Approval of Bob Brown

Apr 23, 2012

Q. Last week Bob Brown resigned from Parliament and the leadership of the Greens, after 16 years as a member of the Senate. Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of Bob Brown over his 16 years in Parliament?

 

Total

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Total approve

42%

60%

24%

89%

Total disapprove

34%

15%

56%

1%

Strongly approve

9%

14%

3%

38%

Approve

33%

46%

21%

51%

Disapprove

19%

13%

29%

1%

Strongly disapprove

15%

2%

27%

-

Don’t know

24%

25%

20%

10

42% approve the performance of Bob Brown over his 16 years in Parliament and 34% disapprove. A majority of Greens voters (89%) and Labor voters (60%) approve but 56% of Liberal/National voters disapprove.

Men split 40% approve/41% disapprove compared to women 43% approve/28% disapprove.

By age group, approval/disapproval was 46%/21% for under 35’s, 43%/31% for 35-54’s and 35%/56% for 55+.

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2012 Outlook – Politicians

Dec 19, 2011

Q. Do you think 2012 will be a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

Total good

Dec 10

Total bad

Dec10

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 28% 36% 19% 56% 4% 15% 17% 29% 27% 9%
Tony Abbott 29% 27% 24% 38% 6% 18% 29% 24% 14% 10%
Kevin Rudd 21% 30% 30% 25% 5% 25% 35% 17% 8% 10%
Malcolm Turnbull 20% 21% 22% 22% 3% 19% 42% 17% 5% 14%
Bob Brown 20% 30% 16% 39% 2% 14% 31% 20% 19% 14%

Overall, there were negative expectations for the three party leaders – Julia Gillard (-37% net), Tony Abbott (-14%) and Bob Brown (-23%) while respondents were more evenly divided over Kevin Rudd (+5%) and Malcolm Turnbull (-).

45% of Labor voters expect Julia Gillard to have a good year and 47% of Liberal/National voters expect Tony Abbott to have a good year.

Compared to expectations 12 months ago, respondents were somewhat less positive about all party leaders – Julia Gillard has dropped form net -8% to net -37%, Tony Abbott from +2% to -14% and Bob Brown from -10% to -23%.

Comparing these results with last week’s questions, respondents expect 2012 to be similar 2011 for Julia Gillard (net -37% next year compared to -36% this year) and Tony Abbott (-14% next year, -17% this year). However, Bob Brown is expected to have a worse year in 2012 (net -23%) than this year (+5%).

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The Past Year – Politicians

Dec 12, 2011

Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

Total good

(Dec 10)

Total bad

(Dec 10)

Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 21% 57% 3% 18% 16% 35% 22% 6%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 32% 27% 8% 24% 26% 14% 13% 16%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 21% 38% 2% 19% 32% 25% 13% 8%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 17% 23% 2% 15% 45% 16% 7% 17%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 31% 30% 5% 26% 31% 22% 8% 7%

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
Julia Gillard 21% 57% 41% 36% 10% 77% 29% 43%
Bob Brown 32% 27% 37% 19% 25% 40% 66% 4%
Tony Abbott 21% 38% 9% 57% 39% 18% 7% 64%
Malcolm Turnbull 17% 23% 18% 21% 18% 23% 23% 22%
Kevin Rudd 31% 30% 37% 24% 31% 38% 29% 25%

Overall, only Bob Brown (32%/27%) was thought to have had a good year. Respondents were divided on whether Kevin Rudd has had a good year (31%/30%). Only 21% thought Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott had a good year in 2011. 2011 was considered worse than 2010 for each of the party leaders. Malcolm Turnbull and Kevin Rudd were considered to have had a somewhat better year compared to 2010.

Among their own voters thought, 66% (down 2%) thought Bob Brown had a good year, 41% (down 28%) thought Julia Gillard had a good year and 39% (down 5%) thought Tony Abbott has had a good year.

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Preferred Leader of the Labor Party

Aug 3, 2011

Q. If you were able to choose any politician to be leader of the Labor Party, which of the following would you prefer? (This question was commissioned by Network Ten).

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Kevin Rudd 37% 43% 36% 35% 40% 33% 40% 39% 30%
Julia Gillard 12% 31% 2% 24% 10% 13% 12% 12% 12%
Malcolm Turnbull 11% 6% 17% 7% 12% 10% 10% 9% 15%
Stephen Smith 7% 6% 9% 2% 7% 6% 3% 6% 12%
Bob Brown 3% 2% 2% 11% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4%
Greg Combet 2% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3%
Bill Shorten 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%
Don’t know 28% 9% 32% 18% 22% 33% 31% 28% 22%

37% of respondents prefer Kevin Rudd as leader of the Labor Party, 12% prefer Julia Gillard and 11% Malcolm Turnbull.

Among Labor voters, 43% prefer Kevin Rudd and 31% Julia Gillard.

Kevin Rudd is more preferred by younger respondents while those aged 55+ were more likely than the average to prefer Malcolm Turnbull (15%) and Stephen Smith (12%).

