Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Total | Last week 20/6/17 | 2 weeks ago 13/6/17 | 4 weeks ago 30/5/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
Liberal | 35% | 35% | 35% | 35% | |||
National | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | |||
Total Liberal/National | 39% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
Labor | 36% | 35% | 36% | 36% | 34.7% | ||
Greens | 10% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10.2% | ||
Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | |||
Other/Independent | 5% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 13.1% | ||
2 party preferred | |||||||
Liberal National | 48% | 48% | 48% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
Labor | 52% | 52% | 52% | 53% | 49.6% |
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull?
Total | Feb 2017 | Change | ||
Intelligent | 72% | 72% | – | |
Out of touch with ordinary people | 65% | 65% | – | |
Hard-working | 59% | 61% | -2 | |
Arrogant | 55% | 56% | -1 | |
Superficial | 52% | 52% | – | |
A capable leader | 50% | 50% | – | |
Narrow-minded | 47% | 48% | -1 | |
Good in a crisis | 45% | 44% | +1 | |
Understands the problems facing Australia | 43% | 44% | -1 | |
Intolerant | 37% | 39% | -2 | |
Erratic | 36% | 34% | +2 | |
Trustworthy | 35% | 36% | -1 | |
Aggressive | 34% | 31% | +3 | |
Visionary | 34% | 30% | +4 | |
More honest than most politicians | 33% | 34% | -1 |
Malcolm Turnbull’s key attributes were intelligent (72%, no change since February), out of touch with ordinary people (65%, no change), hard working (59%, down 2%) and arrogant (55%, down 1%).
There have mostly only been small changes in perceptions since February. The largest changes have been for visionary (up 4%) and aggressive (up 3%).
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten?
Total | Feb 2017 | Change | ||
Hard working | 59% | 61% | -2 | |
Intelligent | 58% | 60% | -2 | |
Understands the problems facing Australia | 48% | 48% | – | |
Out of touch with ordinary people | 47% | 47% | – | |
Superficial | 44% | 46% | -2 | |
Arrogant | 42% | 44% | -2 | |
Narrow-minded | 42% | 42% | – | |
Erratic | 40% | 38% | +2 | |
A capable leader | 39% | 43% | -4 | |
Good in a crisis | 35% | 37% | -2 | |
Aggressive | 35% | 35% | – | |
Intolerant | 34% | 36% | -2 | |
Trustworthy | 31% | 32% | -1 | |
Visionary | 29% | 29% | – | |
More honest than most politicians | 26% | 29% | -3 |
Bill Shorten’s key attributes were hard working (59%, down 2% since February), intelligent (58%, down 2%), understands the problems facing Australia (48%, no change) and out of touch with ordinary people (47%, no change).
Malcolm Turnbull | Bill Shorten | Difference | ||
Out of touch with ordinary people | 65% | 47% | +18 | |
Intelligent | 72% | 58% | +14 | |
Arrogant | 55% | 42% | +13 | |
A capable leader | 50% | 39% | +11 | |
Good in a crisis | 45% | 35% | +10 | |
Superficial | 52% | 44% | +8 | |
More honest than most politicians | 33% | 26% | +7 | |
Narrow-minded | 47% | 42% | +5 | |
Visionary | 34% | 29% | +5 | |
Trustworthy | 35% | 31% | +4 | |
Intolerant | 37% | 34% | +3 | |
Hard-working | 59% | 59% | – | |
Aggressive | 34% | 35% | -1 | |
Erratic | 36% | 40% | -4 | |
Understands the problems facing Australia | 43% | 48% | -5 |
Compared to Bill Shorten, Malcolm Turnbull is more likely to be considered out of touch with ordinary people (+18), intelligent (+14), arrogant (+13), a capable leader (+11) and good in a crisis (+10).
Q. Which party leader would you –
Malcolm Turnbull | Bill Shorten | Don’t know | |
Ask advice about investing money | 51% | 11% | 38% |
Most trust to give your children advice about the future | 33% | 17% | 50% |
Most like to have over for dinner | 36% | 24% | 40% |
Most like to go on holiday with | 24% | 19% | 57% |
Prefer to have negotiate your next pay rise | 31% | 32% | 37% |
Most trust to cook a good meal | 23% | 21% | 56% |
Most like to go to the footy with | 25% | 26% | 49% |
Most like to have babysit your children | 22% | 21% | 57% |
Ask their advice about a personal issue | 21% | 21% | 58% |
Most trust to look after your pet | 18% | 23% | 59% |
Most like to go to the pub for a beer with | 24% | 32% | 44% |
Think would be more likely to lend you $100 if you needed it | 27% | 33% | 41% |
Ask to help you with home renovations | 14% | 26% | 60% |
Think would be more likely to stop and help if your car was stranded | 21% | 35% | 43% |
Gave answer (excluding “don’t know”) | Malcolm Turnbull | Bill Shorten | Difference | Difference (May 2016) |
Ask advice about investing money | 82% | 18% | +64 | +66 |
Most trust to give your children advice about the future | 65% | 35% | +30 | +34 |
Most like to have over for dinner | 60% | 40% | +20 | +26 |
Most like to go on holiday with | 56% | 44% | +12 | +20 |
Most trust to cook a good meal | 53% | 47% | +6 | +12 |
Most like to have babysit your children | 51% | 49% | +2 | +2 |
Most like to go to the footy with | 48% | 52% | -4 | +2 |
Prefer to have negotiate your next pay rise | 49% | 51% | -2 | +14 |
Ask their advice about a personal issue | 50% | 50% | – | +2 |
Think would be more likely to lend you $100 if you needed it | 45% | 55% | -10 | -8 |
Most trust to look after your pet | 44% | 56% | -12 | -6 |
Most like to go to the pub for a beer with | 43% | 57% | -14 | -8 |
Think would be more likely to stop and help if your car was stranded | 38% | 62% | -24 | -28 |
Ask to help you with home renovations | 36% | 64% | -28 | -18 |
Malcolm Turnbull was preferred as a better source of advice investing money, giving advice to children about the future, and having over for dinner.
