Approval of Julia Gillard
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | |||||||
| 30 Mar 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 29 Mar 10 | 31 May 10 | 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | |
| Total approve | 71% | 62% | 66% | 57% | 53% | 41% | 48% | 52% |
| Total disapprove | 21% | 29% | 23% | 32% | 36% | 47% | 27% | 30% |
| Strongly approve | 21% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 11% |
| Approve | 50% | 48% | 51% | 47% | 41% | 34% | 34% | 41% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 13% | 17% |
| Strongly disapprove | 7% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 13% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 26% | 18% |
52% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 30% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 4% and disapproval by 3% – “don’t know” has dropped from 26% to 18%. 89% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 25% approve and 64% disapprove.
There were substantial differences by gender – men 50% approve/36% disapprove and women 54% approve/25% disapprove.
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
28 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
5 Jul 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 50% | 91% | 8% | 71% | 47% | 49% | 53% | |
| Tony Abbott | 27% | 2% | 70% | 4% | 30% | 29% | 26% | |
| Don’t know | 23% | 7% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 21% |
50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.
Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,797 sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 34% | 38% | 37% | 36% | 36% |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 40% | 40% | 39% | 39% |
| Labor | 47% | 37% | 38% | 42% | 42% |
| Greens | 8% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 11% |
| Family First | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 43% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 46% |
| Labor | 57% | 52% | 52% | 54% | 54% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
Approval of Julia Gillard
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | ||||||
| 30 Mar 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 29 Mar 10 | 31 May 10 | 5 Jul 10 | |
| Total approve | 71% | 62% | 66% | 57% | 53% | 41% | 48% |
| Total disapprove | 21% | 29% | 23% | 32% | 36% | 47% | 27% |
| Strongly approve | 21% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 14% |
| Approve | 50% | 48% | 51% | 47% | 41% | 34% | 34% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 13% |
| Strongly disapprove | 7% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 14% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 26% |
After one week as Prime Minister, 48% approve of Julia Gillard’s performance and 27% disapprove. 26% could not give an opinion. Julia Gillard’s approval rating is 7% higher than Kevin Rudd’s last result and 20% lower on the disapproval rating.
85% of Labor voters approved and 4% disapproved. Liberal/National voters split 19% approve and 54% disapprove.
Men split 46% approve/31% disapprove and women 50% approve/23% disapprove. Comments »
Better Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
28 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 94% | 12% | 72% | 47% | 49% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 2% | 70% | 3% | 30% | 29% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 4% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 22% |
53% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – somewhat better than Kevin Rudd’s last result of 47%/30% and also better than last week’s figures for Julia Gillard just after she became Prime Minister.
Men prefer Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 48% to 31% and women 57%/22%. Comments »
Attributes to describe the Prime Minister
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Julia Gillard?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | ||
| 10 May 10 | 5 Jul 10 | Difference | |
| Intelligent | 73% | 87% | +14 |
| Hard-working | 76% | 89% | +13 |
| A capable leader | 55% | 72% | +17 |
| Demanding | 69% | 58% | -11 |
| Arrogant | 57% | 37% | -20 |
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 55% | 35% | -20 |
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 53% | 68% | +15 |
| Visionary | 37% | 48% | +11 |
| Superficial | 52% | 35% | -17 |
| Good in a crisis | 44% | 61% | +17 |
| Narrow-minded | 43% | 28% | -15 |
| Down to earth | 47% | 68% | +21 |
| Too inflexible | 45% | 26% | -19 |
| Complacent | 38% | 27% | -11 |
| More honest than most politicians | 39% | 45% | +6 |
| Trustworthy | 41% | 49% | +8 |
Julia Gillard’s key attributes are – intelligent, hard-working, a capable leader, understands the problems facing Australia and down to earth.
Compared to the previous measures for Kevin Rudd, Julia Gillard scores considerably higher on positive attributes – especially down to earth (+21), and a capable leader (+17) – and considerably lower on out of touch (-20), arrogant (-20) and too inflexible (-19). Comments »
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
1,803sample size
| First preference/leaning to | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Liberal | 34% | 39% | 38% | 37% | 36% |
| National | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 39% |
| Labor | 47% | 39% | 35% | 38% | 42% |
| Greens | 8% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 9% |
| Family First | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Other/Independent | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| 2PP | 6 months ago | 4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week
|
| Total Lib/Nat | 43% | 49% | 49% | 48% | 46% |
| Labor | 57% | 51% | 51% | 52% | 54% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.
* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »
Changing Leaders – Approval
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Julia Gillard replacing Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party and Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | |
| Total approve | 47% | 68% | 36% |
| Total disapprove | 40% | 23% | 60% |
| Strongly approve | 15% | 27% | 10% |
| Approve | 32% | 41% | 26% |
| Disapprove | 19% | 11% | 26% |
| Strongly disapprove | 21% | 12% | 34% |
| Don’t know | 12% | 9% | 5% |
Sample = 818
47% approved the change from Kevin Rudd to Julia Gillard as Prime Minister and 40% disapproved. Opinions reflected political party preferences. Labor voters strongly approved the change by 68% to 23% while 60% of Liberal/National voters disapproved and 36% approved. There were no significant differences by gender. However, older respondents were more likely to approve than younger respondents – 55% of those aged 55+ approved and 37% disapproved. Comments »
Essential Report
Two Party Preferred: 14 May 2019
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