Concern about Liberals Bringing Back WorkChoices

Nov 21, 2011

Q. If the Liberals won the election and reintroduced WorkChoices or similar laws, how concerned would you be?

31 May 10 12 July 10 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Very concerned 28% 29% 26% 53% 4% 54%
Quite concerned 17% 19% 15% 22% 11% 15%
A little concerned 20% 16% 20% 12% 24% 21%
Not concerned 24% 25% 27% 6% 52% 6%
Don’t know 11% 11% 11% 7% 9% 4%

Respondents were also less concerned about the re-introduction of WorkChoices than last year. 41% (down 7%) would be quite or very concerned if WorkChoices or similar laws were re-introduced and 47% (up 6%) were only a little or not concerned.

75% of Labor voters and 69% of Greens voters would be concerned. 76% of Liberal/National voters would be a little/not concerned and 15% concerned. Those most concerned were aged 25-34 (47%) and aged 45-54 (48%).

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Exporting Uranium to India

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the proposal for Australia to export uranium to India?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 30% 31% 35% 17%
Total oppose 45% 40% 47% 66%
Strongly support 7% 6% 10% 1%
Support 23% 25% 25% 16%
Oppose 24% 25% 25% 30%
Strongly oppose 21% 15% 22% 36%
Don’t know 25% 28% 17% 17%

30% support the proposal for Australia to export uranium to India and 45% oppose – 25% had no opinion. All voter groups were more likely to oppose the sale of uranium to India.

All age groups were more likely to oppose the proposal – and men were split 43% support to 41% oppose, compared to women 18% support/49% oppose.

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Nuclear Power Plants

Nov 21, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity?

27 Jan 2009 20 Dec 2010 21 Mar 2011 Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 43% 43% 35% 39% 31% 50% 27%
Total oppose 35% 37% 53% 45% 53% 37% 68%
Strongly support 14% 16% 12% 13% 7% 20% 9%
Support 29% 27% 23% 26% 24% 30% 18%
Oppose 21% 21% 21% 22% 27% 18% 25%
Strongly oppose 14% 16% 32% 23% 26% 19% 43%
Don’t know 22% 19% 13% 16% 16% 13% 6%

45% oppose Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity and 39% support. This is a considerable shift in opinion since this question was last asked in March following the problems with the nuclear power plants in Japan after the tsunami. However, there remains net opposition to nuclear power plants – compared to net support in surveys conducted in 2009 and 2010.

Those that intend to vote Lib/Nat were more likely to support (50%) than oppose (37%) Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

There was majority opposition from Labor (53% oppose or strongly oppose) and the Greens (68% oppose or strongly oppose).

There is a considerable difference between the attitudes of males and females towards nuclear power plants – 56% of males, compared to just 24% of females support or strongly support Australia developing nuclear power plants for the generation of electricity.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 14, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,898 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 44% 43% 44%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 47% 46% 47%
Labor 38.0% 33% 34% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8% 11% 10% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 9% 9% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 55% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 45% 45% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Better Prime Minister

Nov 14, 2011

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 2010 14 Mar 14 June 12 Sept 17 Oct 14 Nov Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard 53% 44% 41% 36% 38% 41% 83% 7% 80%
Tony Abbott 26% 33% 36% 40% 39% 36% 5% 73% 4%
Don’t know 21% 23% 24% 24% 23% 24% 12% 20% 17%

41% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 6% on last month’s figures (from -1% to +5%). This is the best result for Julia Gillard since June.

Men are evenly split 39%/39% and women favour Julia Gillard 42%/33%.

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Australia’s Future

Nov 14, 2011

Q. To which region do you think Australia’s future is most closely tied?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Europe 7% 6% 7% 5%
Asia 74% 81% 76% 82%
North America 9% 6% 10% 10%
Don’t know 10% 6% 8% 4%

74% think Australia’s future is most closely tied to Asia – only 9% think it is tied to North America and 7% Europe.

Views are similar across major voter groups. However, younger respondents were a little less likely to agree – 68% of those aged under 35 think Australia’s future is most closely tied to Asia compared to 81% of those aged 55+.

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Interests Represented by Parties

Nov 14, 2011

Q. Which political party do you think best represents the interests of –

Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know Net (Labor-

Liberal

Net

May 11

Families with young children 42% 31% 5% 23% +11 +3
Students 36% 26% 12% 27% +10 +2
Working people on average incomes 44% 33% 5% 18% +11 +8
Working people on low incomes 50% 25% 6% 19% +25 +16
Working people on high incomes 13% 67% 2% 18% -54 -50
People on welfare 46% 20% 9% 26% +26 +15
Pensioners 39% 27% 7% 27% +12 +5
Small businesses and self-employed 22% 51% 3% 24% -29 -27
Big business 11% 68% 1% 19% -57 -49
The next generation of Australians 21% 32% 17% 30% -11 -12
Indigenous people 28% 17% 19% 36% +11 +2
Ethnic communities 27% 19% 15% 39% +8 +1
Rural and regional Australians 22% 35% 12% 31% -13 -16

The Labor Party is considered the party which best represents the interests of families with young children, students, working people on low and average incomes, people on welfare and pensioners. The Liberal Party is considered substantially better at representing the interests of people on high incomes, big business and small business and self-employed. The Greens’ main strengths are in representing the next generation, indigenous people and ethnic communities.

Since this question was last asked in May, the Labor Party has considerably improved its position on representing the interests of families with young children, students, people on low incomes and people on welfare. The perception that the Liberal Party best represents the interest of big business has increased.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 7, 2011

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,906 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 45% 45% 44% 43%
National 3% 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48% 47% 46%
Labor 38.0% 33% 32% 34% 35%
Greens 11.8% 10% 11% 10% 9%
Other/Independent 6.6% 9% 8% 9% 9%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 55% 55% 54%
Labor 50.1% 45% 45% 45% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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