Bill Shorten was more trusted to help with home renovations, to help if your car was stranded, and to go to the pub for a beer.
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
Liberal | Labor | Don’t know | Differe-nce | Difference
Dec 2016 |
||
Security and the war on terrorism | 41% | 21% | 38% | +20 | +17 | |
Management of the economy | 40% | 25% | 34% | +15 | +14 | |
Controlling interest rates | 34% | 24% | 42% | +10 | +7 | |
Political leadership | 35% | 27% | 38% | +8 | +6 | |
Managing population growth | 30% | 24% | 46% | +6 | +7 | |
Treatment of asylum seekers | 31% | 30% | 39% | +1 | +6 | |
Ensuring a quality water supply | 27% | 32% | 41% | -5 | -3 | |
Ensuring a fair taxation system | 27% | 37% | 36% | -10 | -1 | |
Ensuring a quality education for all children | 29% | 40% | 31% | -11 | -11 | |
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system | 28% | 39% | 33% | -11 | -12 | |
Housing affordability | 24% | 36% | 40% | -12 | -9 | |
Protecting Australian jobs and protection of local industries | 26% | 39% | 34% | -13 | -9 | |
A fair industrial relations system | 27% | 41% | 32% | -14 | -7 | |
Protecting the environment | 23% | 37% | 40% | -14 | -14 | |
Addressing climate change | 23% | 39% | 39% | -16 | -14 |
The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle security and the war on terrorism (+20, up 3 from December) and management of the economy (+15, up 1).
The Labor Party is trusted more to handle addressing climate change (+16, up 2), protecting the environment (+14, no change), and a fair industrial relations system (+14, up 7).
Since this question was asked in December, the Liberal party has improved its position against the Labor party on security and the war on terrorism (up 3) and controlling interest rates (up 3). The Labor Party has improved its position against the Liberal Party on ensuring a fair taxation system (up 9), a fair industrial relations system (up 7), treatment of asylum seekers (up 5) and protecting Australian jobs and local industries (up 4).
Q. Would you support or oppose introducing the following requirement concerning political donation?
Total support | Total oppose | Strongly support | Support | Oppose | Strongly oppose | Don’t know | Total support (Nov 2016) | Total oppose (Nov 2016) | ||
All politicians to publicly disclose meetings with representatives of companies, donors or unions | 79% | 6% | 45% | 34% | 5% | 1% | 16% | 77% | 6% | |
Political donations to be reported immediately by political parties, compared to annual reports at the moment | 78% | 5% | 45% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 17% | 73% | 6% | |
A ban on foreign donations | 64% | 15% | 43% | 21% | 12% | 3% | 21% | 66% | 12% | |
A cap on donations of $5000 | 61% | 15% | 32% | 29% | 12% | 3% | 24% | 61% | 13% | |
A ban on political donations by companies and unions | 60% | 16% | 31% | 29% | 13% | 3% | 24% | 59% | 16% | |
All donations banned and all political party spending to be taxpayer funded | 30% | 46% | 15% | 15% | 20% | 26% | 24% | 25% | 49% |
Support by party preference | Total support | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | |
All politicians to publicly disclose meetings with representatives of companies, donors or unions | 79% | 84% | 77% | 87% | 86% | |
Political donations to be reported immediately by political parties, compared to annual reports at the moment | 78% | 82% | 78% | 88% | 85% | |
A ban on foreign donations | 64% | 66% | 63% | 69% | 81% | |
A cap on donations of $5000 | 61% | 63% | 57% | 73% | 72% | |
A ban on political donations by companies and unions | 60% | 61% | 62% | 70% | 67% | |
All donations banned and all political party spending to be taxpayer funded | 30% | 33% | 30% | 37% | 29% |
There was majority support for all listed reforms except taxpayer funding for political parties (30% support/46% oppose). However, support for this reform has increased by 5% since it was last asked in November.
There was particularly strong support for public disclosure of meetings (79%, up 2% from November) and immediate reporting of donations (78%, up 5%).
Labor voters were a little more supportive than Liberal/National voters of all reforms listed, with the exception of a ban on political donations by companies and unions.
Greens voters were more supportive than Liberal/National voters and Labor voters for all of the reforms.
Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
“Climate change policy is one of the most important issues in determining my vote at Federal elections”
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Total agree | 40% | 51% | 31% | 77% | 24% | |
Total disagree | 30% | 24% | 37% | 6% | 51% | |
Strongly agree | 16% | 19% | 8% | 46% | 12% | |
Agree | 24% | 32% | 23% | 31% | 12% | |
Neither agree not disagree | 24% | 22% | 27% | 16% | 21% | |
Disagree | 14% | 13% | 19% | 4% | 16% | |
Strongly disagree | 16% | 11% | 18% | 2% | 35% | |
Don’t know | 7% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
40% agreed that climate change policy is one of the most important issues for them when determining their vote at a federal election, and 30% disagreed.
The statement was agreed with by a majority of Greens voters (77% agree) and Labor voters (51% agree).
More Liberal/National voters disagreed with the statement than agreed with it (31% agree, 37% disagree), and a majority of independent and other party voters disagreed (51% disagree).
Outside of voting intention, those most likely to agree with the statement were those with a University degree (50% agree), those aged 18-29 (49%) and Victorians (47%). Those most likely to disagree with the statement were those aged 65+ (42% disagree) and Western Australians (40%).