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2011 Outlook – Politicians

Dec 20, 2010

Q. Do you think 2011 will be a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

Total good Total poor Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 28% 36% 5% 23% 23% 26% 10% 12%
Tony Abbott 29% 27% 5% 24% 32% 20% 7% 13%
Kevin Rudd 21% 30% 3% 18% 35% 21% 9% 14%
Malcolm Turnbull 20% 21% 3% 17% 41% 17% 4% 18%
Bob Brown 20% 30% 4% 16% 31% 18% 12% 19%

There were no strong expectations one way or the other that 2011 would be good or bad for politicians.

Overall, there were negative expectations for Julia Gillard (-8% net), Kevin Rudd (-9%) and Bob Brown (-10%) while respondents were divided over Tony Abbott (+2%) and Malcolm Turnbull (-1%).

Comparing these results with last week’s questions, respondents expect 2011 to be worse than 2010 for Julia Gillard (net +24% in 2010 compared to

-8% in 2011) and Bob Brown (+17% in 2010/-10% in 2011).

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The Past Year – Politicians

Dec 13, 2010

 Q. Has it been a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

  Total good Total bad Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 14% 35% 22% 17% 8% 4%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 9% 29% 28% 11% 10% 13%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 4% 26% 32% 25% 8% 6%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 1% 9% 35% 30% 13% 11%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 2% 8% 15% 36% 34% 5%

 

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
  Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad Total good Total bad
Julia Gillard 49% 25% 69% 8% 36% 43% 57% 17%
Bob Brown 38% 21% 40% 17% 35% 31% 68% 6%
Tony Abbott 30% 33% 19% 45% 44% 21% 17% 54%
Malcolm Turnbull 10% 43% 6% 50% 15% 42% 6% 50%
Kevin Rudd 10% 70% 14% 64% 8% 81% 11% 73%

Overall, Julia Gillard (49% good/25% bad) and Bob Brown (38%/21%) are thought to have had a good year. Respondents were divided on whether Tony Abbott has had a good year (30%/33%).

A majority of their own voters thought Julia Gillard (69%) and Bob Brown (68%) have had a good year but only 44% of Liberal/National voters think Tony Abbott has had a good year. There is a substantial gender difference on the assessment of Tony Abbott – men split 37% good/30% bad and women 23% good/36% bad. Comments »

Party Best at Dealing with Climate Change Issue

Dec 6, 2010

Q. Which leader and party would you trust most to understand and deal with the climate change issue?

Dec 10 Dec 09 *
Julia Gillard and Labor 23% 24%
Tony Abbott and the Coalition 29% 27%
Bob Brown and Greens 19% 17%
Don’t know 29% 32%

* Note : Similar but not identical question asked in 2009.

29% trust Tony Abbott and the Coalition most to understand and deal with the climate change issue, 23% trust Julia Gillard and Labor and 19% trust Bob Brown and the Greens.

These figures are little changed since this question was previously asked in December 2009.

58% of Labor voters trust Labor most, 65% of Coalition voters trust the Liberals and 83% of Greens voters trust the Greens.

Of those who believe that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity, 31% trust the Greens, 27% Labor and 15% the Liberals.

Of those who believe that climate change is a very important issue, 38% trust the Greens, 31% Labor and 10% the Liberals.

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Reasons for Voting Preference

Aug 2, 2010

Q. What is the main reason you intend to vote for the Labor Party/Liberal or National Party/Greens?

  Labor   Liberal/ National   Greens
I always vote for the Labor Party 28% I always vote for the Liberal or National Party 19% I always vote for the Greens 8%
They have better policies 15% They have better policies 19% They have better policies 30%
They have been a good government 10% Labor have been a poor government 39% Labor have been a poor government 6%
I just don’t like the Liberals 11% I just don’t like Labor 9% I just don’t like the Liberals or Labor 28%
Julia Gillard is a better leader than Tony Abbott 32% Tony Abbott is a better leader than Julia Gillard 7% I like Bob Brown 3%
Other reason 4% Other reason 5% I don’t like Tony Abbott or Julia Gillard 14%
        Other reason 10%

Main reasons for voting Labor were a preference for Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott (32%) and party loyalty (28% said they always vote Labor). The leadership issue is more important for women – 40% of women said they were voting Labor because Julia Gillard is a better leader compared to 23% of men.

39% of Liberal/National voters say their main reason is that Labor have been a poor Government – and only 7% say leadership is their main reason.

Main reasons for voting for the Greens were “better policies” (30%) and a dislike of the major parties (28%). Only 6% say it is because Labor have been a poor Government. Comments »

Leaders and Australian Values

Jul 19, 2010

 Q. Do you agree or disagree that this definition of Australian values describes the political leaders Julia Gillard, Tony Abbott and Bob Brown?

  Julia Gillard Tony Abbott Bob Brown
Total agree 64% 39% 36%
Total disagree 18% 40% 31%
Strongly agree 21% 7% 8%
Agree 43% 32% 28%
Disagree 12% 25% 18%
Strongly disagree 6% 15% 13%
Don’t know 17% 21% 34%

64% agreed that the definition of Australian values describes Julia Gillard, 39% Tony Abbott and 36% Bob Brown.

Among their own voters – 90% of Labor voters agreed they describe Julia Gillard, 73% of Liberal/National voters agreed they describe Tony Abbott and 72% of Greens voters agreed they describe Bob Brown.

By gender – 62% of men and 68% of women agree they describe Julia Gillard and 43% of men and 34% of women agree they describe Tony Abbott. Comments »