Better Prime Minister

Aug 16, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10 9 Aug 10 16 Ag 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 48% 45% 46% 92% 8% 71%   47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 30% 33% 35% 3% 77% 3%   30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 22% 21% 19% 5% 15% 26%   23%

 46% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 35% prefer Tony Abbott – a similar margin to last week.

 Julia Gillard is preferred 92% to 3% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 77% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 3%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 45%/39% and women 48%/31%. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 9, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
29 Mar 31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug
Total approve 53% 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45%
Total disapprove 36% 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40%
Strongly approve 12% 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13%
Approve 41% 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32%
Disapprove 22% 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24%
Strongly disapprove 14% 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16%
Don’t know 12% 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15%

45% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 40% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has decreased by 1% and disapproval increased by 2%. 87% of Labor voters approve and only 5% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 14% approve and 77% disapprove.

By gender – men 42% approve/45% disapprove and women 47% approve/34% disapprove. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Aug 9, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10 9 Aug 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 48% 45% 90% 6% 70%   47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 30% 33% 3% 78% 4%   30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 22% 21% 8% 15% 25%   23%

 45% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 33% prefer Tony Abbott – a narrowing of the gap between the two (from 18% to 12%) since polled last week.

 Julia Gillard is preferred 90% to 3% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 78% to 6% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 70% to 4%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 41%/39% and women 49%/28%. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Aug 2, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52% 49% 46%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30% 33% 38%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11% 12% 10%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41% 37% 36%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17% 19% 23%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13% 14% 15%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18% 17% 15%

46% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 38% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has decreased by 3% and disapproval increased by 5%. 87% of Labor voters approve and only 5% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 11% approve and 77% disapprove.

By gender – men 44% approve/44% disapprove and women 48% approve/33% disapprove. Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 26, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 94% 9% 74% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 2% 69% 6% 30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 5% 22% 20% 23%

51% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight widening of the gap between the two (from 23% to 25%) since polled last week.

Julia Gillard is preferred 94% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 69% to 9% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 74% to 6%.

Men prefer Julia Gillard 50%/29% and women 51%/23%. Comments »

Approval of Julia Gillard

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
30 Mar 09 29 Jun 09 28 Sept 09 14 Dec 09 29 Mar 10 31 May 10 5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10
Total approve 71% 62% 66% 57% 53% 41% 48% 52%
Total disapprove 21% 29% 23% 32% 36% 47% 27% 30%
Strongly approve 21% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 14% 11%
Approve 50% 48% 51% 47% 41% 34% 34% 41%
Disapprove 14% 18% 17% 20% 22% 25% 13% 17%
Strongly disapprove 7% 9% 6% 12% 14% 22% 14% 13%
Don’t know 9% 11% 11% 10% 12% 12% 26% 18%

52% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 30% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 4% and disapproval by 3% – “don’t know” has dropped from 26% to 18%. 89% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 25% approve and 64% disapprove.

There were substantial differences by gender – men 50% approve/36% disapprove and women  54% approve/25% disapprove.

Comments »

Better Prime Minister

Jul 19, 2010

 Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens   Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

28 Jun 10

Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott

5 Jul 10

Julia Gillard 50% 91% 8% 71%   47% 49% 53%
Tony Abbott 27% 2% 70% 4%   30% 29% 26%
Don’t know 23% 7% 21% 25%   23% 22% 21%

 50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.

 Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.

 Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »

Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 5, 2010

Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?

Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?

1,797 sample size

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Liberal 34% 38% 37% 36% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 37% 40% 40% 39% 39%
Labor 47% 37% 38% 42% 42%
Greens 8% 12% 11% 9% 11%
Family First 2% 3% 3% 3% 2%
Other/Independent 6% 7% 8% 7% 6%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week

Total Lib/Nat 43% 48% 48% 46% 46%
Labor 57% 52% 52% 54% 54%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.

* Sample is the aggregation of two weeks’ polling data. Comments »

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