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  • Aug, 2017

    Citizenship audit

    Q. Do you think there needs to be a review of all members of Parliament to identify all who might be dual citizens?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Needs to be a review 59%   62% 62% 52% 68%
    Does not need to be a review 25%   27% 28% 26% 19%
    Don’t know 16%   12% 10% 23% 13%

     

    A majority (59%) think that there needs to be a review of all members of Parliament to identify all who might be dual citizens and 25% think a review in not needed.

    Those most likely to support a review where other party voters (68%) and aged 65+ (79%).

  • Aug, 2017

    Pauline Hanson

    Q. Last week Pauline Hanson wore a burka into Parliament to draw attention to her view that wearing burkas should be banned in Australia. Do you approve or disapprove of her actions in wearing the burka into Parliament?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Total approve 39%   31% 46% 13% 67%
    Total disapprove 38%   51% 32% 63% 16%
    Strongly approve 21%   15% 20% 10% 47%
    Approve 18%   16% 26% 3% 20%
    Neither approve nor disapprove 16%   13% 19% 19% 14%
    Disapprove 10%   11% 10% 8% 6%
    Strongly disapprove 28%   40% 22% 55% 10%
    Didn’t know about it 2%   2% 1% 1%
    Don’t know 5%   3% 2% 4% 4%

     

    39% approved of Pauline Hanson wearing a burka into Parliament and 38% disapproved. A majority of Labor (51%) and Greens voters (63%) disapproved. 67% of other party voters approved while Liberal/National voters were more likely to approve (46%) than disapprove (32%).

    50% of those aged 65+ approved.

  • Aug, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 15/8/17 2 weeks ago 8/8/17 4 weeks ago 25/7/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 34%   34% 34% 35%    
    National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
    Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 37% 38%   42.0%
    Labor 37%   39% 39% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 9%   9% 9% 10%   10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3%   2% 3% 4%    
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 8%   8% 8% 7%    
    Other/Independent 6%   6% 5% 5%   13.1%
    2 party preferred              
    Liberal National 47%   46% 46% 47%   50.4%
    Labor 53%   54% 54% 53%   49.6%

     

    1. Sample = 1,817. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
  • Aug, 2017

    Same-sex marriage

     Q. Do you support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry?

      Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Will

    def-initely vote

    Will prob-ably vote Will not vote
    Yes 57% 71% 49% 69% 43% 48% 65% 65% 56% 50% 67% 57% 22%
    No 32% 20% 42% 17% 49% 40% 24% 25% 30% 42% 30% 29% 59%
    Don’t know 11% 9% 10% 14% 8% 12% 11% 10% 14% 8% 3% 15% 19%

     

    57% support changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry and 32% are opposed.

    Those most in favour of changing the marriage laws are Labor voters (71%), Greens voters (69%), women (65%) and those aged 18-34 (65%).

    Those who would definitely vote in the national survey are more likely to support same-sex marriage (67%).

    A somewhat differently worded question asked in July showed 61% support for allowing same-sex couples to marry, 26% opposed and 13% don’t know.

  • Aug, 2017

    National vote on same-sex marriage

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Government’s decision to hold a national voluntary postal vote on the issue of same-sex marriage?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
    Total approve 39%   37% 48% 31% 30%   41% 36% 41% 35% 39%   41% 39%
    Total disapprove 49%   53% 42% 56% 61%   46% 53% 44% 52% 53%   50% 54%
    Strongly approve 13%   13% 16% 7% 8%   14% 11% 14% 11% 12%   15% 12%
    Approve 26%   24% 32% 24% 22%   27% 25% 27% 24% 27%   26% 27%
    Disapprove 21%   23% 21% 20% 20%   18% 24% 24% 22% 17%   21% 22%
    Strongly disapprove 28%   30% 21% 36% 41%   28% 29% 20% 30% 36%   29% 32%
    Don’t know 12%   11% 9% 14% 9%   13% 11% 15% 13% 8%   9% 7%

     

     

    39% approve of the Government’s decision to hold a national voluntary postal vote on the issue of same-sex marriage and 49% disapprove.

    These figures are very similar to the results of a similar question asked last week (39% approve/47% disapprove).

    Those most likely to disapprove were Labor voters (53%) and Greens voters (56%).

    Younger people were less likely to disapprove of the national vote than older people.

    There was little difference between those who support and oppose same sex marriage in terms of approval of the national vote.

  • Aug, 2017

    Enrolled to vote

    Q. Are you enrolled to vote at your current address?

      Total   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
    Yes 88%   86% 91% 79% 91% 96%   92% 86%
    No 7%   7% 7% 10% 7% 2%   5% 9%
    Not sure 5%   8% 2% 11% 2% 2%   2% 5%

     

    88% say they are enrolled to vote at their current address, 7% are not enrolled and 5% are not sure.

    79% of those aged 18-34 say they are enrolled compared to 96% of those aged 55+.

    Those who support same-sex marriage are a little more likely to be enrolled than those who are opposed (92% compared to 86%).

  • Aug, 2017

    Likelihood of voting

    Q. How likely are you to vote in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Support same sex marriage Don’t support same sex marriage
    Total will vote 81%   84% 84% 89% 81%   78% 84% 78% 79% 87%   92% 74%
    Total will not vote 10%   8% 10% 4% 12%   12% 10% 11% 12% 7%   4% 19%
    Will definitely vote 63%   63% 70% 57% 65%   59% 67% 55% 63% 72%   74% 58%
    Will probably vote 18%   21% 14% 32% 16%   19% 17% 23% 16% 15%   18% 16%
    Will probably not vote 4%   4% 3% 1% 7%   5% 4% 7% 4% 2%   2% 7%
    Will definitely not vote 6%   4% 7% 3% 5%   7% 6% 4% 8% 5%   2% 12%
    Not sure 9%   8% 6% 7% 8%   10% 7% 10% 9% 6%   4% 7%

     

    63% say they will definitely vote in the same-sex marriage national vote and 18% will probably vote.

    A similar question asked in August 2016 showed – Definitely vote 48%, Probably vote 24%, Probably not vote 13%, Definitely not vote 6%, Not sure 8%.

    Those most likely to definitely vote are Liberal/National voters (70%), women (67%) and aged 55+ (72%).

    74% of those in favour of same-sex marriage will definitely vote compared to 58% of those opposed.

  • Aug, 2017

    Threats to global stability

    Q. Which of the following do you think is the biggest threat to global stability and world peace?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   April 2017
    Terrorism 52%   50% 61% 31% 54%   49%
    North Korea aggression 14%   15% 16% 8% 15%   na
    Climate change 13%   15% 9% 24% 13%   11%
    US aggression 9%   10% 7% 23% 8%   15%
    China aggression 2%   1% 1% 2% 4%   5%
    Russian aggression 1%   1% 2% 2% 1%   8%
    Don’t know 8%   8% 4% 10% 5%   11%

     

    52% think that terrorism is the biggest threat to global stability and world peace, 14% think the biggest threat is North Korea aggression and 13% climate change.

    Terrorism was thought to be the biggest threat by a majority of Liberal/National voters (61%).

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