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  • Aug, 2017

    Same-sex marriage

    Q. Recently, a number of suggestions have been made for making a decision about same sex marriage. Do you approve or disapprove of each of the following suggestions?

      Total approve Total dis-approve   Strongly approve Approve Dis-approve Strongly dis-approve Don’t know
    Hold a voluntary postal plebiscite followed by a vote in Parliament. 43% 38%   15% 28% 18% 20% 19%
    Hold a vote in Parliament and try to persuade Liberal Party members to cross the floor and vote against their party policy 43% 31%   20% 23% 16% 15% 25%
    Hold a plebiscite in conjunction with the next election 46% 34%   17% 29% 18% 16% 20%
    Wait until after the next election before trying to reach a decision 22% 55%   6% 16% 24% 31% 23%

     

      Total approve   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Hold a voluntary postal plebiscite followed by a vote in Parliament. 43%   45% 53% 40% 35%
    Hold a vote in Parliament and try to persuade Liberal Party members to cross the floor and vote against their party policy 43%   59% 37% 54% 26%
    Hold a plebiscite in conjunction with the next election 46%   44% 57% 33% 52%
    Wait until after the next election before trying to reach a decision 22%   23% 27% 9% 19%


    Three options for addressing the issue of same sex marriage received moderate support. 46% approved holding a plebiscite with the next election, 43% approved holding a vote in Parliament and 43% supported a postal plebiscite (although 38% disapproved of this option).

    A majority (55%) disapproved of waiting until after the next election before trying to reach a decision.

    A majority of Labor (59%) and Greens (54%) voters approved of holding a vote in Parliament while Liberal/National voters were more likely to approve holding a plebiscite with the next election (57%) and holding a voluntary postal plebiscite (53%).

    Waiting until after the next election was disapproved by 61% of Labor voters, 48% of Liberal/National voters and 70% of Greens voters.

  • Aug, 2017

    Industrial laws

    Q. Do you think Australia’s industrial relations and work laws favour the interests of employers or employees or do they balance the interests of both?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time
    Favour employers 39%   49% 26% 44% 51%   40% 33%
    Favour employees 12%   10% 17% 5% 10%   14% 14%
    Balance interests of both employers and employees 29%   27% 38% 21% 21%   30% 29%
    Don’t know 21%   14% 19% 30% 18%   17% 24%

    39% believe that Australia’s industrial relations and work laws favour the interests of employers, 12% think they favour employees and 29% think they balance the interests of both.

    Labor (49%) and Greens (44%) voters were more likely to think they favour employers while Liberal/National voters were more likely to think they were balanced (38%).

    49% of those earning $600-$1,000 pw thought they favoured employers.

  • Aug, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 25/7/17 2 weeks ago 18/7/17 4 weeks ago 4/7/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 36% 35% 33% 35%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 38%   38% 36% 38%   42.0%
    Labor 36%   37% 38% 36%   34.7%
    Greens 10% 10% 10% 11% 10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 4% 4% 3% 3%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8% 7% 7% 7%
    Other/Independent 4% 5% 6% 5% 13.1%
    2 party preferred
    Liberal National 48%   47% 46% 47%   50.4%
    Labor 52%   53% 54% 53%   49.6%

    Sample = 1,805. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

  • Aug, 2017

    Important issues

    Q. Which of the following issues are the 3 most important for the Federal Government to address over the next 12 months?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Nov 2016 Change
    Improving our health system 42%   48% 42% 32% 33%   44% -2
    Housing affordability 36%   36% 31% 36% 36%   31% +5
    Reducing unemployment 32%   33% 31% 31% 38%   31% -1
    National security and terrorism 32%   25% 42% 8% 42%   30% +2
    Tax avoidance by big companies 26%   27% 22% 25% 30%   26%
    Protecting workers wages and conditions 22%   28% 12% 25% 25%   20% +2
    More funds for education 19%   22% 19% 16% 13%   17% +2
    Reducing the budget deficit 19%   10% 30% 9% 21%   24% -5
    Addressing climate change 18%   23% 12% 48% 10%   16% +2
    Protecting our borders 16%   9% 24% 7% 25%   21% -5
    Protecting the environment 16%   17% 11% 38% 11%   16%
    Investing in public transport 11%   12% 10% 15% 6%   12% -1
    Investing in roads 9%   9% 11% 5% 7%   7% +2
    Free trade agreements 3%   2% 4% 6% 2%   6% -3

    The most important issues for the Federal Government to address over the next 12 months were improving our health system (42%), housing affordability (36%), reducing unemployment (32%) and national security and terrorism (32%).

    Main changes since November were an increase in importance of housing affordability (up 5%) and declines in the importance of reducing the budget deficit (down 5%) and protecting our borders (down 5%).

    For Labor voters the most important issues were improving our health system (48%), housing affordability (36%) and reducing unemployment (33%).

    For Liberal/National voters the most important issues were improving our health system (42%), national security and terrorism (42%), housing affordability (31%) and reducing unemployment (31%).

    For Greens voters the most important issues were addressing climate change (48%), protecting the environment (38%) and housing affordability (36%).

  • Aug, 2017

    4-year terms

    Q. In Australia, Federal elections are currently held every 3 years, although the Government can decide to hold an election earlier. Would you support or oppose changing to 4-year fixed terms so that elections are held every 4 years on the same date?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
    Total support 58%   60% 64% 56% 50%   52% 56% 68%
    Total oppose 24%   24% 22% 24% 37%   25% 25% 20%
    Strongly support 18%   20% 19% 19% 17%   13% 16% 27%
    Support 40%   40% 45% 37% 33%   39% 40% 41%
    Oppose 15%   17% 16% 14% 15%   17% 15% 12%
    Strongly oppose 9%   7% 6% 10% 22%   8% 10% 8%
    Don’t know 18%   16% 14% 20% 13%   23% 19% 12%

    58% support 4-year fixed terms for Federal Parliament and 24% oppose.

