Likelihood of voting

Q. How likely are you to vote in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?

	Total		Vote Labor	Vote Lib/Nat	Vote Greens	Vote other		Men	Women	Aged 18-34	Aged 35-54	Aged 55+		Support same sex marriage	Don’t support same sex marriage
Total will vote	81%		84%	84%	89%	81%		78%	84%	78%	79%	87%		92%	74%
Total will not vote	10%		8%	10%	4%	12%		12%	10%	11%	12%	7%		4%	19%
Will definitely vote	63%		63%	70%	57%	65%		59%	67%	55%	63%	72%		74%	58%
Will probably vote	18%		21%	14%	32%	16%		19%	17%	23%	16%	15%		18%	16%
Will probably not vote	4%		4%	3%	1%	7%		5%	4%	7%	4%	2%		2%	7%
Will definitely not vote	6%		4%	7%	3%	5%		7%	6%	4%	8%	5%		2%	12%
Not sure	9%		8%	6%	7%	8%		10%	7%	10%	9%	6%		4%	7%

 

63% say they will definitely vote in the same-sex marriage national vote and 18% will probably vote.

A similar question asked in August 2016 showed – Definitely vote 48%, Probably vote 24%, Probably not vote 13%, Definitely not vote 6%, Not sure 8%.

Those most likely to definitely vote are Liberal/National voters (70%), women (67%) and aged 55+ (72%).

74% of those in favour of same-sex marriage will definitely vote compared to 58% of those opposed.