Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 28, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,933 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week

21/1/14

This week

28/1/14

Liberal

 

40%

40%

National

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

43%

42%

Labor

33.4%

37%

36%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week

21/1/14

This week

28/1/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

50%

Labor

46.5%

49%

50%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Federal politics – voting intention

Dec 3, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,799respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

7/11/12

2 weeks ago

19/11/12

Last week

26/11/12

This week

3/12/12

Liberal

43%

43%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

46%

46%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

37%

36%

36%

37%

Greens

11.8%

9%

10%

10%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

8%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

53%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

47%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 26, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size =  1,832 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

29/10/12

2 weeks ago

12/11/12

Last week

19/11/12

This week

Liberal

44%

42%

43%

44%

National

4%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

45%

46%

47%

Labor

38.0%

36%

37%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

7%

8%

9%

8%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

54%

52%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

46%

48%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 22, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,888 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

24/9/12

2 weeks ago

8/10/12

Last week

15/10/12

This week

22/10/12

Liberal

45%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

35%

37%

36%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

7%

8%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 15, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,924 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

17/9/12

2 weeks ago

1/10/12

Last week

8/10/12

This week

15/10/12

Liberal

45%

44%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

47%

47%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

36%

37%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

7%

7%

8%

 

2PP

Election
21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

53%

53%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

47%

47%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 2, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 2,089 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 3/09/2012

 

2 weeks ago 17/09/2012

Last week 24/09/2012

This week

Liberal

44%

45%

45%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

48%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

34%

34%

35%

36%

Greens

11.8%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

7%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 3/09/2012

2 weeks ago 17/09/2012

Last week

24/09/2012

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

55%

55%

53%

Labor

50.1%

45%

45%

45%

47%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 24, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1992 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

27/08/12

2 weeks ago

10/9/2012

Last week 17/09/2012

This week

Liberal

46%

44%

45%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

47%

48%

48%

Labor

38.0%

32%

34%

34%

35%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 27/08/12

2 weeks ago

10/9/2012

This week

17/09/2012

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 17, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 2,003 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

3/9/12

Last week

10/9/2012

This week

Liberal

46%

44%

44%

45%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

48%

47%

48%

Labor

38.0%

32%

34%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

9%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

3/9/12

Last week

10/9/2012

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

57%

55%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

43%

45%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 10, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 2,077 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

13/8/12

2 weeks ago

27/8/12

Last week

3/9/12

This week

10 Sept 2012

Liberal

46%

46%

44%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

48%

47%

Labor

38.0%

32%

32%

34%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

9%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

 

2 weeks ago

 

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

56%

55%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

44%

45%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Sep 3, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,871 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

6/8/12

2 weeks ago

20/8/12

Last week

27/8/12

This week

3/9/12

Liberal

46%

46%

46%

44%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

48%

Labor

38.0%

33%

32%

32%

34%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

9%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

9%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

56%

57%

56%

55%

Labor

50.1%

44%

43%

44%

45%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

Federal politics – voting intention

Aug 28, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,803 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

30/7/12

2 weeks ago

13/8/12

Last week

20/8/12

This week

27/8/12

Liberal

45%

46%

46%

46%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

43.6%

49%

49%

49%

49%

Labor

38.0%

33%

32%

32%

32%

Greens

11.8%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Other/Independent

6.6%

8%

8%

9%

9%

 

2PP

Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago

2 weeks ago

Last week

This week

Total Lib/Nat

49.9%

55%

56%

57%

56%

Labor

50.1%

45%

44%

43%

44%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

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