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  • Feb, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,906

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 42% 43% 41%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% 46% 44%
    Labor 38.0 38% 37% 38% 40%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7% 6%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% 51% 50%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 49% 49% 50%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister


    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 46% 47% 49% 45% 45% 47% 48% 89% 7% 81% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 35% 35% 33% 34% 34% 32% 31% 4% 73% 6% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 21% 21% 20% 8% 20% 16% 23%

    48% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 31% prefer Tony Abbott – a net increase for Julia Gillard of 2% on last month’s figures (from +15% to +17%).

    Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 45%/36% and women 52%/26%.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Climate Change and Natural Disasters

    Q. Does the extreme nature of the recent floods and cyclone make it more or less important for Australia to take action to address climate change or does it make no difference?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total more important 49% 60% 35% 83%
    Total no difference/less important 47% 38% 63% 14%
    Much more important 27% 35% 16% 59%
    A little more important 22% 25% 19% 24%
    Makes no difference 44% 37% 57% 12%
    A little less important 1% * 1% 2%
    Much less important 3% * 6%
    Don’t know 4% 2% 2% 4%

    49% believe that the extreme nature of the recent floods and cyclone make it more important for Australia to take action to address climate change and 47% think it makes no difference or is less important.

    Opinions tend to be related to voting intention – 60% of Labor voters and 83% of Greens voters believe it is more important, while 63% of Liberal/National voters think it makes no difference or is less important.  55% of respondents aged under 35 think it is more important compared to 39% of those aged 65+

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Disaster Relief Fund

    Q. Do you think the Government should set up a permanent disaster relief fund or do you think it is better for the Government to respond to disasters as they occur?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Set up permanent disaster fund 63% 64% 65% 67%
    Respond as disasters occur 29% 29% 31% 28%
    Don’t know 7% 7% 4% 4%

    63% believe the Government should set up a permanent disaster relief fund and 29% think it is better for the Government to respond to disasters as they occur.

    Opinions are similar across voting intention groups.  Older respondents are more likely to support a permanent disaster fund (74% of aged 55+ support). 68% of Queenslanders also support a permanent fund.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Opinion of NBN

    Q. From what you’ve heard, do you favour or oppose the planned national broadband network (NBN)?

    27 Sep 2010 14 Feb 2011 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total favour 56% 48% 65% 30% 71%
    Total oppose 18% 31% 12% 55% 13%
    Strongly favour 27% 19% 30% 8% 38%
    Favour 29% 29% 35% 22% 33%
    Oppose 12% 16% 8% 26% 8%
    Strongly oppose 6% 15% 4% 29% 5%
    Don’t know 26% 22% 22% 15% 15%

    48% favour the planned national broadband network and 31% oppose. This represents a significant drop in support for the NBN since this question was asked in September last year.

    By age, under 35’s favour the NBN by 46%/23% but those aged 55+ are split 42%/42%.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,936

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 42% 42% 43%
    National 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 45% 45% 46%
    Labor 38.0 37% 37% 38%
    Greens 11.8 11% 11% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 7% 7% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 51% 51% 51%
    Labor 50.1% 49% 49% 49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Feb, 2011

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    Comparison of Leader Attributes

    Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Difference
    Intelligent 75% 64% +11%
    Hard-working 76% 72% +4%
    A capable leader 52% 48% +4%
    Arrogant 44% 58% -14%
    Out of touch with ordinary people 50% 54% -4%
    Understands the problems facing Australia 52% 50% +2%
    Visionary 30% 27% +3%
    Superficial 51% 45% +6%
    Good in a crisis 46% 41% +5%
    Narrow-minded 43% 51% -8%
    More honest than most politicians 37% 31% +6%
    Trustworthy 40% 34% +6%

    Julia Gillard leads Tony Abbott on all positive attributes and Tony Abbott leads on all negative attributes except for superficial (Gillard 51%/Abbott 45%).

    The main differences between the leaders were for arrogant (Gillard 44%/Abbott 58%), intelligent (75%/64%) and narrow-minded (43%/51%).

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  • Jan, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,906

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 43% 42% 42%
    National 3% 3% 3%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 46% 45% 45%
    Labor 38.0 38% 37% 37%
    Greens 11.8 10% 11% 11%
    Other/Independent 6.6 6% 7% 7%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 52% 51% 51%
    Labor 50.1% 48% 49% 49%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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