    Those most likely to support 4-year fixed terms were Liberal/National voters (64%), men (65%) and aged 55+ (68%).

    Those most likely to oppose 4-year fixed terms were other party voters (37%) and aged 18-24 (41%).

  • Aug, 2017

    Inequality

    Q. Do you think social and economic inequality in Australia is increasing, decreasing or staying about the same?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other   Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
    Total increasing 52%   58% 43% 67% 55%   46% 55% 56%
    Total decreasing 12%   12% 15% 8% 13%   11% 11% 16%
    Increasing a lot 24%   28% 14% 41% 30%   17% 27% 28%
    Increasing a little 28%   30% 29% 26% 25%   29% 28% 28%
    Staying about the same 26%   23% 36% 21% 22%   31% 24% 24%
    Decreasing a little 8%   8% 13% 5% 6%   8% 7% 12%
    Decreasing a lot 4%   4% 2% 3% 7%   3% 4% 4%
    Don’t know 10%   8% 6% 5% 10%   12% 11% 4%

    52% believe that social and economic inequality in Australia is increasing, 12% think it is decreasing and 26% think it is staying much the same.

    Those most likely to think inequality is increasing were Greens voters (67%) and Labor voters (58%).

  • Aug, 2017

    Tax reform

    Q. Would you support or oppose the following tax reforms to pay off debt and raise more funds for Government services and infrastructure?

      Total support Total oppose   Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know
    Stop companies and wealthy people using legal loopholes in minimise tax payments by sending funds offshore 86% 8%   58% 28% 5% 3% 7%
    Force multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings 82% 9%   48% 34% 6% 3% 9%
    Introduce the “Buffett Rule” – which means that very high earners cannot reduce their income tax rate below 30%. 71% 12%   34% 37% 8% 4% 17%
    Increase the income tax rate for high earners 61% 27%   26% 35% 21% 6% 11%
    Remove superannuation tax concessions for high earners 54% 30%   22% 32% 18% 12% 15%
    Cap deductions for tax accounting fees to $3000 52% 18%   21% 31% 13% 5% 30%
    Stop people using Family Trusts to split income among family members 51% 25%   23% 28% 18% 7% 24%
    Limit negative gearing and capital gains property investments 50% 27%   19% 31% 17% 10% 22%
    Increase the GST 25% 65%   4% 21% 30% 35% 10%
    Introduce an inheritance tax on deceased estates 15% 69%   4% 11% 29% 40% 16%

    All tax reforms were supported by a majority of respondents, except for introducing an inheritance tax (69% oppose) and increasing the GST (65% oppose). The most supported reforms were stopping minimizing tax by sending funds offshore (86% support), forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate (82%) and introducing the “Buffet Rule” (71%).

      Total support   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote Other
    Stop companies and wealthy people using legal loopholes in minimise tax payments by sending funds offshore 86%   87% 86% 86% 89%
    Force multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings 82%   84% 85% 80% 83%
    Introduce the “Buffett Rule” – which means that very high earners cannot reduce their income tax rate below 30%. 71%   71% 71% 79% 77%
    Increase the income tax rate for high earners 61%   70% 53% 68% 65%
    Remove superannuation tax concessions for high earners 54%   56% 57% 54% 58%
    Cap deductions for tax accounting fees to $3000 52%   52% 58% 61% 50%
    Stop people using Family Trusts to split income among family members 51%   55% 53% 50% 46%
    Limit negative gearing and capital gains property investments 50%   54% 50% 61% 47%
    Increase the GST 25%   18% 37% 13% 27%
    Introduce an inheritance tax on deceased estates 15%   17% 14% 15% 11%
  • Aug, 2017

    Best leader of the Liberal Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

      Total   Jun 2014 Feb 2015 Aug 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Nov 2016 Mar 2017
    Malcolm Turnbull 25%   31% 24% 24% 37% 42% 39% 30% 21% 20%
    Tony Abbott 10%   18% 11% 18% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11% 10%
    Julie Bishop 20%   4% 21% 17% 14% 13% 12% 16% 20% 17%
    Christopher Pyne 3%   <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2%
    Scott Morrison 2%   1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2%
    Peter Dutton 3%                   2%
    Someone else 13%   19% 13% 13% 10% 9% 15% 19% 18% 18%
    Don’t know 25%   21% 24% 22% 21% 22% 21% 21% 25% 28%

     

      Total   Jun 2014 Feb 2015 Aug 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Nov 2016 Mar 2017
    Malcolm Turnbull 25%   31% 24% 24% 37% 42% 39% 30% 21% 20%
    Tony Abbott 10%   18% 11% 18% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11% 10%
    Julie Bishop 20%   4% 21% 17% 14% 13% 12% 16% 20% 17%
    Christopher Pyne 3%   <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2%
    Scott Morrison 2%   1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2%
    Peter Dutton 3%                   2%
    Someone else 13%   19% 13% 13% 10% 9% 15% 19% 18% 18%
    Don’t know 25%   21% 24% 22% 21% 22% 21% 21% 25% 28%

     25% (up 5% since March) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 20% prefer Julie Bishop (up 3%) and 10% prefer Tony Abbott (no change). 13% (down 5%) prefer someone else.

    Among Liberal/National voters, 40% (up 4%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 19% (no change) Julie Bishop and 13% (down 2%) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 29% (+7%), Julie Bishop 18% (+2%) and Tony Abbott 12% (-1%).

    Preferences of women were Julie Bishop 21% (+2%), Malcolm Turnbull 20% (+1%) and Tony Abbott 8% (+1%).

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