Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 13/6/17 | 2 weeks ago 6/5/17 | 4 weeks ago 23/5/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 35% | 35% | 36% | 34% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 38% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 35% | 36% | 37% | 37% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | |||
| Other/Independent | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 48% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 52% | 52% | 52% | 54% | 49.6% |
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | May 2017 | Apr 2017 | Mar 2017 | Feb 2017 | Jan 2017 | Dec 2016 | June 2016 | Dec 2015 | |||
| Total Approve | 36% | 22% | 69% | 22% | 17% | 37% | 35% | 33% | 34% | 37% | 34% | 38% | 56% | ||
| Total Disapprove | 45% | 64% | 20% | 57% | 68% | 48% | 47% | 50% | 49% | 48% | 46% | 40% | 23% | ||
| Strongly approve | 5% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 13% | ||
| Approve | 31% | 18% | 59% | 21% | 15% | 32% | 30% | 28% | 29% | 31% | 29% | 32% | 43% | ||
| Disapprove | 28% | 39% | 16% | 39% | 39% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 28% | 30% | 30% | 24% | 16% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 25% | 4% | 18% | 29% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 7% | ||
| Don’t know | 19% | 15% | 12% | 21% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
36% approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister (down 1% from last month), and 45% disapproved (down 3% from last month).
69% of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing, compared to 22% of ALP and Greens voters.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | May 2017 | Apr 2017 | Mar 2017 | Feb 2017 | Jan 2017 | Dec 2016 | Dec 2015 | Dec 2014 | |||
| Total Approve | 34% | 60% | 24% | 32% | 17% | 34% | 33% | 30% | 30% | 37% | 35% | 27% | 35% | ||
| Total Disapprove | 43% | 20% | 61% | 39% | 66% | 45% | 46% | 49% | 47% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 39% | ||
| Strongly approve | 5% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Approve | 29% | 50% | 22% | 31% | 14% | 28% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 28% | ||
| Disapprove | 28% | 17% | 38% | 32% | 33% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 25% | 21% | 26% | 23% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 15% | 3% | 23% | 7% | 33% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 16% | ||
| Don’t know | 23% | 20% | 14% | 29% | 18% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 26% |
34% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Prime Minister (no change from last month), and 43% disapproved (down 2%).
60% of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 32% of Greens voters and 24% of Liberal/National voters.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | May 2017 | Apr 2017 | Mar 2017 | Feb 2017 | Jan 2017 | Dec 2016 | Jun 2016 | Dec 2015 | |||
| Malcolm Turnbull | 39% | 17% | 73% | 31% | 33% | 39% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 39% | 39% | 40% | 54% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 26% | 55% | 9% | 35% | 16% | 31% | 28% | 26% | 25% | 28% | 28% | 29% | 15% | ||
| Don’t know | 34% | 28% | 18% | 34% | 51% | 30% | 32% | 36% | 36% | 33% | 33% | 32% | 31% |
39% thought that Malcolm Turnbull would make a better Prime Minister (unchanged from last month), and 26% thought Bill Shorten would be better (down 5%). 34% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister (up 4%).
The results were split by party, with 73% of Liberal/National voters saying that Malcolm Turnbull would be a better Prime Minister, and 55% of ALP voters saying the Bill Shorten would.
Greens voters narrowly preferred Bill Shorten (35% preferred) to Turnbull (31%).
Q. Thinking about Federal elections, which of the following best describes you how you vote?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | Nov 2012 |
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| I usually vote for the same party but have voted for another party occasionally | 34% | 33% | 43% | 32% | 28% | 36% | |
| I always vote for the same party | 27% | 43% | 30% | 22% | 11% | 30% | |
| I don’t have any usual party preference and just decide who to vote for each election on its own | 18% | 12% | 12% | 19% | 37% | 13% | |
| I often switch my vote between Labor and Liberals or Nationals. | 6% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 9% | |
| I often switch my vote between a major party (Labor or Liberal) and a minor party (e.g. Greens) or an independent | 6% | 5% | 1% | 21% | 15% | 5% | |
| Don’t know | 9% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 8% |
34% said they usually vote for the same party but have voted for another party occasionally (down 2% since this question was last asked in November 2012). Liberal/National voters (43%) were more likely to say this than ALP voters (33%) and Greens voters (32%).
27% said they always vote for the same party (down 3%). ALP voters (43%) were more likely to say this than Liberal/National voters (30%) and Greens voters (22%).
Q. Thinking about last month’s Federal budget, has the contents of the budget improved or worsened your overall perception of the Government?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Total improved | 17% | 15% | 29% | 13% | 9% | |
| Total worsened | 30% | 39% | 15% | 35% | 51% | |
| Much improved | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 3% | |
| Slightly improved | 13% | 11% | 23% | 9% | 6% | |
| No difference | 40% | 39% | 48% | 42% | 33% | |
| Slightly worsened | 18% | 21% | 11% | 23% | 28% | |
| Much worsened | 12% | 18% | 4% | 12% | 23% | |
| Don’t know | 13% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% |
17% said the Federal budget had improved their overall perception of the Government, and 30% said it had worsened their perception.
Those most likely to say the Federal budget had improved their overall perception of the Government were Liberal/National voters (29%), 18-34 year olds (22%), and those earning over $104k/year (22%).
Those most likely to say the Federal budget had worsened their overall perception of the Government were other party/independent voters (51%), 45-54 year olds (41%), and ALP voters (39%).
Q. Would you support a clean energy target to support investment in new energy supply and to reduce carbon emissions if it resulted in energy prices increasing by the following amounts?
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Total support | Total oppose | Strongly support | Support | Neither support nor oppose | Oppose | Strongly oppose | Don’t know | |
| No change to prices | 75% | 6% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 3% | 3% | 7% | |
| Prices rise by 5% | 41% | 32% | 12% | 29% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 7% | |
| Prices rise by 10% | 21% | 50% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 28% | 8% | |
| Prices rise by 20% | 8% | 67% | 3% | 5% | 17% | 23% | 44% | 8% | |
| Prices rise by more than 20% | 7% | 73% | 2% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 54% | 8% |
75% would support a clean energy target if it did not result in an increase to energy prices, and 41% would support it if the price rise was limited to 5%. A majority would oppose a clean energy target which resulted in any greater increase in energy prices.
18-24 year olds were willing to accept greater increases in energy prices, with 38% supporting a clean energy target which raised prices by 10% and only 28% opposing it, as were Greens voters (48% support and 25% oppose)
Those aged 65+ were less willing to accept any increase in energy prices, with 36% supporting a clean energy target with raised energy prices by 5%, and 44% opposing.
Q. Would you prefer the construction of a new coal-fired power station, or more investment in renewable sources (such as solar and wind power), to meet Australia’s future energy supply needs?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | ||
| Prefer coal-fired power plant | 18% | 12% | 26% | 1% | 30% | |
| Prefer more investment in renewable sources | 64% | 75% | 57% | 90% | 55% | |
| Don’t know | 18% | 14% | 17% | 10% | 15% |
64% would prefer investment in renewable energy sources to meet future energy supply needs, and 18% would prefer new coal-fired power plants. 18% did not know which they preferred.
Those most likely to prefer investment in renewable energy sources were Greens voters (90% prefer), 18-24 year olds (76%), and ALP voters (75%).
While a majority of all demographic groups preferred more investment in renewable energy sources, those most likely to prefer the construction of new coal-fired power plants were those aged 65+ (31% prefer), other party/independent voters (30%) and Liberal/National voters (26%).