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  • May, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,857

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 43% 43% 44%
    National 3% 3% 4% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 47% 47% 47%
    Labor 38.0 36% 35% 35% 35%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 9%
    Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 8% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 54% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 47% 46% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,837

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 43% 43% 43%
    National 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 46% 47% 47%
    Labor 38.0 37% 35% 35% 35%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11% 11% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 8% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 53% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 47% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,908

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 44% 43% 43% 43%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 46% 46% 47%
    Labor 38.0 36% 36% 35% 35%
    Greens 11.8 10% 10% 11% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 53% 53% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 47% 47% 47% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Apr, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,925

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 45% 43% 43% 43%
    National 2% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 46% 46% 46%
    Labor 38.0 35% 37% 36% 35%
    Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6 8% 7% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 52% 53% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 48% 47% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Apr, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,860

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 44% 44% 43% 43%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 46% 46% 46%
    Labor 38.0 36% 36% 37% 36%
    Greens 11.8 10% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 8% 7% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 53% 53% 52% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 47% 47% 48% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size =1,917

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 42% 45% 44% 43%
    National 3% 2% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 47% 46% 46%
    Labor 38.0 37% 35% 36% 37%
    Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 8% 8% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 54% 53% 52%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 46% 47% 48%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Mar, 2011

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    Updated: NSW State Voting Intention

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    First preference /leaning to Total Men Women Sydney Other NSW Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+
    Sample 971 481 490 622 349 309 391 271
    Labor 23% 23% 24% 20% 29% 21% 24% 25%
    Liberal/National 55% 56% 53% 60% 46% 55% 54% 55%
    Greens 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 14% 9% 9%
    Independent/Other 11% 10% 12% 10% 15% 10% 13% 11%
    2PP
    Labor 34% 33% 35% 29% 42% 32% 35% 34%
    Liberal/National 66% 67% 65% 71% 58% 68% 65% 66%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 3-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by separately distributing the votes of the Greens and the Independents/other parties according to their preferences at the previous election. This calculation excludes exhausted votes.

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  • Mar, 2011

    , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,947

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 40% 44% 45% 44%
    National 3% 3% 2% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 43% 47% 47% 46%
    Labor 38.0 39% 36% 35% 36%
    Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 49% 53% 54% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 51% 47% 46% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

    Comments »

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