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  • Feb, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1042 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 44% 44% 45%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 47% 48%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 33% 34% 33%
    Greens 11.8% 10% 11% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 7% 9% 9% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 55%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,906 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 44% 44% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 47% 47%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 34% 33% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 11% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 8% 9% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2012

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov 12 Dec 16 Jan 2012 13 Feb Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 39% 39% 41% 85% 5% 76%
    Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 35% 36% 34% 3% 73% 7%
    Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 26% 25% 25% 12% 22% 17%

    41% (up 2%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (down 2%) prefer Tony Abbott – a net change from +3% to +7% for Julia Gillard. This is Julia Gillard’s best result since May last year.

    Men prefer Julia Gillard 42%/37% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,899 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 45% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48% 47%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 35% 34%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jan, 2012

    , , , , , , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,896 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week

    This week
    Liberal 45% 45%
    National 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48%
    Labor 38.0% 35% 35%
    Greens 11.8% 9% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 46%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Support for Additional Assistance to Car Industry

    Q. Do you support or oppose the provision of additional assistance by Federal and State governments to ensure US motor companies continue to manufacture cars in Australia?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total support 58% 67% 63% 45%
    Total oppose 18% 16% 20% 22%
    Strongly support 14% 20% 14% 5%
    Support 44% 47% 49% 40%
    Oppose 12% 12% 14% 13%
    Strongly oppose 6% 4% 6% 9%
    Don’t know 23% 17% 17% 33%

    58% said they supported the provision of additional assistance to the Australian car industry and 18% were opposed.

    Support was highest among Labor voters (67%), aged 55+ (67%) and Victorians (68%).

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Estimate of Jobs in Car Industry

    Q. Do you know how many jobs are in the car industry in Australia?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    500,000 5% 8% 4% 3%
    200,000 9% 8% 10% 12%
    100,000 9% 9% 9% 11%
    50,000 9% 8% 11% 6%
    20,000 3% 4% 3% 5%
    Don’t know 66% 63% 64% 63%

    Only 9% correctly nominated 50,000 as the number of jobs in the car industry in Australia. 66% said they didn’t know and the rest of the responses were spread across all options – suggesting that most who gave an answer were probably guessing.

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  • Jan, 2012

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    Support for Car Industry Jobs

    Q. In fact, the car industry in Australia directly supports about 50,000 jobs. Do you support or oppose the current levels of assistance to support these jobs?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total support 68% 75% 72% 56%
    Total oppose 12% 9% 13% 17%
    Strongly support 14% 20% 13% 5%
    Support 54% 55% 59% 51%
    Oppose 9% 7% 9% 15%
    Strongly oppose 3% 2% 4% 2%
    Don’t know 20% 15% 15% 27%

    When provided with the information that there are about 50,000 jobs in the Australian car industry, 68% said the supported the current levels of assistance and 12% were opposed. More than 70% of both Labor and Liberal/National voters were in support and more than 60% of all demographic groups also supported the current level of assistance.

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