% | 35% | 34% | 24% | 22% | |
| Neither support nor oppose | 21% | 20% | 21% | 12% | 26% | |
| Oppose | 7% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% | |
| Strongly oppose | 8% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 16% | |
| Don’t know | 11% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
Both policies for addressing climate change were supported by a majority of respondents.
64% support a clean energy target and 54% support an emissions intensity scheme.
10% oppose CET and 15% oppose an EIS.
Those most likely to support a CET were Labor voters (73%), Greens voters (87%), aged 18-24 (72%) and university educated (70%).
Those most likely to oppose a CET were Liberal/National voters (16%) and aged 65+ (25%).
Those most likely to support an EIS were Labor voters (62%), Greens voters (77%) and university educated (62%).
Those most likely to oppose an EIS were Liberal/National voters (20%), other party voters (22%) and aged 65+ (28%).
Is your home or workplace connected to the NBN?
| Total | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| Home connected to NBN | 33% | 32% | 33% | 30% | 34% | 34% | |
| Workplace connected to NBN | 11% | 14% | 8% | 16% | 12% | 2% | |
| Neither connected to NBN | 50% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 52% | 58% | |
| Don’t know | 10% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 9% | 5% |
40% of respondents say they are connected to the NBN, either at home or at work. There were no major differences across demographics.
Q. Would you say that your NBN internet service is better or worse than your previous service in terms of speed and reliability?
| Total | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| Total better | 48% | 53% | 42% | 48% | 59% | 33% | |
| Total worse | 22% | 18% | 25% | 16% | 17% | 31% | |
| Much better | 19% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 28% | 17% | |
| A little better | 29% | 33% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 16% | |
| About the same | 29% | 27% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 35% | |
| A little worse | 13% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 15% | |
| Much worse | 9% | 7% | 11% | 2% | 7% | 16% | |
| Don’t know | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
(Based on respondents with NBN connection – n=379)
48% think their NBN internet service is better than their previous service while 51% think it is about the same or worse. Only 19% think their NBN service in “much better”.