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  • Dec, 2010

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
    31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec
    Total approve 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43%
    Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40% 40% 37% 37% 38% 40%
    Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 7% 10%
    Approve 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32% 33% 33% 36% 36% 33%
    Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24% 24% 21% 20% 23% 24%
    Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17% 15% 16%
    Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15% 13% 19% 18% 18% 17%

    43% (no change) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 40% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +5 to +3.

    85% of Labor voters approve and 7% disapprove.

    By gender – men 44% approve/42% disapprove, women 41% approve/37% disapprove.

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  • Dec, 2010

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    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

    18 Jan 22 Feb 29 Mar 3 May 31 May 5 Jul 2 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec
    Total approve 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 37% 38% 41% 43% 39% 40% 39%
    Total disapprove 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 47% 48% 44% 37% 45% 40% 39%
    Strongly approve 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6% 9%
    Approve 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 29% 30% 32% 31% 31% 34% 30%
    Disapprove 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 23% 27% 22% 21% 22% 22% 21%
    Strongly disapprove 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 24% 21% 22% 16% 23% 18% 18%
    Don’t know 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 16% 14% 15% 19% 17% 19% 22%

    39% (down 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 39% (down 1%) disapprove – no net change from last month.

    67% of Coalition voters approve and 16% disapprove.

    By gender – men 44% approve/39% disapprove, women 34% approve/38% disapprove.

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  • Dec, 2010

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov 20 Dec Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

    21 Jun 10

    Julia Gillard 53% 46% 47% 49% 45% 45% 88% 8% 72% 47%
    Tony Abbott 26% 35% 35% 33% 34% 34% 3% 74% 7% 30%
    Don’t know 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 21% 9% 18% 21% 23%

    45% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% prefer Tony Abbott – no change last month’s figures.

    Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 45%/39% and women 45%/29%.

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  • Dec, 2010

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    2011 Outlook – Economy and Family

    Q. Thinking about the next 12 months, do you think 2011 will be a good or bad year for each of the following?

    Total good Total poor Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know/Not applicable
    The Australian economy 48% 16% 5% 43% 32% 14% 2% 5%
    Your personal financial situation 39% 20% 7% 32% 38% 14% 6% 3%
    Your workplace * 47% 16% 8% 39% 33% 13% 3% 4%
    You and your family overall 51% 14% 10% 41% 30% 11% 3% 4%

    * based on working people

    Overall, respondents were optimistic that 2011 would be a good year for themselves overall (51%), the Australian economy (48%) and their workplace (47%). They tended to be a little less optimistic about their financial situation (39% good/20% bad).

    When compared with last week’s questions on perceptions of 2010, these figures suggest that respondents expect 2011 to be better than 2010.

    In particular, more respondents believed it would be a good year for their personal situation (28% 2010/39% 2011), the Australian economy (41%/48%) and themselves and their families overall (43%/51%).

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  • Dec, 2010

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    2011 Outlook – Political Parties

    Q. Do you think 2011 will be a good or bad year for each of the following political parties?

    Total good Total poor Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
    The Liberal Party 35% 18% 7% 28% 34% 14% 4% 13%
    The Labor Party 19% 40% 4% 15% 29% 29% 11% 12%
    The Greens 22% 29% 4% 18% 35% 16% 13% 14%

    Respondents expect that 2011 is likely to be a good year for the Liberal Party (35% good/18% bad) and a bad year for the Labor Party (19%/40%).

    Comparing these results with last week’s questions about 2010, respondents expect the Liberal Party to have a better year  – 2010 33% good/27% bad compared to 2011 35%/18%.

    Also, although the Greens were assessed to have had a good 2010 (42% good/21% bad) expectations are not so positive for 2011 (22%/29%).

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  • Dec, 2010

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    2011 Outlook – Politicians

    Q. Do you think 2011 will be a good or bad year for each of the following politicians?

    Total good Total poor Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Don’t know
    Julia Gillard 28% 36% 5% 23% 23% 26% 10% 12%
    Tony Abbott 29% 27% 5% 24% 32% 20% 7% 13%
    Kevin Rudd 21% 30% 3% 18% 35% 21% 9% 14%
    Malcolm Turnbull 20% 21% 3% 17% 41% 17% 4% 18%
    Bob Brown 20% 30% 4% 16% 31% 18% 12% 19%

    There were no strong expectations one way or the other that 2011 would be good or bad for politicians.

    Overall, there were negative expectations for Julia Gillard (-8% net), Kevin Rudd (-9%) and Bob Brown (-10%) while respondents were divided over Tony Abbott (+2%) and Malcolm Turnbull (-1%).

    Comparing these results with last week’s questions, respondents expect 2011 to be worse than 2010 for Julia Gillard (net +24% in 2010 compared to

    -8% in 2011) and Bob Brown (+17% in 2010/-10% in 2011).

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  • Dec, 2010

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    Wikileaks – Release of Material

    Q. The online organisation Wikileaks, which is headed by the Australian Julian Assange, has released diplomatic material leaked to it by an American source.  It has also provided this material to other media which have also published information about the leaks. Do you approve or disapprove of Wikileaks and media outlets releasing this material?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total approve 53% 55% 51% 80%
    Total disapprove 25% 30% 30% 5%
    Strongly approve 20% 21% 17% 35%
    Approve 33% 34% 34% 45%
    Disapprove 14% 16% 18% 3%
    Strongly disapprove 11% 14% 12% 2%
    Don’t know 22% 16% 19% 15%

    53% approve Wikileaks and other media outlets releasing leaked US diplomatic material and 25% disapprove – 22% do not have an opinion.  There was majority approval from supporters of each major party.

    There was also majority approval from all age groups – aged under 35 54% approve/17% disapprove, aged 35-54 51% approve/26% disapprove, aged 55+ 56% apperove/34% disapprove.

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  • Dec, 2010

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    Wikileaks – Australian Government Response

    Q. The Australian Government has condemned the release of the Wikileaks material and the Prime Minister Julia Gillard has called it “grossly irresponsible” and “illegal”. Do you approve or disapprove of the response of the Prime Minister and the Australian Government to the publication of the Wikileaks material?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total approve 32% 45% 28% 17%
    Total disapprove 46% 38% 54% 66%
    Strongly approve 11% 18% 8% 1%
    Approve 21% 27% 20% 16%
    Disapprove 27% 24% 31% 32%
    Strongly disapprove 19% 14% 23% 34%
    Don’t know 21% 17% 17% 17%

    46% disapprove of the Australian Government’s response to the publication of the Wikileaks material and 32% approve – 21% have no opinion. A majority of Coalition (54%) and Greens voters (66%) disapproved while Labor voters were more likely to approve (45%/38%).

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