Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18%

52% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 30% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 4% and disapproval by 3% – “don’t know” has dropped from 26% to 18%. 89% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 25% approve and 64% disapprove.

There were substantial differences by gender – men 50% approve/36% disapprove and women  54% approve/25% disapprove.

Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 19, 2010

 Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

28 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

5 Jul 10

Julia Gillard 50% 91% 8% 71%   47% 49% 53%
Tony Abbott 27% 2% 70% 4%   30% 29% 26%
Don’t know 23% 7% 21% 25%   23% 22% 21%

 50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.

 Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 5, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,797 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 38% 37% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 40% 40% 39% 39%
Labor 47% 37% 38% 42% 42%
Greens 8% 12% 11% 9% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 8% 7% 6%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 46% 46%
Labor 57% 52% 52% 54% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 5, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26%

After one week as Prime Minister, 48% approve of Julia Gillard’s performance and 27% disapprove. 26% could not give an opinion. Julia Gillard’s approval rating is 7% higher than Kevin Rudd’s last result and 20% lower on the disapproval rating.

85% of Labor voters approved and 4% disapproved. Liberal/National voters split 19% approve and 54% disapprove.

Men split 46% approve/31% disapprove and women 50% approve/23% disapprove. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 5, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

28 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 94% 12% 72% 47% 49%
Tony Abbott 26% 2% 70% 3% 30% 29%
Don’t know 21% 4% 18% 24% 23% 22%

53% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – somewhat better than Kevin Rudd’s last result of 47%/30% and also better than last week’s figures for Julia Gillard just after she became Prime Minister.

Men prefer Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 48% to 31% and women 57%/22%. Comments »

Attributes to describe the Prime Minister

Jul 5, 2010

Q.  Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
10 May 10 5 Jul 10 Difference
Intelligent 73% 87% +14
Hard-working 76% 89% +13
A capable leader 55% 72% +17
Demanding 69% 58% -11
Arrogant 57% 37% -20
Out of touch with ordinary people 55% 35% -20
Understands the problems facing Australia 53% 68% +15
Visionary 37% 48% +11
Superficial 52% 35% -17
Good in a crisis 44% 61% +17
Narrow-minded 43% 28% -15
Down to earth 47% 68% +21
Too inflexible 45% 26% -19
Complacent 38% 27% -11
More honest than most politicians 39% 45% +6
Trustworthy 41% 49% +8

Julia Gillard’s key attributes are – intelligent, hard-working, a capable leader, understands the problems facing Australia and down to earth.

Compared to the previous measures for Kevin Rudd, Julia Gillard scores considerably higher on positive attributes – especially down to earth (+21), and a capable leader (+17) – and considerably lower on out of touch (-20), arrogant (-20) and too inflexible (-19). Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jun 28, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,803sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 39% 38% 37% 36%
National 3% 2% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 41% 41% 40% 39%
Labor 47% 39% 35% 38% 42%
Greens 8% 9% 14% 11% 9%
Family First 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Other/Independent 6% 8% 8% 8% 7%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 49% 49% 48% 46%
Labor 57% 51% 51% 52% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

Changing Leaders – Approval

Jun 28, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Julia Gillard replacing Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party and Prime Minister?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat
Total approve 47% 68% 36%
Total disapprove 40% 23% 60%
Strongly approve 15% 27% 10%
Approve 32% 41% 26%
Disapprove 19% 11% 26%
Strongly disapprove 21% 12% 34%
Don’t know 12% 9% 5%

Sample = 818

47% approved the change from Kevin Rudd to Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 40% disapproved. Opinions reflected political party preferences. Labor voters strongly approved the change by 68% to 23% while 60% of Liberal/National voters disapproved and 36% approved. There were no significant differences by gender. However, older respondents were more likely to approve than younger respondents – 55% of those aged 55+ approved and 37% disapproved. Comments »

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.